NWS upton is very stubborn with adjusting to the NE trend, watches should be further east and totals adjusted up.. the Jack no longer looks like NYC metro which they have ..
I think things definitely de amp as we get to 00z tonight.. Will be a 6-8" jack zone locally 10.. and 3-6" around that with 1-3" on the fringes.. Not some of these wild solutions we've seen. Euro has had the right idea of not being too amped..
Icon, RGEM, RRFS all NE at 12z small bump with Icon .. I think ground zero will end up being an axis from Binghamton to BDR 15 miles either side of that line