6z is a whiff for most fringe SE, still days away from having any idea on this one, most likely a miss/fringe or light to moderate hit if we get enough PNA..
That AIFS and its ensemble is the weeniest model of all time. Should be taken to the wood shed, that model and its ensembles think we have 2 feet of snow on the ground region wide.
I think the reason is that bad seasons up north are 40-80” with long periods of deep winter.
Bad seasons down in southern New England are like 10-20” with maybe a week total of snow pack.
This place is going to get really bad the next few weeks if odds continue to favor cold and dry until a pre Christmas week Rainer. Let’s hope we can reshuffle for a Christmas Week Miracle.
lol damn, well we will see what happens would be nice to see some snow falling and a coating in the morning before it melts with highs near 40 in the PM.
Don’t want to clog the main thread for a coating .. Who will get their first coatings to an inch? Exciting times.. Small steady flakes while I’m on the mower now doing final leaf cleanup.
We've got 99 weenies and the HRRR is one .. Can't ignore the signal for CT, will 1-2" happen in a band that wide, probably not, but I can see a widespread slick coating up to an inch in spots..
December miracle for CT would be 1-2" for a narrow band .. just whitening up the landscape would do a lot for myself and many weenies on here as we wait for a real storm in this pattern.
Sucks, at least we look to reload to a pattern with some chances after a brief cutter potential next weekend .. Eventually one of these shortwaves will have to hit for a 3-6" event for SNE..