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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked .
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Beautiful enjoy! I just saw a 4-8” for map for all of ENE on twitter so I figured you saw it..
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Twitter?
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    …..
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    How much on the season?
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Great sports night UConn Knicks CFB
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    You might just get 3”+
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    22z hrrr ups the ante for sure
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    I think a valuable lesson sometimes I forget too is regardless of the pattern modeled, if there is an outlier amongst the big three ensembles, you can't just toss it, regardless of model biases. The GEFS never really bit on the mega west based block, we assumed it would trend towards the EPS as it usually does, however the opposite ended up being true. When a highly anomalous pattern is modeled, we need to see all three major ensembles on board for a few days for me to believe it.
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    ya funny thing is after trending for days to a massive west based block, we all knew the second it lost it , it wasn't coming back..
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    Lol ya me and wolfie are BFF's now
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    My bad yes 100% misread that and you are right..
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    It seems people don't look at models, and just make their own conclusions/forecasts based on the emotions of others lol
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    What prophesy? It will snow 3x within the first 6 days of January, then a possible cutter or two before we reload cold and storm chances . And it's December 31st, anything can change post Jan 6..
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    If 12z tics one more time like that it will get interesting, but I’m not expecting that.
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    What a start for Syracuse. Closing in on 80” for only the 4th time ever before Jan 1. Over 100 years of records.
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    I'm hopeful to keep some semblance of -NAO and stay seasonable while most of the country warms up .. Guidance trending better in at least some -NAO around that time after losing the block on steriods over Hudson Bay idea .. I can see us getting lucky again and limiting the torch to a cutter only before we get -EPO cold
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Snow growth looks very good. IF we can muster .1" qpf then I could see 1-2" in spots ..
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    EURO hitting squalls hard too
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    HRRR still looking like coating to 1" on snow tonight , then an impressive squall line around sunrise dropping another coating to 1" .. SE New England still favored for more tonight especially cape and eastern maine
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Impressive snow squall threat tomorrow around daybreak.. Looks like a summer time squall line.. Probably looking at coating to an inch tonight away from SE New England and Maine. Then another coating to an inch or so with the squalls tomorrow morning.
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS is like 150 miles north every run since yesterday, a few more moves like that and we have something, still 4.5 days out ... Heres GEFS trend
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    She was the last benchmark ish bomb?
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