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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. I'm definitely not throwing it out, maybe weight it 50% and the rest of the hi-res 50%. Sucks the nams were a widespread 4-7" yesterday.. they are pretty dry now.. 1-3" iso 4 for SE two thirds of CT may be the way to go here.
  2. NAM and 3km have definitely shifted well south with the goods, after the nice 12z and 18z runs, however it seems to spread the 1-2" accumulations farther north.. HRRR seems to be on amped island by itself..
  3. Guidance converging on a 1-3 maybe 2-4" type deal Thursday AM for southern areas of SNE. Timing looks like 1-11am from west to east. However, surface temps look borderline to start, with temperatures 35-40 late Wednesday evening, this is likely to be a wet snow at first before temps really drop. Let's see how things trend today, 6z Euro finally getting on board for something light, while GFS and NAM are the most aggressive.
  4. Will, what do you think of the 3km and HRRR being so cold, big difference down here in CT as well...
  5. I actually enjoy your day 6 threads, keep them coming!
  6. Euro snow depth algorithm says you keep 2-4" of pack.. It's forecasting 6" tomorrow night for you though, but it has you starting with just .1 today, I'm sure you have more than that glacierized since we have about 50% coverage up to an 2" here.
  7. Seems like 9z would be a good cutoff for frozen for southern CT maybe 10-12z by the time you get to NE corner?
  8. Ya, anything is better than all rain especially if we can mute the heavy rain to less than a quarter of an inch, and keep from torching..
  9. GFS verbatim is mostly snow for Kevin, only .1 to .25" qpf as rain.. again thats just 12z gfs verbatim
  10. If you toggle back and forth on the 12z run every single feature in the country moved west 25-50 miles… that is really weird…
  11. Ha yes of course, I like the recent consistency and general agreement on ensembles for the long range.
  12. Yes, I saw that, I think people as far east have you should have some hope for Friday..
  13. Ok good to hear, not great with remembering past patterns.
  14. Amazing look, keeps on getting better in the Pacific on all guidance.. One thing I noticed on today's EPS seems like the mean trough has pushed a bit far east on EPS to be perfect for storms to ride up the coast or is that just me?
  15. EC close but a bit late , I love the gifs now lol
  16. Not sure if this animation will work.. triple phaser?
  17. I'm on weatherbell, but I'm sure pivotal or TT has it
  18. Do yourselves a favor and check out Euro Control run today, 3 monster blizzards, day 8, day 11, day 14.. One for everyone, some get all 3..
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