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Sey-Mour Snow

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Snowiest GEFS run I’ve seen this winter with no storm imminent. Day 6-13 mean 500mb anomaly here. As day 6 is when the threats start on GEFS. Euro is not as enthused but the image below shows a nice 7 day mean.
  2. There’s our storm window around day 9-11. EPO rising but still negative to neutral , PNA rising to slightly positive, NAO going slightly negative.
  3. Ya definitely in a better position, hopefully will spike a western ridge .
  4. That’s a 5 day mean though, seems to be decaying after 3/10. New GEFS keeps a -EPO and gets a nice PNA going for mid month , nice change from last few runs
  5. Well it does go nuclear til like the 9/10th. But I’d always side with Will anyways lol
  6. Seems like the -EPO starts to break down post the 9/10th? Peaks more the 9th/10th? Looking at EPS and GEFS
  7. There isn’t any Atlantic blocking forecast. Just pacific.
  8. I wouldn’t sell it completely, but not buying it fully either. Definitely interesting for a quick shot of accumulating snow especially elevation.
  9. Not much exciting to talk about surprised no one is talking about the sneaky Few inches overnight Wednesday night especially in hills for Northern CT through much of Mass up to NH border? HRRR came in aggressive GFS beefed up too RGEM looks decent. Looks like we are out of it down here though, though if we can get some hefty rates I wonder if the hills can grab an inch in interior areas down here.
  10. I guess you don’t know how to read that map. It’s a 7 day mean showing a few threats that start several days before hr 384.
  11. It’s an ensemble mean, that’s a snowy 7 day stretch for pike north, you guys are hilarious.
  12. Let’s lock it in now. Verbatim gives NE MASS a few inches while SWCT gets well into the 60s!
  13. That’s as snowy as it gets for a mean day 8-15, not for us though climo doesn’t favor us in march.
  14. GEFS is very snowy post 3/8 FWIW like a 5-8” mean for you guys pike north for that 7 day stretch . This is just post 3/8
  15. UCONN making a deep run could help entertain us or win it all, was just watching(introducing) all the championship runs with my son, trying to pump him up.
  16. Here’s what Kevin posted yesterday .. what’s the difference? I honestly don’t know.
  17. I think it's because you posted a map of the next 45 days being well below normal a few hours you said looks like the calls for mild to warm march may verify...
  18. We had 10-14” through the area but should have been much much more before the last second massive jump north. Just looked back on it man what a let down from what could have been and what was forecast a few days before
  19. Ya last year was the only good year almost 40 in February alone here.
  20. Honestly rather just get on to spring activities and yard work at this point. Nothing worse than useless cold in March, unless we get some biggies in March, I really root for a good Morch. Unless we get a good March, that’s 3 out of 4 well below average winters in the western half of CT.
  21. JDJ has a new rule to forecast, only use the least snowy model, 90% accuracy.
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