wxsniss
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Everything posted by wxsniss
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Yes you have... wish you had started the obs thread for posterity! H5 has argued for an earlier interaction and capture, and as you said, the multiple bobbling low centers is often how models sort out the vorticity interactions as we get closer. That NAM run is widespread 20-30" in eastern MA.
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Trending towards a cleaner capture of a consolidated low rather than the complex juggling of multiple low centers... this run verbatim is knocking on the door of historic. Wow!!!!!
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Holy schiat... this is gonna be the biggest hit on SNE by far...
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I especially like the move away from a stretched out dual low... earlier consolidation
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Monster hit incoming on NAM Thru 12 hrs... this is gonna be another SLP about same as 18z but mid-level features improved for bigger impacts
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Or RAP 1hr depictions hourly I posted earlier those interpretations of WV did not match RAP H5
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Regardless of early antics, and even bigger hit on eastern SNE
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Wow just wow, this is looking like Jan 2005 one of the all time greats for SNE
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Thru 24h, 972 south of BM Definitely coming northwest Gonna be a big hit
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12z UK looks almost dead on with 0z in terms of SLP track, slightly deeper, cut qpf slightly in far west zones
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Yeah 12z RAP shows how it's done for entertainment in clown range... well-timed interaction of n/s streams and this closes and reopens multiple times with influx of n stream prolonging impacts on SNE
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FWIW, most recent RAP models have the northern stream vort exactly the same over Wisconsin/Michigan/Iowa as other model guidance... (i.e. further northeast of where it might seem on water vapor)
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Boston.com feed just reported ALL American Airlines flights are canceled Tuesday out of Boston... 1:30pm flight, there's a very high chance it is canceled
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Logan will be just as close to criteria as areas on north shore... surprised Blizzard Warning does include Boston
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I commented earlier on a relative sub zone shown over us on the 12k/3k NAMs... even still we break 10", just harder to reach 14-18" amounts to the west and southeast
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"Skylar"... wtf The media's naming each system fits this selfie generation
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LOL phone analysis during bathroom break FTL, missed the entire last page of posts... was wondering why I was the only one excited As unreliable as the RGEM has become, great to see it join the party
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12z RGEM big hit eastern SNE! 6z run was just a dry burp
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12z RGEM coming in further northwest !!!
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Yep very clear banding signatures on 12k / 3k NAMs... we gotta be careful playing with these meso features, I think the 6z 3k NAM had us in a relative sub zone for a brief time... kept us more 11-13" rather than 14"+ on both sides... all too far out to nail down any of this of course This is killing my work / sleep...! I bargained with myself that this will (probably) be the final hurrah for the season.
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While Ginx is getting rest...
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Re: 6z RGEM... you guys did see that the SLP is actually more northwest tucked in than 6z NAM, but the precip shield is uber tight... not sure I buy that, especially with mid level processes further out... RGEM does have weird dry burp runs (? feels more often in 6z/18z runs)
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How about this for a trend friend... This most recent run is the most robust Euro run to hit SNE in the past 5 runs Current > Sun 0z > Sat 12z > Sun 12z > Sat 0z
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It's much better than 12z... 1" qpf: to 495 on 0z vs. only to canal on 12z This run has good continuity with last night's 0z... something made the 12z 3/11 Euro burp
