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wxsniss

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    On the Rocks? March 5-6 mess

    in New England

    Posted

    At least for inside 128, not feeling a surprise >3" snow:

    DPs:

    image.png.a7c32573f8ecf535ef03aefee381195c.png

    Still an 850 tongue on 0z NAM

    6z: 

    Station: KBOS
Latitude:   42.37
Longitude: -71.02
Elevation:  37.29
     Press    Height   Temp    Dewpt     Dir    Spd
SFC  1023.6       37      0.5     0.1      51     13
M    1000.0      224     -0.8    -1.1      57     26
S     950.0      633     -1.7    -2.0      86     32
S     900.0     1065     -0.2    -0.5      87     22
M     850.0     1523      0.3     0.0     112     13
S     800.0     2009     -0.1    -0.4     147      9
S     750.0     2526     -0.4    -0.7     201     16
M     700.0     3077     -1.9    -2.3     229     25

    9z: 

         Press    Height   Temp    Dewpt     Dir    Spd
M    1000.0      214     -0.7 -9999.0      53     24
S     950.0      624     -0.4    -0.7      91     28
S     900.0     1057     -0.1    -0.4      96     23
M     850.0     1515      0.2    -0.1     123     13
S     800.0     2001     -0.5    -0.7     158      9
S     750.0     2517     -0.7    -1.0     239     16
M     700.0     3067     -2.2    -2.5     261     25
    • Like 1

    On the Rocks? March 5-6 mess

    in New England

    Posted

    6z Friday on NAM: 

    Station: KBOS
Latitude:   42.37
Longitude: -71.02
Elevation:  37.36
     Press    Height   Temp    Dewpt     Dir    Spd
SFC  1024.1       37      0.1    -0.4      51     13
M    1000.0      227     -1.0    -1.4      57     27
S     950.0      636     -2.9    -3.4      83     33
S     900.0     1066     -1.2    -1.6      96     25
M     850.0     1523     -0.0    -0.3     119     20
S     800.0     2008     -0.7    -1.0     139     20
S     750.0     2524     -1.1    -1.4     181     16
M     700.0     3073     -2.6    -3.1     219     22
S     650.0     3658     -5.1    -5.9     234     28
S     600.0     4284     -8.2    -9.2     243     35
S     550.0     4955    -11.7   -13.1     248     45
M     500.0     5679    -16.0   -17.8     251     54

    Morch 3-4 Kitchen Sink

    in New England

    Posted

    Did not expect these heavy rates (admittedly didn't really pay attention to guidance on this event)... roads are almost completely white with cars crawling near Fenway, briefly has the look of a moderate snowstorm

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    20 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

    what site/software is that with that radar and all those overlays etc? Something private, in house stuff or is that from a paywalled site you think?

    @dendrite

    No idea either… you might want to DM the original tweet by @weathernut27

    Would be amazing to archive a searchable library of storms in this way

    (and something I’ve long wanted to do but never have time: archive how all the main models performed for each storm)

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

    Watching WCVB. Man from something that was a brush two days out and then what happened….Christ. Wow.

    If this was at the benchmark, HFD, ORH and BOS would

    have been smoked. 

    Yeah. Boston area was literally 40 miles from 40 inches. Benchmark track would've been a top 3 storm of all time for pike region. Like 2015-level complete-grid-shutdown no-school-for-week.

    As is, still easily a SNE HECS considering impacts south shore to coast.

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Hoth said:

    I don't know about you guys, but I always feel a little melancholy when a big storm is coming to an end. You just know it could be many years before you experience something like it again.

     

    1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

    I definitely feel that way at times.  The build up is amazing... sometimes almost as good as the actual event.

    And then... withdrawal...

    Every time.

    Funny how random strangers can share the same intense emotions, and conversely feel estranged from people immediately around them who don't get it.

    The chase, the exhilaration as the unlikely breaks our way, the thrill of the event, the sleep deprivation... then it's over and mundane reality returns. I jokingly warned my wife earlier tonight that I'm having post-storm dopamine withdrawal.

    Part of what keeps us coming back every year.

    • Like 4

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, weathafella said:

    Some pretty heavy snow here from that one.   Should add at least an inch or 2.

    Some of the best snowgrowth too with that last band, maybe because winds have subsided

    Let's see if remnant fronto can congeal to give us another moderate+ band

    20z HRRR has snow falling until 8-9pm

    Brookline schools closed Tuesday

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Boston Bulldog said:

    Similar conditions here. Just on the fringe of an all-timer, but still a fantastic storm 

    Always appreciate your posts, nice to have some hyperlocal validation and analysis

    Wonder how @weathafella's doing

    I'm hoping we're in decent position for the pivot and can also benefit from farther west fronto

    3k NAM keeps us in decent rates noon through 7pm, hopefully at least another 6-8"

    "Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

    in New England

    Posted

    Meso Discussion from a few hours ago: 

       Mesoscale Discussion 0117
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0413 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

   Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 231013Z - 231515Z

   SUMMARY...Very heavy snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour and
   widespread blizzard conditions should persist across Long Island and
   southern New England through 10 AM EST.

   DISCUSSION...Classic bomb cyclone/nor'easter off the Northeast coast
   will slow its deepening over the next few hours as it tracks
   northeastward off the southern New England coast through midday. As
   this occurs, multiple bands of very heavy snow from NJ to southeast
   MA should consolidate into one primary band across Long Island to
   eastern MA through mid-morning. Extremely enlarged low-level
   hodographs are indicative of the impressive warm conveyor north of
   the cyclone. In addition, very high KDP values detected within and
   somewhat below the dendritic growth zone amid base reflectivity
   values around 35 dBZ all point to highly prolific snowfall rates of
   2-3 in/hr. From eastern Long Island through eastern MA, this appears
   likely to persist for several hours. Measured severe wind gusts
   should persist in this same region, supporting widespread blizzard
   conditions. 

   The aforementioned slowing of cyclogenesis and northeastward track
   will eventually yield a more progressive tapering of very heavy
   snowfall rates from the southwest towards late morning.

   ..Grams.. 02/23/2026

    mcd0117.png.34f6a6ce87f5a8ece02b73d11fbb660d.png

    • Like 1
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