Burghblizz

My weenie eyes saw the same thing

It would be nice to verify on higher end of those plumes again. Will be tough to do that back to back

Noticed that as well. Will be interesting if that keeps showing up. NAM might be overly optimistic, but it seems the upper levels as it depicts it supports its track

NAM sometimes a trend, sometimes a tease. And 84 hours is only wed eve. Hope the globals can provide a similar look by tonight.

Agree - as long as it’s a solid foot and not 10 miles away :-) 1.2016 was the worst in recent memory. 5” and 15 miles from me had 15”. But you clear a foot all is good

I feel like Christmas ‘02 would have been as I was there (Unless you mean physical calendar day which I’m not sure)

I remember that TWC map. We had a first wave that overperformed and were sitting on like 8 or 9”. That supposed to be 12+ additional, but the big snows from the coastal cut off around somerset. We wound up with about a foot total where I was. Pretty sure they got 3’ in Somerset

That was so close to being a epic storm. Double digit snows over most of the area, but just missed a widespread 2-3’ (of course that happened anyway 3 months later, and close to that again 13 months later. Good times)

This shortwave energy on the backside of this means business. Nice icing on the cake Nice kickoff to winter. And with a lot of people working from home, this is the most positive I’ve seen the general public about snow in awhile (homeschooled kids not pleased I bet :-))

The cautionary tale will be how demogoguery worked and propaganda sites laundered disinformation. Mostly driven by the need to have an exact answer that doesn’t exist, and not wanting to adjust their own reality. So “they”...whoever “they” is....wanting “control” is an easy false narrative. The reality is more boring - a society trying to figure out the balance of saving lives and keeping livelihoods. (Fortunately, most of us that understand weather modeling also understand how math shows us this is a huge problem when scaled over many encounters. And that reality exists even if things such as death rates are modest) But people who get a high off of having an “alternative viewpoint” get an adrenaline rush. And yes, I know the red herring responses - those have been well developed. But that whole mindset might be the biggest thing that perpetuated this into a long slow burn. That is what history will frown upon

As crazy as the NAM is, it might be at least be worth mentioning that we haven’t officially had more than .1” of snow in May since 1966 (when in snowed 3”). And I think there was a 2” type event a few years earlier. So the bar for “historic” is pretty low this time of year. This looks heavily rate dependent to have a chance for anything

Airport looks like it’s going to wind up between 4” and 5”. So that should creep the seasonal total up past 17”. i still consider this somewhat of a lost season in terms of total snowfall. But I like getting the total back to respectability so it doesn’t screw up our new 30 year avg

Seeing a 4” report already in New Ken

About 2” so far - precip shield still seems pretty robust

The way this year has gone I won’t complain about when and where the snow falls - but we do have an uncanny ability for rush hour or night snows

Happy February 5th! 10 years already

Great visual - and while I seriously doubt its going to be the least snow ever recorded, it’s telling that it’s on the pace of that year

Someone said it above - reminds me of a March storm without a cold airmass and P types are influenced by Dynamic cooling and rates

We’ve only had 1 or 2 winters in the last 40 years that we’re under 20” - but the way this is going we could make a serious run. On the bright side, less time pissed off over near misses. ☺️ PS: I feel like the new Snow Squall warning is a bit overused. We had one in the early 90s that also came with warning criteria snows. So it was a pretty special event. Now it’s changed to just a low visibility squall. I get needing to keep people aware, but warnings (with all kinds of alerts on people’s phones going off) is a bit much

NAM probably a little crazy - but The later GFS runs seem to like the idea of a couple inches being possible

I’d imagine that is similar to the airport ~1250’ Oakmont along the River is probably similar or maybe a tad higher than downtown (I’d guess 900’)

Rippin downtown

Nice band setting up city and points NW

Looking to win some of these 50/50 storms this year!

Not sure I’ve ever seen a scenario like yesterday afternoon. Just a mention of a brief pop up shower or storm in the forecast. Not a lot of coverage. But one little cell in that blew up just east of the city. Not sure there are any official reports, but based on the video, Lawrenceville had to have seen winds pushing 100 Mph