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Burghblizz

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Everything posted by Burghblizz

  1. Burghblizz
    King looking a bit colder at 12z
  2. Burghblizz
    Guess you have to be on a boat to get big snows from the Canadian. But it’s definitely a colder/more east solution. Doesn’t appear to flirt with the mixing as much
  3. Burghblizz
    Anecdotal, but it historically sniffs out storms that try to cut west when they are close. I’ll start feeling real good if it’s next few runs look like NAM/GFS
  4. Burghblizz
    0z NAM looking colder. Looking more like GFS. Still snowing at 84. It’s tight, but basically puts a diagonal line through the state from SW to NE. Northern side of the line looking good.
  5. Burghblizz
    Ukmet is where it’s at
  6. Burghblizz
    Time to break out the weenie adage that the models don’t handle snowpack well, and the actual temps and track will be more suppressed
  7. Burghblizz
    Think there is a good bit of sleet in there as depicted by TT. (which I could live with with a nice snow pack and significant snow) Otherwise that Heavy Snow/mix line is tight
  8. Burghblizz
    Yeah, many times we are rooting for it to go negative as it helps to capture and keep a coastal storm tight to the coast or on the Piedmont. Rooting more progressive here at least until it gets past this point as depicted on the NAM. Taken literally, I think we would like hour 87.
  9. Burghblizz
  10. Burghblizz
    GFS is looking a bit like the Euro. Runs a first wave out on Monday. We get a decent shot of snow out of it. That’s great, but here is the question. Does that work to erode the high a bit, and thus let the bigger storm ride north farther? Maybe, maybe not. It’s a good run for Western PA overall, just something to watch as to it being a tad warmer. It’s a mess farther east.
  11. Burghblizz
    Looking Cleaner. HP doing it’s job (honestly it’s probably not worth mentioning the 12”+ swath yet - but I guess I just did )
  12. Burghblizz
    Warm. Tongue. Of. Death. :-) Euro looks to show 3 separate waves. An inch or so Saturday, a couple Monday, and then the bigger storm Monday night into Tuesday. The bigger storm tries to cut, but runs into a wall in Kentucky. Looks like it then redevelops in NC and runs up to the Delmarva. Might not be completely clean, but certainly 8-10” through that period.
  13. Burghblizz
    yeah, It’s not the typical WTOD. We would keep our snow pack and still stack 7-8” on top.
  14. Burghblizz
    Got some nice fat flakes falling - 1.5”
  15. Burghblizz
    We aren’t going to nearly have the moisture fetch that we had the other night. But again the frigid ground is making every flake count. Part of the reason roads became a mess quickly
  16. Burghblizz
    Monday/Tuesday - Basically has 6-10” in six hours just north of the city. I mean a 80 mile wide 150 mile long swath of those rates. Obviously way too early to be looking at that Still makes up west of us before a late redevelopment. So not great, but close to something big.
  17. Burghblizz
    I’d probably take it one out of ten (but this might be the one since we would be preserving snowpack, and for once in my life I’m not commuting daily)
  18. Burghblizz
    Canada loving Morgantown and the border counties tonight
  19. Burghblizz
    Snowing in Dallas with a 1048 H to the north. Doesn’t seem likely it would cut that hard
  20. Burghblizz
    I think pre-1950 they were at the KAGC site. Similar elevation, just a tad south
  21. Burghblizz
    Airport definitely lighter than the city this time. Probably missed that intial real heavy band. Solid 5-6” closer to city
  22. Burghblizz
    Another band is trying to slip south, and then maybe train a little bit.
  23. Burghblizz
    Until 10 months later :-) But no, everything about ‘93 (the scale, the wind, etc) was probably once or twice in a lifetime. Nov 1950 is the twice for those above a certain age.
  24. Burghblizz
    Funny how that works! Watch a big storm for 5 days and all the intricacies of what can go wrong. Now a front basically gets held up in the right place, and most of of AGC scoring a quick 6”
  25. Burghblizz
    Really goes to show you what a huge factor rates are. This came in thumpin
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