paxpatriot

That NAM snow map is the stuff of nightmares for SC PA.

2 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

ARPEGE looking good!

Gesundheit.

We're 2 or 3 B-movie models away from a storm here.

1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

It's colder this run.. stronger -NAO. I might take the trend, it's not as good as 18z, but there is potentially more upside

Who else is loving Sunshine Chuck?

3 hours ago, Jns2183 said:

Snow yesterday

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
 

Wow, that's an excruciatingly painful map for my area. 

Switched over to pingers about 20 minutes ago, final measurement was 5.9 on the board. Would love to hear some totals out towards Hancock, betting they made out well. Best storm here in a long while.

37 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

insane rates right now in Carroll valley, maybe approaching 3” an hour

We got into that band as well! Big hitter. Just switched over to some sleet, final measurement is 5.9 here. It’s gorgeous!

Some of the heaviest snow I’ve seen since my move to Greencastle over the last hour. Will be curious to get a measurement. Awesome band.

20 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I am on the M/D line myself.  I can hit a softball into MD.  

Lived in Waynesboro for a few years! Great area. Work in Hagerstown, but weekend snow doesn’t impact that, lol. Glad to hear we’re all getting some snow around here!

Sitting right on the M/D, and measured 2.8 inches about an hour ago. Temp is 29.8F. Has been pouring snow since the last measurement, so definitely 3+ out there. Already ahead of most models predictions, lol. Hoping to catch some of those awesome bands to our west before it’s over.

13 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Gotta love the RGEM. Bless its heart. Has it ever been right?

It’s been the most stubborn model for days now. Hopefully it’s in the right ballpark, at least.

Anyone with an RGEM snow map? Thanks!

7 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Lala lock it in. Such a small strip though. 

Weird run. Weaker smaller area of precip but more intense in a good spot for us.

The GFS has been spitting out some weird precip field solutions. Color me skeptical, it seems confused with these wild jumps.

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Posting an unfinished run snowmap to scare people, smh.



@ji better? Psu fringed, but I’d wager he’d come in and say the surface depiction was wrong

That snowfall signature definitely screams surface wrong. PSU probably likes where he’s at for this one.

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

The little twinkle lights aren’t twinkling Clark

Thanks for noticing, Art.

Happy New Year, all! Here’s to a snowy start to 2024!

13 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS thru Day 8…Well….

Not sure whether to be happy I'm in the "10%" range, or just depressed with everyone else. So many feels...

20 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said:

my primary worry is a cold/dry pattern but i'm not sure if that worry is valid or not cause i haven't looked at ensembles much lately

Warm/wet all day. The trends don't end until they do.

21 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Is this like follow the yellow brick road? Snowing in poppy fields would be a dreamy way to round out the winter....I'm all in.

Just keep in mind that the "snow" in that film was actually asbestos powder....which at this point is probably far more likely to fall from the sky than snow in this abysmal winter.

If this thing had started as a Jacksonville snow storm, we'd still be fringed by now with how far it's moved north. 

1 hour ago, stormtracker said:

Comma head snow at hr 237

Someone do the math for me, how many days is that?

1 minute ago, RedSky said:

Slight differences on the late next week storm at 12z. GFS 200 miles north of Chicago and CMC south of Savannah.

 

Stop splitting hairs, maniac.

53 minutes ago, mappy said:

yall know starting a thread has no impact on what it actually does, right? 

They're not superstitious, but I think they're a little stitious.

18 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

12z gfs looks great!!

Iowa loves it.

Woke up to some styrofoam pebbles on my car. Some of the driest stuff I've ever seen, but a welcome sight none the less.

9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Even the JMA is a transfer to an inside runner. That model is usually farther E than other guidance. I95 and se of fall line are on life support next 7 days imo.

I would say even those of us NW of the cities are on life support at this point. Trends are not our friends (this season).

3 hours ago, Ji said:

what a disaster this thread is

Speak for yourself. I actually used the term “fecal blinds” in a conversation this afternoon.