paxpatriot

Just now, MN Transplant said:

I know all eyes are on the precipitation, but I can’t get over what the 3km NAM is trying to do tomorrow.  It holds us all near freezing all day, while the Euro, GFS, and HRRR all take us to the upper 40s.

Where are you leaning on this? Would it not be strange for the NAM to bust that hard on temps 24 hours out? Usual NAM jokes apply.

Not going to clog up the model threads with this, but holy crap I have never laughed so hard tracking weather as I have the last couple of weeks. One hilarious moment followed by another on here, lol. Thanks to everyone for making it a good time 

I mean, that would be one of most depressing outcomes in history for my area, but I certainly like the trend for we NW'ers.

1. The big ones are sniffed out early.

2. Even if it's too far west, the big ones make their own cold air.

Can't fail. La-la lock it up!

Sounds like elevations north of Hagerstown doing pretty well. Blue Ridge through the Catoctins.

2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

You aren’t anymore shafted than many of us. This is the latest map from NWS

The Westminster Deathband appears imminent.

Had a bad feeling this was going to be a Hagerstown shaft storm. A little shift west would go a long way.

1 hour ago, Chris78 said:

Looks in line with the other guidance now .

General 1 to 3 across most of the area.

Not the biggest fan of the that western edge creeping up on us.

Given that we’re seeing major differences between the Euro and GFS by 84 hours, I don’t think we’re too far away from one folding to the other here.

Pouring sleet mixed with some snow. Temp

climbing but still at 22.1. 

Measured about 1 inch but the temps continue to impress. Fallen even further now to 16.3F. If we could get a little better returns, we could squeak quite a ratio.

Temp dropped 1.8 degrees since the snow started. One of the coldest daytime snows in a long time.

19.6F and light snow has commenced on the M/D. Let the show begin.

I know I’m being trolled when the NAM says that everyone north, south, east, and west of me gets more snow.

It’s warmed to a balmy 12/3 here. 

6/2 here on the M/D. It sure feels like it out there. 

2 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

Still looking good for the Winchester crew

If we end up with the 4-6 that’s advertising for our area, I’ll call that a win at this point.

17.1/2

Just walked outside and can confirm: it’s cold.

DT vs. All of the Models. Only one will survive. It’s going to be a nail biter, I think.

44 minutes ago, Kleimax said:

Congrats Erie

I actually made that joke to a friend earlier this week when the western shift started. We both had a good laugh.

I brought this on myself.

This would be quite a bust for the globals inside of 48 hours. Yikes.

20 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We spent 5 days tracking an inch of snow then slop.  What a time...

Life is about the journey, my friend. But yeah, a little more snow at the destination would have been nice.

I'll certainly take that run and...run. But that odd-looking warm nose through Hagerstown into S. PA seems to be knocking the totals down in a hurry.

5.8 inches here in Greencastle. Really was an awesome little storm that overperformed for a lot of people. 

30.8F and 2.8 inches on the ground here on the M/D. Moderate snow still falling. I hope everyone gets in on this band running through the I-81 corridor. Beautiful snow.

Euro/NAM combo used to be pretty deadly at this range, so let’s hope that’s the case here.