paxpatriot

Seems like the GFS has been out of sync with its own ensembles for the last 24 hours. Does it seem like there will be a correction south on the OP, or is it being skewed by two very different camps? 

1 minute ago, Eskimo Joe said:

No cold air.

Or rates, it would seem.

Not going to lie. I started humming the Rocky theme when I clicked on this thread…

That clown map is the stuff of nightmares for our M/D crew...

WTH happened to the LR thread today??? I miss the days when Mappy just slaughtered people for stupid posts.

11 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Ok, so the story about this guy...if there are any doubts everyone on staff will confirm my story

So back in day, his name was Earthlight here.  Good poster, knowledgeable dude, from the Philly forum.  We liked him.  So we put him on staff.  So we started to notice that the Philly forum was getting a bit light.   Eh, no big deal.   Come to find out from a few anonymous PMs that this dude was using his position to poach Philly people from this board to his own...the entire time he was a moderator on staff here.  Look, people are free to start a board and go wherever they please.  That wasn't the issue.  It was that he was a trusted staff member here and was actively poaching members and never resigned and was active in the mod forum.  That was years ago and it's funny now and I'm sure he's a good guy...but back then we were all competitive and engaged in the stupid board wars of the early 2000 teens.  It was a fierce pitched battle.  Many died.  A true widow maker. We've all signed a treaty of Versailles, so I'm sure that will never happen again.  A war to end all wars.

But all of us admins are over the entire thing and I wouldn't even care if he posted here.  We just thought it was a shitty thing to do at the time.

Imagine actually TRYING to recruit Philly people for something. It's usually the other way around, lol.

3 hours ago, LeesburgWx said:

I noticed the long term thread starting slowing down with posts. So I go look to see where everyone went. I find this thread and God damn, what a train wreck 

*Bus wreck.

This line from SC PA down to Leesburg means business. Have to be some 1-2 inch an hour rates in there. Best snow of the day here on the M/D.

3.2 here on the M/D. Light snow still falling, 29.7F. This puts me at 11.8 inches for the month, best run in a long time. Congrats to those higher totals south and east!

Just measured 2.7 inches of fresh snow, moderate snow falling. Not the best dendrites, but gorgeous out. 25.6F.
 

Two forum-wide wins in a week is crazy.

Shout out to the smart weather folks on the board who identified this week’s snow opportunities weeks ago. Very impressive stuff, guys.

30 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Hot off the press:

And there's the playing catch up we talked about earlier...

24 minutes ago, jayyy said:

No one thinks that. Literally no one.

1 minute ago, Interstate said:

I said the 12Z model run... I believe the Euro starts around 1PM.  No other model gets more than 2 to 2.5 inches in the DC/Balt area other than the NAM.  Plus... it is going to be fairly light snow... with marginal temperatures.  So even if you get that amount... that is not what is going to be actually on the ground.

Marginal temps where? Northern tier lows will be in the low 20's overnight (high teens in the Catoctins) with snow beginning around 3am and with snow pack on the ground. If that's marginal, we're all in a lot of trouble.

Just now, Interstate said:

I believe this is computer generated.  Also, remember that the temps are going to marginal, and mostly coming in during the daylight hours.  This is going to be a northern tier storm.  I think the map looks reasonable. 

Disagree with that last part. The very problem is that they cut back on totals in the northern tier where we agree the best totals will be. Makes no sense given the model trends in the last 12 hours.

45 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Always better when LWX has to play catch up.  

No idea what they've seen that made them cut back on totals since last night. If anything, they should have increased them in some areas.

6 minutes ago, Ji said:

its still the driest model. even dr no is wetter

To me, that’s a giant red flag 24 hours out. The Nam is drunk.

43 minutes ago, WVsnowlover said:

Definitely a bit better for most everyone unless you're in Hagerstown 

1-3 inches on top of what we got already this week is a win in my book. Expectations are always important.

Last week was a little tough. We did really well in my area, while places just to my south and east got barely anything. So great to see nearly the entire forum crushing it this evening.

23.3F and light snow right now.

6 minutes ago, paxpatriot said:

The models giving the I-81 crew anywhere from 0-6 inches, lol. Gotta love the mayhem 24 hours out…

Thankfully we get in on some of the later action. Seems like a little weirder evolution, but it’s the NAM.

The models giving the I-81 crew anywhere from 0-6 inches, lol. Gotta love the mayhem 24 hours out…

17 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

DT has this gem of a map out for start times tomorrow….

So many lines & colors…

This is a color blind person’s worst nightmare.

I’ll admit, I was skeptical on this second thread. But the new juju along with DT cancelling the storm last night has really turned this baby around.

6 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Don’t worry, spin the wheel of NAM, lol!

It’s 12z run had the bullseye in northern PA…

Where will it land at 0z ?

Here is that 12z NAM for reference 

Spot on and I think Mitch said the same above. Hoping for a resolution that gets more of us on the board. An inch or two would be fine given expectations.