Bone dry. Those Davis stations use Watermark soil moisture sensors. 200 centibars is the dry limit. 0cb is satuated.
So 6" deep is very dry and 12" has a bit of moisture, but is still on the dry side.
Usually you're supposed to pull them in the spring and reinsert them so that there's good contact between the sensor and soil. Freeze/thaw cycles can cause the soil to pull from the sensor with time.
I doubt it trends that far SW leaving us with a heat plume like NNE just saw. I think if you want big heat next week you hope that that trough/ULL is more weak and progressive and scoots right along.
I don’t fall for your all or nothing traps.
Euro still hanging on for the weekend. Could be a warm night Sat night even if it’s just U80s/l90s during the day.