dendrite

Marny Stanier almost left the board

Pretty good model consistency for a big heat day this Thursday. I keep waiting for the 850s to lessen, and they have, but that plume is still exceptionally warm. GFS and EC are around 22-23C near peak heating. We used to use that “add 17C” rule for hot summer days with 12z 850s and they’re running around 21C at that time. So that puts the hot spots around 38C at the sfc…ie 100F. So we’ll see if the potency of that plume survives out of the northern plains. If it is overdone there it’ll be overdone here.

Think my high was 78°. It was pretty breezy in the afternoon with lower dews. But yeah, it was warm…especially when the sun came out. We were mostly cloudy for most of the day though.

Is that kudzu on the right? None of that looks that bad. If that's overgrowth you'd cringe here. I've been letting milkweed run wild in the yard and the monarch caterpillars are loving it.

It’s almost 90° down there…wtf? lol

Pants tent airmass this afternoon

Not mowing

Hasn’t been too bad up here…near normal or a hair below.

Like Scoot said. Be careful because the convection can rob moisture.

Newark 118° Central Park 99°

Looks legit

Haves and have nots

Screwjob here

Barely missing everything so far

Spring Summer Fall Winter Final answer

I dissent on 106F....not on a couple of days of 95-100F.

Great summer so far. I'd take this every year.

mammoth high pressure

Never forget

That’s lower than what it spit out for us a few years ago. lol

Just feel like all guidance has been overdoing the heat past d5. I think it’s a signal for heat, but it’s usually a safe bet to slice and dice the numbers. I wouldn’t mind a July 1911 stretch although my chickens would struggle.

Heat fail in those last 2 gfs runs. A couple of hot days in there, but nothing like 12z.

Remember all of those 110s modeled in the Omaha area? They finally hit 100F the other day. +1.1F on the month. The models have been way overdoing the heat in the extended. STATION: OMAHA NE MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2022 LATITUDE: 41 17 N LONGITUDE: 95 54 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 80 64 72 -5 0 7 0.29 0.0 0 6.9 21 350 M M 7 13 26 350 2 84 59 72 -5 0 7 T 0.0 0 6.9 20 170 M M 5 1 23 150 3 89 66 78 1 0 13 0.00 0.0 0 10.7 18 150 M M 6 24 160 4 97 72 85 7 0 20 0.91 0.0 0 12.7 25 200 M M 6 13 33 170 5 98 71 85 7 0 20 0.59 0.0 0 12.2 37 10 M M 6 13 51 350 6 79 71 75 -3 0 10 0.03 0.0 0 5.1 13 10 M M 9 3 17 40 7 86 72 79 1 0 14 0.35 0.0 0 7.5 16 160 M M 9 13 27 180 8 86 70 78 0 0 13 0.04 0.0 0 9.1 22 40 M M 7 18 27 40 9 86 66 76 -2 0 11 0.00 0.0 0 7.0 14 110 M M 3 19 120 10 92 72 82 4 0 17 0.00 0.0 0 14.7 26 180 M M 3 35 170 11 86 68 77 -1 0 12 T 0.0 0 8.1 37 310 M M 5 3 48 300 12 86 62 74 -4 0 9 0.00 0.0 0 5.4 14 320 M M 1 23 320 13 92 66 79 1 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 8.2 17 170 M M 2 23 180 14 93 72 83 5 0 18 0.00 0.0 0 14.9 25 180 M M 4 32 170 15 94 76 85 7 0 20 0.00 0.0 0 12.0 22 180 M M 5 34 190 16 85 73 79 1 0 14 0.01 0.0 0 6.1 14 100 M M 10 18 110 17 88 70 79 1 0 14 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 12 30 M M 6 1 17 30 18 92 69 81 3 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 9.1 17 160 M M 0 23 160 19 95 72 84 6 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 11.7 23 210 M M 3 32 200 20 92 67 80 2 0 15 0.00 0.0 0 9.3 21 320 M M 0 26 330 21 92 65 79 1 0 14 0.38 0.0 0 9.3 28 200 M M 2 3 42 200 22 98 69 84 6 0 19 0.03 0.0 0 10.7 29 200 M M 5 3 38 200 23 100 74 87 9 0 22 T 0.0 0 13.5 30 290 M M 5 3 40 300 24 88 66 77 -1 0 12 0.00 0.0 0 9.6 20 330 M M 6 26 340 25 77 64 71 -7 0 6 T 0.0 0 7.3 14 150 M M 9 17 140 ================================================================================ SM 2235 1716 0 356 2.63 0.0 232.7 M 124 ================================================================================ AV 89.4 68.6 9.3 FASTST M M 5 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> # 37 10 51 350 ================================================================================ NOTES: # LAST OF SEVERAL OCCURRENCES COLUMN 17 PEAK WIND IN M.P.H. PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) , PAGE 2 STATION: OMAHA NE MONTH: JULY YEAR: 2022 LATITUDE: 41 17 N LONGITUDE: 95 54 W [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] SYMBOLS USED IN COLUMN 16 AVERAGE MONTHLY: 79.0 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 2.63 1 = FOG OR MIST DPTR FM NORMAL: 1.1 DPTR FM NORMAL: -0.23 2 = FOG REDUCING VISIBILITY HIGHEST: 100 ON 23 GRTST 24HR 0.91 ON 4- 4 TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS LOWEST: 59 ON 2 3 = THUNDER SNOW, ICE PELLETS, HAIL 4 = ICE PELLETS TOTAL MONTH: 0.0 INCH 5 = HAIL GRTST 24HR 0.0 6 = FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE GRTST DEPTH: 0 7 = DUSTSTORM OR SANDSTORM: VSBY 1/2 MILE OR LESS 8 = SMOKE OR HAZE [NO. OF DAYS WITH] [WEATHER - DAYS WITH] 9 = BLOWING SNOW X = TORNADO MAX 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.01 INCH OR MORE: 9 MAX 90 OR ABOVE: 12 0.10 INCH OR MORE: 5 MIN 32 OR BELOW: 0 0.50 INCH OR MORE: 2 MIN 0 OR BELOW: 0 1.00 INCH OR MORE: 0 [HDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 0 CLEAR (SCALE 0-3) 7 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 PTCLDY (SCALE 4-7) 14 TOTAL FM JUL 1 0 CLOUDY (SCALE 8-10) 4 DPTR FM NORMAL 0 [CDD (BASE 65) ] TOTAL THIS MO. 356 DPTR FM NORMAL 35 [PRESSURE DATA] TOTAL FM JAN 1 838 HIGHEST SLP M ON M DPTR FM NORMAL 133 LOWEST SLP 29.67 ON 19