Jump to content

dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
  • Posts

    67,006
  • Joined

Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Clouds are building our way now...I think we're about done dropping and then we'll creep up as we go overcast and the longwave rad reradiates down to the sfc. Gunstock and Miller St Park are running 31F and 28F so there is warmer air just above this fake cold. I'm hoping for at least an inch of snow to start so the driveway isn't a skating rink.
  2. We're inverted right now so we have some in-situ CAD locked in for the onset, but there's some pretty good WAA that works in around 925. Soundings are razor close, but it's close to snow for a few hours before that WAA flips the low levels to liquid. Then it comes down to the sfc as to whether it's R or ZR. I think we'll ZR for a bit, but latently warm and rot at 32-33F through afternoon.
  3. The NAM is really warming up the BL up here whereas most models are keeping it below freezing for the brunt of the precip.
  4. HRRR is a mess here tomorrow. Soundings are close to pulling off an inch of SN/IP and then becoming mostly ZR before maybe ending as pure rain.
  5. A good wintry period in December blows away March. I agree with Kevin 100%. My epic Decembers have little melting and the snow keeps that fresh, festive look all month. March has some impressive storms, but there’s a lot of melting in between and the sun angle rips holes through the pack with any spec of dirt it shines on. The day after a March biggie the pack starts taking on that trashy E MA look.
  6. Lots of turds circling around the bowl, but no healthy log.
  7. Yeah I don't want or need that cold. Let it spill and rot in the west and send me a modified version after the New Year.
  8. Days and days of -30s and -40s in the upper plains. Omicron gone wild in the Dakotas.
  9. The euro has a little under 0.50" of glop tomorrow morning for the Lakes Region. Congrats CAR.
  10. The GGEM? That's the FRAM (freezing rain accumulation model) and not the regular QPF one, right? It's probably overdone anyway since I doubt BAF/CEF is getting that much QPF.
  11. Those maps aren't even estimating accretion though...just the amount of QPF in the form of ZR. Weenies just aren't using the maps correctly.
  12. 12z looked a little too flat to me. 6z GFS tried to wind it up and curl it in before it exited eastward.
  13. GFS tries to give the Cape a white Xmas while leaving Tolland brown like Mr. Hankey.
  14. GFS is snow to IP/ZR here tomorrow morning. It starts out near isothermal from just above the sfc to almost 800mb. Eventually H9 gets around 0.6C so maybe we can keep it frozen.
  15. Yeah NAM soundings aren't gonna cut it for here tomorrow morning...too much WAA around H9. We'll see what the globals say.
×
×
  • Create New...