SACRUS

1 hour ago, jm1220 said:

The stronger than modeled WAR wins again. 

From anther round of heavy rains to being warm sectored and tonado watch

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Newark hasn’t had an August high of 73° or lower since 2020 and a high in the 60s since 2017.
 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Aug
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2023	75	0
2022	78	0
2021	78	0
2020	73	0
2019	74	0
2018	73	0
2017	69	0

75 so far fo their high. misty cloudy onshore flow keeping it lower liekly.

Perhaps Sat is mostly dry and salvable

2 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The GEFS weeklies are a little more bullish than the EPS weeklies for some more mid 90s potential from late August into early September. But the last time Newark saw a 100° reading after August 20th was in 1993. The only times we are able to see cooler temperatures these days is with heavy rains and strong blocking. We got both this time. This was one of the strongest -EPO blocks we have seen this time of year.

 

EWR has only hit 100 or more on two days in Sep 9/3, 9/4 (1954, 1993)  Came close in with either 99 or 98 in 18,15, 10, 83 most recently.  

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Debbie will effectively end up pulling the trough was has been over the Midwest this summer into the East going forward. Another case of summer heat getting interrupted by a tropical system. We have seen this many times in the past with 100° heat right before a tropical system and then less intense heat after.

We'll see if the ridge tends more east once past the 16/17th as Jun/Jul and a warmer / humid progression evolves.  Next week looks marvelous with a imuch  needed dry out if it evolves as forecasted.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Big slowdown in 90° day counts forecast as we actually see a very comfortable stretch of temperatures coming up into mid-August. Continuing to look like we may have seen the last of the 100° heat this summer. The combination of onshore flow and wetter pattern prevented a repeat of the record type of heat we saw during the 2010 El Niño to La Niña transition. 
 

 

 

Looks heat free for the next 10 days or more.  Perhaps a similar progression from early periods in Jun and Jul before western heat pushes east north first, as we close the last 7 - 10 days of Aug.   Or it could see a day or two of low 90s and if the wetter pattern resumes with any future tropical influences.

Western track has kept the focus of the remnants of Debby west into PA, saving additional flooding Fri into sat. Mos of that additional 1 - 1.75 comes later today and Thu (tomorrow AM)

Monthly rainfall totals

TTN: 5.54
LGA: 4.03
ISP: 3.94
NYC: 3.54
EWR: 3.53
JFK: 2.47

73/71 cloudy,  4.10 in the bucket.  Cloudy onshore  SSE flow keeping it in the 70s with scattered showers. Last time the temp didn't reach 80 was Jun 28th for many.  Thu the same as Debby slowly drifts north.  Fri Debby/remnants are centered into VA and heading NNE through C/E PA keeping the brunt of additional rains focused into PA.  Sat will dry out and clear up, warming back near normal.  Sun (8/11) begins a stretch of very nice , drier, near normal allowing the area to dry out. Looking mainly dry and sunny.  Heat capped to the west through mid month.  Warming and next potential heat after 8/17 and beyond.  

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

 

2024:

PHL: 30 (Apr: 1 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 9 ; Jul: 14 ; Aug: 5  ; Sep: )
EWR: 31  (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun: 11  ; Jul: 14; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
TTN:  26 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 8 ; Jul: 13  ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
LGA: 20  (Apr:  ; May:   ; Jun: 6; Jul : 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
ACY: 22  (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun: 7 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep:  )
TEB: 28 (Apr:  ; May: 1 ; Jun : 8  ; Jul: 14  ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
NYC:  20 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 6 ; Jul: 9 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
JFK: 5 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 2; Jul:  1; Aug: 2 ; Sep:  )
ISP: 6  (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 4  ; Aug: 1; Sep: )

New Brunswick: 28 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 8; Jul:  15 ; Aug: 5 ; Sep: )
BLM:  18 (Apr:  ; May:  ; Jun: 7 ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 4 ; Sep: )

89 Degree Days:

New Brnswck: 2
ACY: 5
EWR: 6
PHL: 4  2
TEB: 1
LGA: 3
NYC: 5
JFK:  3
TTN: 1

 

Highs:

 

EWR: 94
TEB: 93
BLM: 93
TTN: 92
New Brnswck: 92
PHL: 91
LGA: 91
NYC: 90
ACY: 90
JFK: 87
ISP: 84

Records:

Highs:

EWR: 97 (2001)
NYC: 97 (1955)
LGA: 95 (2018)
JFK: 91 (2010)

Lows:

EWR: 54 (1934)
NYC: 56 (1869)
LGA: 57 (1994)
JFK: 57 (1994)

Historical:

1890 - Thunderstorms left four inches of hail covering the ground in Adair County and Union County in Iowa. The hail drifted into six foot mounds, and in some places remained on the ground for twenty- six days. (The Weather Channel)

1918 - Unusually hot weather began to overspread the Atlantic Coast States, from the Carolinas to southern New England. The temp- erature soared to an all-time record high of 106 degrees at Washington D.C., and Cumberland and Keedysville hit 109 degrees to establish a state record for Maryland. Temperatures were above normal east of the Rockies that month, with readings much above normal in the Lower Missouri Valley. Omaha NE reached 110 degrees. (David Ludlum)

1959 - A bucket survey showed that thunderstorms dropped 16.70 inches of rain on parts of Decatur County IA. The total was accepted as Iowa's 24 hour rainfall record. (The Weather Channel)

1959: Hurricane Dot crossed Kauai in the Hawaiian Islands producing sustained winds of 105 mph with gusts to 125 mph. Over 6 inches of rain fell with over 9 inches on the big island of Hawaii. The sugar cane crop on Kauai sustained $2.7 million in damages.

1986 - Evening thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Winner SD damaging two hundred homes. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1987 - Afternoon thunderstorms deluged Milwaukee, WI, with 6.84 inches of rain, including more than five inches in two hours, breaking all previous rainfall records for the city. Floodwaters were four feet deep at the Milwaukee County Stadium, and floodwaters filled the basement of the main terminal at the airport. Flooding caused 5.9 million dollars damage, and claimed the life of one person. Death Valley, CA, reported a morning low of 97 degrees. A midday thunderstorm deluged Birmingham AL with nearly six inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Severe thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Pennsylvania and New York State. A cold front crossing the northwestern U.S. produced wind gusts to 66 mph at Livingston MT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from northwestern Texas to the Southern Appalachians, and in the northeastern U.S. There were 136 reports of large hail or damaging winds during the day and evening. Thunderstorms in the Southern Plains Region produced tennis ball size hail northwest of Buffalo OK, and wind gusts to 100 mph at Pampa TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1993: Virginia experienced its worst tornado outbreak ever as 18 tornadoes ripped through the state in 5 hours. The most devastating tornado caused severe damage in the historic part of Petersburg. The storm then moved on to Pocahontas Island and into Colonial Heights. There, the storm ripped apart a WalMart store, killing three people and injuring nearly 200. The F4 twister was the first known violent tornado in Virginia history. It killed a total of 4 people and injured 246 along its 12-mile path. Total damages were near $50 million.

Highs:

 

EWR: 94
TEB: 93
BLM: 93
TTN: 92
New Brnswck: 92
PHL: 91
LGA: 91
NYC: 90
ACY: 90
JFK: 87
ISP: 84

well west

Got to 93 here, showers now down to 86.

storms popping in nj

92 / 70 now more clody

LI 

49 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Didnt have sunny and hot and oppressive  on my bingo card for today

 

88 degrees with heat index of 100

Atlantic ridge proving stronger than forecast and Debby pumping heights slowed the fronts progression.  

90 / 73 here

EWR: 90
New Brnswck: 90
LGA: 88
NYC: 87

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

We have a lot to get through to get there, but it looks like an amazing stretch of weather after Debby's remnants pass. Starting on Sunday, several sunny days with high temps in the 80s and low humidity. Looks like the best stretch of the summer. 

Hope and we'll need it to dry out.  Heat capped till after mid month out west.

87 / 74  -

.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

One of the strongest sea breeze summers limited the 90° counts east of NYC. Even places like LGA are further down on the rankings so far. Long Island is around 20th place while Central NJ is currently in 1st place.

 

Contrast 18,19,20 to the past 3 years for eastern areas and LGA specifically with heat.  Believe LGA had more 90 degree days or equaled EWR those 3 then a large disparity with prevailing onshore flow