SACRUS

1 hour ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I'm totally on board for a hot week ahead. I'm also on board for numerous showers/storms today and tonight and most notably the likelihood of a line of storms busting through during the early morning hours Monday and a severe threat during the late afternoon and evening hours Monday with another storm possible Monday night. What I am questioning is the daytime heating hours on Monday. Several of models keep most of the action to our north and west over that time. It that is true temperatures could over-perform on Monday. While the old NAM has winds too southerly to allow that to mean much, the 3K has more westerly wind component along with the RGEM. In other words, upper 80s to perhaps 90 might not be out of the question for Monday prior to the severe threat later in the day and evening. The hottest days of the week as of now look to me to be Wednesday & Thursday. Central Park should pick up 4-5 more 90+ days this week bringing the monthly total to 8 or 9.

WX/PT

Agree and i think much like yesterday and today, any shot at 90 will be in areas that see enough sun. Yesterday New brnswck and areas in C/SW NJ got to 90 while EWR/NYC were cloudy and storming in the afternoon.  Today much the same CNJ up in the upper 80s and other areas with more clouds in the low 80s.  850 temps are warmer tomorrow so that could help propel heat on any period of sunshine more than this weekend. As far as central part that inch of rain plus what we get today and Monday will replenish the vegetation and could keep the park even lower than typically on the borderline days (Tue 7/19) and Sat 7/23, Sun 7/24).

10 years ago we were in the middle of the second year in a row with record heat that would be challenged the following year. 11,12,13 peak heat this week.  

80/70 with 0.18 in the bucket.  Transition into a much more humid then hot period underway with shot for some widespread storms and rain later in Monday evening and overnight into Tue.  The heat is on Tue (7/19) with strong heat Wed (7/20) through Fri (7/21) as piece of the western oven pushes around the trough.  Next weekend Sat (7/22) and into the following week looks to continue how with potential for another blast of stronger heat for a day or two early week of Mon (7/24) / Tue (7/25)  Beyond there will see if the Western Atlantic Ridge pulls west for continued warmth or a brief trough between the next surge of heat to end the month.

7/16

New Brnswck: 91
TTN: 89
PHL: 89
ACY: 85
BLM: 85
NYC: 85
JFK: 84
TEB: 84
LGA: 84
EWR: 83
ISP: 80

3PM roundup / rain

New Brnswck: 91 / 
PHL: 88
TTN: 87
BLM: 84 
ACY: 84 
JFK: 84 
LGA: 81 (0.1)
EWR: 79 (0.09)
ISP: 73 
TEB: 72 (0.54)
NYC: 72 (0.08)

86/65 and much more humid.   Mix of sun and clouds.  Storms popping up around the region with better chances tomorrow and Monday - Florida style setup.  Heat starts Tue (7/19) with enough sun will push temps into the mid / upper 90s and perhaps the hot spots can challenge records Wed (7/20) - Fri (7/22).  Beyond that the Wester Atlantic Ridge flexes west and could see more sustained warer/ humid perhaps stormier setup once to  Sat (7/23) and beyond.

7/15

PHL: 90
New Brnswck: 87
LGA: 86
TEB: 86
NYC: 86
TTN: 86
EWR: 86
ACY: 85
JFK: 84
ISP: 82
BLM: 81

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

78/57 here.  Clouds hanging around this morning.  Pending on how much we clear out and get some period of full sun, temps may overperform forecasts but can just as easily under perform should clouds be persistent.  Mid / upper 80s today and through the weekend with storm/rain chances Sat nigh (7/16) / Sun (7/17) and again Mon (7/18) night into Tue (7/19).  Heat is on by Tue and through next Fri (7/22)  shot at mid /upper 90s.  As other mentioned if we stay clear the skies the limit on some potential record highs.  

Beyond there  Sat (7/23) and beyond - looks overall warm and likely to increase rainfall  and storm chances as humid regime builds in and the. Western Atl Ridge builds west and pieces of the western heat come east. 

7/14

EWR: 94
JFK: 92
New Brnswck: 92
ACY: 92
PHL: 92
BLM: 91
TEB: 91
TTN: 90
LGA: 90
NYC: 90
ISP: 89

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 15 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 7 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
EWR: 20 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 10; Aug: ; Sep: 
TTN: 8 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
LGA: 11 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 5; Aug: ; Sep: 
ACY: 11 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 6; Aug: ; Sep: 
TEB: 11 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
NYC: 7 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
JFK: 4 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul:2 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
ISP: 3 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 11 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 5; Aug: ; Sep: )
BLM: 11 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 5 ) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 1
TEB: 1
PHL: 2
New Brsnswk: 2
ACY: 1
JFK: 2
TTN: 1
BLM: 1
EWR: 1
ISP: 3

 

 

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7/14

EWR: 94
JFK: 92
New Brnswck: 92
ACY: 92
PHL: 92
BLM: 91
TEB: 91
TTN: 90
LGA: 90
NYC: 90
ISP: 89

Storms fired up near the Jersey Shore around 1000AM.  We'll see if we get some popup down pours this afternoon.

84/64 here.  Skies mostly clear or clearing.  Temps today may overperform and get some folks their first official heatwave. Overall warm the next 5 - 7 days and we will see where the Western Atlantic Ridge winds up by Mon (7/25).  Some strong heat next week between Tue (7/19) and Fri (7/22).  Storms and rain chances Sun / Tue next week.

7/13

EWR: 96
New Brnswck: 93
LGA: 92
JFK: 91
NYC: 91
TEB: 91
PHL: 91
BLM: 90
TTN: 90
ISP: 89
ACY: 87

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 14 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 6 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
EWR: 19 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 9; Aug: ; Sep: 
TTN: 7 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
LGA: 10 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 4; Aug: ; Sep: 
ACY: 10 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 5; Aug: ; Sep: 
TEB: 10 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 4 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
NYC: 6 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
JFK: 3 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul:1 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
ISP: 3 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 10 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 4; Aug: ; Sep: )
BLM: 10 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 4 ) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 1
TEB: 1
PHL: 2
New Brsnswk: 2
ACY: 1
JFK: 2
TTN: 1
BLM: 1
EWR: 1
ISP: 2

 

 

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7/13

EWR: 96
New Brnswck: 93
LGA: 92
JFK: 91
NYC: 91
TEB: 91
PHL: 91
BLM: 90
TTN: 90
ISP: 89
ACY: 87

Heating up again today with more mid 90s and perhaps upper 90s in the hot spots.  A very mid summer style week continues with heat and temps should overperform on the sunnier days with recent lack of rains.   Overall warm pattern continue with pieces of the western heat pushing east in more frequent doses.  Stronger heat spike is looking to push through next week Mon (7/18) - Wed (7/20).  Can we see more rain chances with South /southerly flow.   Western Atlantic Ridge hanging around and timing the western expansion of the ridge The (7/21) and beyond.

7/12

EWR: 98
TEB: 94
New Brnswck: 93
BLM: 93
PHL: 93
TTN: 92
LGA: 91
NYC: 90
ACY: 88
JFK: 83
ISp: 82

On 4/26/2011 at 9:17 AM, SACRUS said:

2022:

PHL: 13 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 5; Jul: 5 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
EWR: 18 (Apr: 0 ; May: 4 ; Jun 6 ; Jul: 8; Aug: ; Sep: 
TTN: 6 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
LGA: 9 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3  ; Jun: 3; Jul : 3; Aug: ; Sep: 
ACY: 10 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 3 ; Jul: 5; Aug: ; Sep: 
TEB: 9 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun : 3 ; Jul: 3 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
NYC: 5 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun:1 ; Jul: 2 ; Aug: ; Sep: 
JFK: 2 (Apr: 0 ; May: 1 ; Jun: 1; Jul: ; Aug: ; Sep: 
ISP: 3 (Apr: 0 ; May: 2 ; Jun: 1 ; Jul:  ; Aug: ; Sep: 

New Brunswick: 9 (Apr: 0 ; May: 3 ; Jun: 3; Jul: 3; Aug: ; Sep: )
BLM: 9 (Apr: 0; May: 4 ; Jun: 2 ; Jul: 3 ) 

89 Degree Days:

NYC: 1
TEB: 1
PHL: 2
New Brsnswk: 2
ACY: 1
JFK: 2
TTN: 1
BLM: 1
EWR: 1
ISP: 1

 

 

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2021:

PHL:  37 (April: 0; May: 3  ; June: 9 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug:  15; Sep:  )
EWR: 41 (April: 0; May: 4  ; June: 13 ; Jul: 10 ; Aug: 13; Sep: 1 )
TTN: 22 (April:0 ; May: 1  ; June: 8 ; Jul: 7 ; Aug: 6 ; Sep: )
LGA: 25 (April: 0; May: ; June: 9 ; Jul: 8; Aug: 8 ; Sep: )
ACY: 26 (April: 0; May:2 ; June: 6 ; Jul: 10  ; Aug: 8 ; Sep: )
TEB: 21 (April: 0; May: ; June: 9 ; Jul:  6  ; Aug: 6 ; Sep:  )
NYC: 17 (April: 0 ; May:  ; June: 8; Jul: 4;  Aug: 5  ; Sep: )
JFK: 10 (April: 0; May: 2 ; June: 3 ; Jul: 1 ; Aug: 4; Sep: )
ISP: 10 (April: 0; May:1 ; June: 1 ; Jul:1 ; Aug:  7 ; Sep: )
New Bnswk: 35 (April: 0 , May: 3, June: 10, July: 10; Aug: 12 ;Sep:;  )

89 degree days

EWR: 4
ACY: 10
PHL: 5
TTN: 9
NYC: 5
ISP: 6
BLM: 4
TEB: 8 89
JFK: 6
LGA: 6
 

 

7/12

EWR: 98
TEB: 94
New Brnswck: 93
BLM: 93
PHL: 93
TTN: 92
LGA: 91
NYC: 90
ACY: 88
JFK: 83
ISp: 82

10AM Roundup

EWR: 84
ACY: 81
PHL: 81
New Brnswck: 81
LGA: 80
JFK: 79
TTN: 79
BLM: 79
TEB: 79
ISP: 76
NYC: 76

Heating up now should be low 80s by 10AM

Hot today, some storms later in the evening and overnight , will see how much we can cash in on.  Low-mid 90s, if we stay clear enough in the warm spots perhaps some upper 90s.  More of the same tomorrow, will just be a matter of clearing out to push temps above low/mid 90s.  Overall warm to hot next 7 days, need to see if precip increases between Sun (7/17) and next week as tropics in the Gulf and flow indicate more rain chances, otherwise more frequent pieces of the Westrn heat push east and we see overall coast to coast warm period.  The Western Atlantic Ridge is coming west the second half of July and should equate to a warm finish,

7/11

TEB: 89
EWE: 88
NewBrsnswck: 87
PHL: 86
NYC: 85
TTN: 85
LGA: 84
BLM: 83
ACY: 81
JFK: 81
ISP: 80