SACRUS

back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2022) - hot one a year ago NYC: 96 (1939) LGA: 96 (1987) '87 a very warm May overall Lows: EWR: 44 (1938) NYC: 46 (1938) LGA: 50 (2021) Historical: 1830: Shelbyville, Tennessee was turned into "a heap of ruins" as a tornado moved east through the center of the town. This tornado destroyed 15 homes and 38 businesses along with churches and other public buildings. Losses were estimated to be as high as $100,000. A book was said to be carried seven miles away. 1889 - The Johnstown disaster occurred, the worst flood tragedy in U.S. history. Heavy rains collapsed the South Fork Dam sending a thirty foot wall of water rushing down the already flooded Conemaugh Valley. The wall of water, traveling as fast as twenty-two feet per second, swept away all structures, objects and people. 2100 persons perished in the flood. (David Ludlum) 1941 - Thunderstorms deluged Burlington KS with 12.59 inches of rain to establish a 24 hour rainfall record for the state. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Severe thuunderstorms spawned forty-one tornadoes across the Lower Great Lakes Region and southeastern Ontario which killed 74 persons. (Storm Data) 1987 - Thunderstorms in New England produced wind gusts up to 90 mph at Worcester, MA, and Northboro, MA, and hail an inch and a half in diameter at Williston, VT. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S. The afternoon high of 94 degrees at Portland, ME, was a record for the month of May. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Hot and humid weather prevailed in the eastern U.S. Thirteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Cape Hatteras, NC, reported their first ninety degree day in May in 115 years of records. "Dust buster" thunderstorms in northwest Texas drenched Amarillo with more than three inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather and torrential rains in northern Indiana, northern Ohio and southern Lower Michigan. Saint John IND was drenched with four inches of rain in two hours, and Woodland MI was deluged with two inches in twenty minutes. Pittsburgh PA reported a record 6.55 inches of rain for the month of May, with measurable rain reported on twenty-five days during the month. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms developing along a warm front produced severe weather from northwest Texas to southeastern Louisiana. The thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, including thirteen in northwest Texas. One tornado hit the town of Spearman, TX, causing more than a million dollars damage, and seven other tornadoes were reported within twenty-five miles of Spearman. Thunderstorms over northwest Texas also produced baseball size hail at Monahans, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Paducah. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2013: The 2nd of the top 10 weather events for 2013 was EL Reno, Oklahoma tornado of May 31, 2013. Part of the multi-day storm outbreak caused $2 billion in damage. The EF3 that traveled through the western suburbs of Oklahoma City was the largest tornado ever observed with a width of 2.6 miles. It took eight lives including four tornado chasers.

A bit warmer today mid / upper 70s before back into the 80s to open the month Thu (6/1) and some stray 90 degree readings Fri (6/2) before a sharp change as strong NE flow pushes backdoor front through on Sat (6/3). Sat may stay in the low 60s or lower with clouds and drizzle (ugly day). Sun (6/4) perhaps a bit to clear out and remaining cool. Trough builds down next week ECM a bit flatter, GFS cuts off low and spins waves around it with rain chances next Tue - Wed (6/7). Beyond there heights are rising by the 9th and warmer push into the area. ECM much more robust on potential above normal, GFS closer to normal till md month.

5/30 PHL: 76 NYC: 72 TEB: 72 TTN: 71 EWR: 70 New Brnswck: 70 LGA: 69 ISP: 68 ACY: 68 BLM: 66 JFK: 66

Wouldnt surprise me if it's off by more than 20 degrees and Saturday is stuck in the 60s, perhaps midnight / wee morning highs but Sat and potentially Sunday look cool and mistu.

Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1987) NYC: 97 (1987) LGA: 96 (1987) Lows: EWR: 39 (1947) - latest below 40 reading. NYC: 42 (1884) LGA: 48 (2021) Historical: 1879 - A major outbreak of severe weather occurred in Kansas and western Missouri. In Kansas, tornadoes killed eighteen persons at Delphos, and thirty persons at Irving. Two tornadoes struck the town of Irving within a few minutes time virtually wiping the small Kansas community off the map. The second tornado was perhaps two miles wide, and exhibited multiple vortices. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1927: The Kentucky River peaks during a massive flood that killed 89 people and left thousands homeless. Torrential rains caused this unprecedented flood. 1948 - A railroad bed acting as a dam gave way during a flood along the Columbia River destroying the town of Vanport, OR. The nearly 19,000 residents escaped with little more than the clothes on their backs. (David Ludlum) 1948 - Twenty carloads of glass were needed in Denver, CO, to replace that destroyed by a severe hailstorm. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the eastern U.S. Eighteen cities, from Virginia to Ohio and Michigan, reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 97 degrees at Baltimore, MD, and Washington, DC, and 98 degrees at Newark, NJ, were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Memorial Day heralded heavy snow in some of the mountains and higher passes of Wyoming, closing roads in Yellowstone Park. McDonald Pass, MT, was blanketed with eight inches of snow, while the temperature at Miles City, MT, soared to 94 degrees. A "supercell" thunderstorm in west Texas produced baseball size hail in Bailey and Lamb counties, and up to five inches of rain in less than an hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the Upper Ohio Valley during the day. A powerful (F-4) tornado injured three persons and caused a million dollars damage at New Providence, IA. Baseball size hail was reported at Blue Earth, MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms developing along a warm front spawned fourteen tornadoes in northeastern Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours. The thunderstorms also produced baseball size hail near Marshall, wind gusts to 77 mph at Commerce, and up to five inches of rain. Thunderstorms over southwestern Kansas produced up to six inches of rain. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

Up to 62 off of lows in the lower 50s. Smoke visible and encroaching in C-LI heading SSW at a good clip. Cooler onshore flow today with most in the low 70s. A bit Warmer tomorrow md 70s before back to the 80s to open June Thu (6/1) and perhaps a stray 90 on Fri (6/2) as flow pushes down some warmth on NW flow. It's a quick warm up As the weekend turns much cooler and pending on guidance perhaps some rain/clouds to make Saturday (6/3) a raw one. Trough digs down into the NE and subsequent cut off between 6/6 - 6/9 should bring cooler / and next meaningful rain perhaps the next deluge. Beyond there heights looks to rise in the east and warmup into Mid month.

5/29 PHL: 82 NYC: 79 EWR: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 78 ISP: 77 New Brnswck: 76 ACY: 76 BLM: 75 JFK: 75

Natural air conditioning on that ENE wind , 74 now from 77 but cool feel

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1987) NYC: 97 (1969) LGA: 95 (1987) Lows: EWR: 40 (1936) NYC: 43 (1902) LGA: 48 (2021) Historical: 1947: An unprecedented late-spring snowstorm blasts portions of the Midwest from eastern Wyoming to eastern Upper Michigan. The heavy snow caused severe damage to power and telephone lines and the already-leafed-out vegetation. 1951 - A massive hailstorm, from Wallace to Kearney County in Kansas, caused six million dollars damage to crops. (David Ludlum) 1953 - A tornado, 600 yards wide at times, killed two persons on its 20 mile path from southwest of Fort Rice ND into Emmons County. Nearly every building in Fort Rice was damaged. The Catholic church was leveled, with some pews jammed four feet into the ground. (The Weather Channel) 1982: Two significant tornadoes ripped through southern Illinois. The most severe was an F4 that touched down northeast of Carbondale, Illinois then moved to Marion. The twister had multiple vortices within the main funnel. Extensive damage occurred at the Marion Airport. A total of 10 people were killed, and 181 were injured. 648 homes and 200 cars were damaged or destroyed, with total damages around $100 million. 1987 - Thunderstorms in West Texas produced softball size hail at Lamesa, and hail up to twelve inches deep east of Dimmitt. Thunderstorms also spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas, including one which injured three persons at Wolfforth. Thunderstorms deluged the Texas Hill Country with up to eleven inches of rain. Severe flooding along the Medino, Hondo, Seco, Sabinal and Frio rivers caused more than fifty million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - A powerful cold front brought snow and high winds to parts of the western U.S. Austin, NV, was blanketed with ten inches of snow, and winds gusted to 75 mph at the Mojave Airport in California. Strong southerly winds and unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the north central U.S. Glasgow, MT, equalled their record for the month of May with a high of 102 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Wintry weather gripped parts of the northwestern U.S. for the second day in a row. Great Falls, MT, was blanketed with 12 inches of snow, which pushed their total for the winter season to a record 117.4 inches. Six inches of snow whitened the Cascade Mountains of Oregon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from north central Colorado to the northern half of Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, and there were seventy reports of large hail or damaging winds. Midday thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Hobart, OK, and produced up to three and a half inches of rain in eastern Colorado in four hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

71 and mostly sunny. On way to upper 70s / low 80s and a gorgeous Memorial Day. Slip back nearer to 70 tomorrow with stronger onshore flow before moderating Tue (5/31). Still cant imagine we dont see a cloudier than forecast day tue as ull moves nearby and out. June opens warmer by Wed (6/1) and Thu (6/2) with shot at 90 in the warmer spots, coupled with recent arid conditions. more of a NNE flow by the weekend cools it back off as trough backs in 6/4 - 6/9 but overall near normal. Have to see if rain chances or meaningful rain increases in the period. Beyond there once more W/NW flow established should see warmer overall.

5/28 EWR: 80 New Brnswck: 80 TEB: 79 NYC: 79 PHL: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 76 ISP: 74 BLM: 72 JFK: 71 ACY: 71

Made it to 80 now down to 77 with mainly overcast skies.

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (2016) NYC: 94 (1959) LGA: 92 (2016) Lows: EWR: 42 (1961) NYC: 43 (1961) LGA: 44 (1961) Historical: 1877 - A "terrific" two day long sandstorm (sand) blasted Yuma, AZ. (28th-29th) (The Weather Channel) 1880: An estimated F4 tornado hit Savoy, Texas. The storm killed 14 people, and 60 others were injured. It leveled the entire business and northeast residential sections. The tornado was described as "a funnel blazing with balls of fire." 1942 - The latest snowstorm of record for the state of Iowa left ten inches at LeMars, eight inches at Cherokee, and 7.5 inches at Waukon. Afternoon highs were in the lower 30s in parts of northwestern Iowa. (The Weather Channel) 1947 - A storm produced heavy snow across Wisconsin, with ten inches reported at Gay Mills. The snow damaged fruit and other trees, and downed power lines. The storm was followed by the coldest weather of the month for much of the High Plains Region and Missouri Valley. Williston ND reported a low of 21 degrees the morning of the 28th, and the next morning Cheyenne WY reported a morning low of 16 above zero. (David Ludlum) 1973: An F3 tornado moved east and struck the northern portion of Athens, Georgia. Destruction was massive near Athens, with losses estimated at ten million dollars. Damage from the storm included 545 homes and 17 businesses. Hundreds of large trees more than 100 years old were destroyed. 1987 - Thunderstorms produced torrential rains in Oklahoma and northern Texas. Lake Altus, OK, was deluged with nine inches of rain. Up to eight inches drenched northern Texas, and baseball size hail was reported north of Seminole and at Knickerbocker. Ten to 13 inch rains soaked central Oklahoma the last five days of May resulting in an estimated 65 million dollars damage, and forcing several thousand persons to evacuate their homes, many by boat or helicopter. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - A sharp cold front began to usher cold, wet and windy weather into the western U.S. Thunderstorms in the Great Plains Region produced wind gusts to 80 mph near Brookings, SD. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather continued in Florida. Five cities reported record high temperatures for the date. The record high of 98 degrees at Lakeland, FL, was their fifth in a row. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Florida late in the day, with golf ball size hail reported at Kissimmee. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Two to five inches of rain over southeastern Ohio on the 28th and 29th capped an exceptionally wet month of May, and triggered widespread flooding. Flooding which resulted claimed three lives, and caused millions of dollars damage. Numerous roads in southeast Ohio were flooded and impassable, and many other roads were blocked by landslides. (Storm Data) 2015: Some parts of Oklahoma have seen more than a foot of rain during May 2015. Storms killed at least 17 people in Texas and Oklahoma, and more than a dozen are still missing. State climatologist Gary McManus from the Oklahoma Climatological Survey calculated the May rainfall total averaged over all Sooner State reporting stations through midday May 29 - 14.18 inches - was easily outpacing the previous record wet month, set in October 1941 (10.75 inches). lhdos

Continue to see rain chances abate in the longer range. INteresting pattern we are in.

67 and mostly sunny. As suspected clouds and even some rain showers much north of guidance (into the DelMarVa/SNJ). We'll see but should stay mostly clear north of there and on way to another beauty but suspect more clouds than Sat. Memorial day (5/29) a clone of today with upper 70s low 80s. Winds turn more onshore Tue (5/30) and drop temps back into the lower 70s. Warms a bit Wed (5/31) but the low associated with the cut off /ULL tracks out and east by the Thu (6/1) which should keep temps in the 70s/80s before the brief surge heat Fri (6/2) and perhaps Sat (6/3) Trough a bit less pronounced on subsequent sets of guidance so more normal to perhaps above overall beyond.

5/27 EWR: 80 PHL: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TEB: 79 LGA: 78 TTN: 78 NYC: 78 BLM: 75 ISP: 75 ACY: 74 JFK: 73

75/40 just amazing today.

Interesting progression as the trough builds down from the NE - SW(ish) 6/4 - 6/9. Will see beyond there if the ridging into the plains shifts east. Looks dry but youd think some showers and storms would pop with that look in early June. Dryness should allow 850s >15c to touch 90 Thu and Fri this week.

69 and sunshine. Gorgeous day on tap with upper 70s to near 80. Still wonder if some of the clouds make it north tomorrow or Monday, ff not, more sunshine, 70s to low 80s and dry. The rain will stay south. As the ULL moves out Tue, the flow comes around to the NW/W and we warm up to upper 80s and 90s to open the month Thu / Fri. Trough back in next weekend but guidance likely keeps it near normal/cooler but dry. Trough pushes through by the middle of the forst week of Jun and the next shot of meaningful rain in the period 6/4 - 6/9. RIdging coming east way beyond there. What was forecast over the northeast - check out the SE SC/GA/NC area. Looks tropical almost

5/26 Gorgeous day and a great weekend on tap EWR: 76 New Brnswck: 75 PHL: 75 TEB: 74 JFK: 73 TTN: 73 LGA: 73 BLM: 72 ISP: 72 NYC: 72 ACY: 69

Records: Highs: EWR: 96 (1965) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 94 (2010) Lows: EWR: 44 (1967) NYC: 42 (1967) LGA: 45 (1972) Historical: 1771 - A famous Virginia flood occurred as heavy rains in the mountains brought all rivers in the state to record high levels. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1917 - A tornado touched down near Louisiana MO about noon and remained on the ground for a distance of 293 miles, finally lifting seven hours and twenty minutes later in eastern Jennings County, IN. The twister cut a swath of destruction two and a half miles wide through Mattoon, IL. There were 101 persons killed in the tornado, including 53 at Mattoon, and 38 at Charleston IL. Damage from the storm totalled 2.5 million dollars. (David Ludlum) 1984 - Thunderstorms during the late evening and early morning hours produced 6 to 13 inches of rain at Tulsa OK in six hours (8.63 inches at the airport). Flooding claimed fourteen lives and caused 90 million dollars property damage. 4600 cars, 743 houses, and 387 apartments were destroyed or severely damage in the flood. (Storm Data) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in southwest Iowa spawned five tornadoes and produced up to ten inches of rain. Seven inches of rain at Red Oak forced evacuation of nearly 100 persons from the town. Record flooding took place in southwest Iowa the last twelve days of May as up to 17 inches of rain drenched the area. Total damage to crops and property was estimated at 16 million dollars. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - There was "frost on the roses" in the Upper Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachian Mountain Region. Thirteen cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Youngstown OH with a reading of 30 degrees. Evening thunderstorms in North Dakota produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Jamestown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms in produced large hail in eastern Oklahoma during the pre-dawn hours, and again during the evening and night. Hail two inches in diameter was reported near Prague, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 70 mph near Kenefic. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from eastern Colorado to western Arkansas and northeastern Texas. Severe thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes, and there were eighty-eight reports of large hail or damaging winnds. Evening thunderstorms over central Oklahoma spawned strong tornadoes east of Hinton and east of Binger, produced hail three inches in diameter at Minco, and produced wind gusts to 85 mph at Blanchard. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2009: Northeast of Anchorage, Alaska, two hikers climbed a ridge to see a developing storm better. Lightning knocked the couple unconscious. Regaining consciousness, they called emergency services as the woman was unable to walk. The man's shoes looked as though they had melted.

Up to 63 and more bright sunshine on a NE wind. 70s today and Sat (5/27) before Sun (5/28) and Memorial Day (5/29) touch 80. Overall dry and ULL is over the southeast/Carolinas. I guess the proverbial other shoe didnt drop this holiday weekend. It does look like all rain and even clouds stay south of the area as the low exits early next week. Cooler at the beaches with onshore E/ENE flow this weekend. Next week continues dry and stronger onshore flow knocks temps down to near 70 Tue (5/30) before jumping back up to near 80 Mon (5/31). The month opens warm as flow goes NW/NNW with next shot at 90, especially in the warmer spots Wed - Fri. Beyond there the trough kind of back in from the North by next weekend 6/4. We'll see how much rain is possible between then and 6/8.

Records: highs: EWR: 93 (1991) NYC: 95 (1880) LGA: 95 (2007) Lows: EWR: 42 (1956) NYC: 41 (1925) LGA: 44 (1967) Historical: 1896: An estimated F5 tornado hit Oakwood, Ortonville, and Thomas, Michigan. Forty-seven people were killed, and 100 were injured. Trees were debarked "even to the twigs, as though done by the careful hand of an experienced artisan." Parts of houses were found up to 12 miles away. 1917 - A tornado ripped through southeast Kansas, traveling 65 mph. The average speed was a record for any tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1955 - Two tornadoes struck the town of Blackwell, OK, within a few minutes time during the late evening. The tornadoes killed 18 persons and injured more than 500 others. Early the next morning a tornado virtually obliterated the small community of Udall KS killing 80 persons and injuring 270 persons. More than half the persons in the community were killed or injured by the tornado. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1975: On Raccoon Lake, Indiana, lightning struck the motor of a speedboat and traveled up the control wires, killing the driver. The 38-year-old man was knocked into the water by the bolt. His wife and two children, also in the boat, were not injured. 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned fifteen tornadoes in West Texas. One thunderstorm spawned a powerful tornado near Gruver, TX, along with golf ball size hail and 75 mph winds. A man on a boat on Lake Bistineau in northwest Louisiana was struck and killed by lightning, while the other three persons in the boat were unharmed. The man reportedly stood up in the boat and asked to be struck by lightning. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed in the Upper Midwest. Marquette, MI, reported a record low of 26 degrees. Thunderstorms in the north central U.S. produced wind gusts to 62 mph at Idaho Falls, ID, and produced 4 inches of rain in less than four hours in northern Buffalo County. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a strong cold front produced severe weather from Oklahoma to Ohio through the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned nine tornadoes, and there were 155 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at Dittmer, MO, and thunderstorm winds gusting to 90 MPH caused twenty million dollars damage at Rockville IN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Evening thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes in Kansas and Missouri, and there were three dozen reports of large hail or damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter at Cole Camp, and wind gusts to 72 mph at Rosebud. Heavy thunderstorm rains produced flash flooding in central Missouri. Flood waters swept through Washington State Park southwest of Saint Louis, and nearly one hundred persons had to be rescued from water as much as twenty feet deep. The flood waters swept away a number of vehicles, some were carried as much as four miles away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2008: A rare, large and destructive EF5 tornado created a 43-mile long path across Butler and Black Hawk counties in Iowa. This tornado killed eight people, injured dozens and caused several millions of dollars in damage. The tornado was nearly three-quarters of a mile wide as it moved through the southern end of Parkersburg. A third of the town was affected by devastating damage with nearly 200 homes destroyed. This storm produced the first EF5 tornado in Iowa since 6/13/1976 and only the third EF5 tornado to occur in the United States in the past ten years.