SACRUS

2/1 18z ICON

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

2/21 18z NAM 3k

Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24

Snow 10:1

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

2/21 18z Summary

 

Total QPF NYC 
/
Snow 10:1 NYC


SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6

Updated with the NAM  

The Not Any more (NAM) buries Seaside Heights and Point Pleasant with 3 feet of snow 27 into NYC (verbatim)

2/21 18z NAM

Total QPF  2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

2/21 18z Summary

Total QPF NYC 
/
Snow 10:1 NYC


SREF: 2.1 / 19.6
NAM:  2.8 / 27.6
NAM 3K:  2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.3 / 12.9
RGEM: 1.1 / 11
GFS: 1.7 / 17.1
GFS AI AIGFS:  1.3 / 12.7
UKMET: 1.7 . 15.2
GEFS Mean : 1.8 / 18.2
Euro: 1.3 / 11.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.2 / 11.4

2/21 18z SREF

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24 Mean

Snow 10:1

NYC : 16

LGA 17.4

ISP : 20

JFK : 19.1

EWR:  18.6

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sref is going to show ridiculous amounts 

How much espresso have you drank today?  

5 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8
UKMET: 1/2  / 12.9
Euro : 1.0 / 10.2
Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8
UKMET: 1/2  / 12.9
Euro : 1.0 / 10.2
Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mean / Average (All Models Included)

Total QPF (NYC): 1.64 inches

10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 16.8 inches

4 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8
UKMET: 1/2  / 12.9
Euro : 1.0 / 10.2
Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6

Updated with the Uero and Euro AI AIFS

2/21 12z Euro

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:!

2/21 12z EURO AI AIFS

Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24

Snow 10:1

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8
UKMET: 1/2  / 12.9

Updated with UKMET

UKIE Cyclone

2/21 12z UKMET
 

Total QPF 2/22-2/23- 24

Snow 10:1

Track / speed more crucial on the 12z suite all looking good - great.  RGEM/ICON AIGFS a bit quicker than GFS/NAM.  The QPF will be better honed in on later 18z/00z and tomorrow with meso models.  At the time Nam/GFS more robust but banding likely under done on the globals in general.  There will likely (as occurs in these rapidly developing storms) bands that drop 0.5 or more in 2-3 hours / 3 - 6 inches of snow.

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8

Updated with GEFS

2/21 12z GEFS

Total QPF Mean 2/22- 2/23-24

SNow 10:1

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7

Updated with GGEM

2/21 12z GGEM

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

GGEM 992 off DelMarVa 

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8

Updated GFS