SACRUS

2/21 12z GFS

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 -24

Snow 10:1

GFS 984 off DelMarVa

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1

Updated with ICON and RGEM 

2/21 12z RGEM

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9

Updated with the ICOn

2/21 12z ICON

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

12z ICON 992 low off DelMarVa

2/21 12z NAM 3k

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

prior frame

NAM gets the ciry down to 27F at the peak

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1

Updated with the NAM 

Seaside Heights and Point Pleasant with 3 feet of snow according to the NAM

2/21 12z NAM 

Total QPF 2/22  - 2/23-24

Snow 10:1

Still snowing through 4pm Monday (21z)

nam down to 968 at 2/23 9z / 4am sunday

GFS warmest at 15z (10:00 Sunday morning)

lowest (29) at 12z Mon / 7AM

1 minute ago, Blizzardo said:

195 is like exit 100 on the parkway

1-1.75 QPF

2/21 12z Summary

Total QPF 2/22 -2/23-24 NYC

/
Snow 10:1  NYC

SREF: 1/8 / 17.1
NAM: 2.5 / 24.1
NAM 3k: 2.2 / 21.6
ICON: 1.4 / 13.9
RGEM: 1.3 / 13.1
GFS:  2.0 / 20.3
GFS AI AIGFS: 1.4 / 13.8
GGEM: 1.5 / 14.7
GEFS: 1.8 / 17.8
UKMET: 1/2  / 12.9
Euro : 1.0 / 10.2
Euro AI AIFS: 1.3 / 12.6

2/21  09z SREF

Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23-24

10:1 Snow

I posted this late last night and not sure i am navigating the CIPS analog website correctly but this is what i was able to find - fwiw if anything:

 

• Individual Analogs
• 1. 20200306/1800
  2. 19800207/0600
  3. 20180307/1800
  4. 20230314/0000
  5. 20130325/1800
  6. 20150127/0000
  7. 20180313/0000
  8. 20140326/0000
  9. 19830116/0000
  10. 20010305/1800
  11. 20060212/1200
  12. 19840329/1200
  13. 20130306/1800
  14. 20110127/0000
  15. 19870126/1200

Probably lose 0.2-0.3 before best snow/dynamics and cooling takeover but still looking like a solid foot or more i95 east 

06z :

Models 

Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.49 inches

Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 15.5 inches