SACRUS

1/22 00Z QPF  - NYC

ICON: 1.5 
GFS: 1.2 
GFS AI AIGFS: 0.9
GGEM: 1.2 (50% sleet)
UKMET: 1.2  (90% snow)
GEFS *mean: 1.1
Euro AI AIFS: 1.1
Euro: 0.9

2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I already question both NYC getting 18 inches and Buffalo 2 feet from a synoptic snowstorm unless Buffalo is lake effect enhanced?

Buf looks Lakes enhanced for sure

ICON long duration  1/22 00Z Total QPF - storm

5 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Not in the amped camp.

Yeah it'll be in complete storm range by 12z tomorrow and become more useful at 18z thu

 NAM

FWiW (and probably not much)

00z NAM



 

18z Euro AI AIFS total QPF - storm

The AI GFS is a bit better

30 hours of mostly light to mod snow and total QPF 0.5 - 0.8 (back to the colder less QPF yesterday on 19zz GFS)

Snow starts around 4-5 AM Sun

19Z GFS to 

81

Just for reference and no stick should be put in this range of the NAM

84H

18z

Up to 35 here 34 degree swing (so far)

3 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

12Z Total QPF (Storm)  NYC 

ICON: 0.9 - 1.1
GFS: 1.1 - 1.3
GFS AI AIGFS: .09 - 1.1
GGEM: 1.1  (Partial sleet)
GEFS: 0.7 - 0.8
UKMET: 1.1 (some sleet)
Euro: 0.9 
Euro AI AIFS: 0.9 - 1.1
 

Just about an inch on all major QPF's

12Z Euro Total QPF storm

1.00 - 1.25 now centered in the NYC/NJ area

12Z Euro AI AIFS  good

total QPF - storm