SACRUS

92 here CNJ in/out of clouds with some storms in NJ/PA border / NYS. 2PM Update; LGA: 92 BLM: 92 EWR: 91 TEB: 91 ACY: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 89 JFK: 88 NYC: 87 ISP: 87

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_NHEM/animweur.html

Noon Roundup: ACY: 91 TEB: 90 LGA: 90 EWR: 90 BLM: 89 PHL: 89 ISP: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 87 JFK: 86

10AM : ISP: 85 EWR: 85 TEB: 85 BLM: 85 ACY: 85 LGA: 84 JFK: 83 TTN: 83 PHL: 83 NYC: 81

Betting on warm and wetter than normal has been the way to go. The 8/1 - 8/7 period may see increased storminess, and its still looking like on/around 8/9 into the eek of 8/12 stronger heat will be heading east. Could be some nice storms with active pattern just near or north of the region and any tropical antics.

Not for the park (running 3-5 below other stations) but most other NYC stations will get 3 or 4 ( Wednesday, pending on the front timing.

7/28: LGA: 93 EWR: 92 TEB: 92 ACY: 92 BLM: 92 New Bnswk: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87

7/28: LGA: 93 EWR: 92 TEB: 92 ACY: 92 BLM: 92 New Bnswk: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87

1PM; Park back to 3-5 behind other sites TEB: 90 EWR: 90 LGA: 90 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 PHL: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 87 TTN: 87 ISP: 86 NYC: 86

Noon; ACY: 88 EWR: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 88 PHL: 86 BLM: 86 ISP: 86 TTN: 85 JFK: 85 NYC: 85 New Bnswk: ---

Some more typical summer heat today - Wed (ahead of the next from) peaking tues where some hotter areas could get to mid 90s, 850 temps 16-19C. Beyond there 8/1 - 8/8 back towards normal and potential wetter period. On/around 8/9 and into the 8/12 week could see the next round of stronger heat spread into the region which would follow a similar progression of the end of June EU heat wave with our area experiencing stronger heat around 14-20 days after.

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_NE/recentvis.html http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SAT_NE/anim8vis.html

Other than some areas of storms on the NW PA/NY border heading east we'll see how much of that should dissipates - most areas should grab another 90 degree today. 10AM ISP: 83 TEB: 83 ACY: 83 LGA: 82 EWR: 82 JFK: 81 BLM: 81 PHL: 81 TTN: 80 NYC: 79

7/27: PHL: 90 EWR: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 88 New Bnswck: 88 LGA: 87 ACY: 86 BLM: 85 NYC: 85 JFK: 82 ISP: 80

1PM; many sites partly - mostly cloudy now and next hour or so. Temps fell back a bit PHL: 86 TEB: 85 EWR: 85 LGA: 84 TTN: 84 ACY: 84 NYC: 83 BLM: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 80

Some pop up storms in pa and CT

Noon : More clouds in the last hour EWR: 86 LGA: 86 TEB: 86 TTN: 85 PHL: 85 ACY: 84 BLM: 83 NYC: 83 JFK: 80 ISP: 79 New Bnswck: --- (site down)

One thing that has been a theme this summer since Memorial day is the string of great weekend / Holiday (July 4th) weather. Any of the rains/storms have been mostly during the week. I count 18 of 21 weekend/ holiday days as dry and great summer weather. Warmer spots may snatch a 90 today more widedpread tomorrow - Wed where Mon and Tue (especially Tuesday) could yield some stronger (95 +) heat. Then the next front which could deliver some more heavy rains later Wed - Fri. Then back to normal / below 8/1 - 8/8 before next surge of heat comes back and perhaps stronger into the week of 8/12..

7/26 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 PHL: 88 EWR: 88 LGA: 88 TTN: 87 ACY: 87 ISP: 86 BLM: 85 JFK: 85 New Bnswk: --- (site down since 7/23*)

August still looks warm overall and probably stronger warmth the second half. Still think on/around Aug 9 stronger heat returns east,

Going forward we should see warming each day starting tomorrow with 90s possible Sat and likely/widespread Sunday (7/28) - Wed (7/31) before the next front and drop back towards normal 8/1 - 8/6. This reminds me of the progression after the end of June heat wave in Europe we see the strongest heat about 14 days after and I expect the same with stronger heat towards 8/9.. Still think we'll find a way to be on the continued wet/stormier than normal side of things.

1PM - just a splendid afternoon LGA: 84 PHL: 84 EWR: 84 NYC: 83 JFK: 83 ISP: 83 TEB: 82 ACY: 81 BLM: 81 TTN: 81 New Bnswk: -- (site down since 7/23)

7/24 TEB: 86 EWR: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 JFK: 84 TTN: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 83 ACY: 82 BLM: 82 New Bnswk: --

i have a hard time seeing any dry or prolonged dry period materialize. bet on warm and wet and with the fast pacific flow nothing lingering more than 3-5 days.