SACRUS

10/11 ACY: 70 JFK: 69 LGA: 68 New Brnswck: 68 EWR: 68 BLM: 67 NYC: 67 PHL: 67 TEB: 66 TTN: 66 ISP: 66v

Clouds ahead of the remnants of Delta overspreading the area. Rain arrived this evening and heaviest rains look overnight into the early afternoon tomorrow. Widespread 2 inches (+). Slow to clear front out Tuesday before some more dry and sunny weather Wed - Friday (near normal). ECM continues to show a chilly but brief weekend (10/17-18) before the back and forth col warm follows the week of 10/19. Looks overall warm between a warmth and cool shots bias cool northwest of the region with stronger perhaps longer east coast ridging towards the last week of the month.

Yesterdays highs 10/10 PHL: 74 ACY: 74 LGA: 73 EWR: 73 BLM: 73 TTN: 72 New Brnswck: 72 JFK: 71 TEB: 71 NYC: 71 ISP: 69

Been the theme on some of the close in forecasts past few weekends. Satellite loop told a different story last night and early this AM. Clouds for most the day i80 south.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif

65 and mostly cloudy here. Satellite last night hinted that today was not likely going to be mostly sunny as some late forecasts showed. Despite that it will be very warm today and should we get some longer peaks of sun it could push upper 70s in places. Clouds continue tomorrow as delta moves closer. Bet on the rains always a good bet after prolonged dry period. Supect >2 inches area wide Sunday PM into Tue AM. Drier again mid week. Colder next weekend with ECM again showing widespread frost/freezed for 48 hours Sat and Sun. Beyond there a back and forth but bias overall warm in the east with troughh further inland.

10/9 EWR: 73 New Brnswck: 72 BLM: 72 ACY: 72 PHL: 72 LGA: 71 TEB: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 69 JFK: 68

10/8 ACY: 69 New Brnswck: 69 EWR: 68 PHL: 68 JFK: 67 BLM: 67 ISP: 66 TTN: 65 TEB: 65 LGA: 65 NYC: 64

10/7 EWR: 79 ACY: 79 PHL: 79 BLM: 78 JFK: 78 New Brnswck: 78 LGA: 77 TTN: 77 ISP: 75 NYC: 74 TEB: 74

70 sunny and breezy. 2 day cool down Thu (10/8) and Fri (10/9) much muted vs previous guidance followed by a 7 - 10 day warm period with temperatures running around +5 for the period as a whole. We'll have to see how much rain works in Sunday night into Monday from Delta and then any subsequent warm fronts. Cool down towards 10/20 liekly but may be temporary before height come up along the east coast.

10/6 LGA: 71 EWR: 71 PHL: 71 ACY: 71 New Brnswck: 70 BLM: 70 JFK: 70 TTN: 69 TEB: 69 ISP: 69 NYC: 69

61 and bright sunshine. Should be mostly sunny today and unlike monday when clouds developed for a good chunk of the afternoon between 1 and 4. Wednesday should be even warmer than today with highs in the mid tp upper 70s in spots. 48 hour cool down Thu - Fri with perhaps some frosts inland. Stronger cold once projected looks to stay north of the area. Weekend looks warm (outside chance of 80s in the warmer spots) ahead of any remnants of Delta later on Sun and early next week.

10/5 EWR: 71 ACY: 71 NYC: 70 BLM: 70 New Brnswck: 70 JFK: 70 PHL: 70 TEB: 69 TTN: 69 ISP: 68 LGA: 68

Made it up to 71 with full/mostly sunny by 12:15, now more clouds and down to 68

The stronger wide/spread cold does seem to have been less on recent guidance . Could be Delta pumps up some warmth to mute the cold too.

59 and sunny. Clouds should dissipate in WNJ / EPA. Sunny and dry the next few days with temps near normal through Wed (10/7). Thu and Fri still look chilly and possible first frosts and freezes for many who didnt get there in late September (19-22). Beyoond there the weekend looks warm and just need to watch any tropical moisture making it. Overall long range looking warmer than normal. We'll see when the switch to wet occurs beacuse odd are its coming..

10/4 PHL: 71 EWR: 69 ACY: 69 JFK: 69 New Brnswck: 68 LGA: 67 ISP: 67 TEB: 67 NYC: 67 TTN: 67 BLM: 66

Looks overall warm to perhaps much above normal once past Fri 10/10. If guidance continues with progression some upper 70s or even an 80 would not shock me in the 10/11 - 10/16 period.

Up to 58 with some clouds. Overall looking like a splendid next few days Sunday - Wed (10/7) sunny and dry and near normal, before a 36 - 48 hour chill Thu (10/9) - Fri (10/10). First widespread frost freeze Thurday night. Warmer times looking mush more likely as WC ridge breaks down and height rise along the east in a more sustained fashion. 10/12 and beyond. Could be some 80s sprinkled in just 48 hours after 30s on Sun (10/12).

10/3 LGA: 69 EWR: 69 ACY: 69 BLM: 68 JFK: 68 ISP: 68 New Brnswck: 67 TEB: 67 PHL: 66 NYC: 66 TTN: 65

63/43 off a low of 42. Beautiful day o tap and overall gorgeous period of weather looking more likely the next 7 - 10 days. A bit of a back and forth the coming 7 days with a few warm /near or above normal Mon- Wed followed by coldest weather since last April and first widespread frosts/freezed Thu (10/8) - Fri (10/9). Warmup 10/10 - 10/13 but perhaps similar to several times this past spring and summer warmest air goes north of the areas. Overall warm period mid month. It will be interesting to see how long the dry conditions persist and if dry turns wet later in the month.

10/2 PHL: 69 EWR: 69 New Brnswck: 68 JFK: 68 LGA: 68 ACY: 68 TEB: 67 BLM: 67 TTN: 66 NYC: 65 ISP: 65

Clearing line worked through and up to 66. Cooler weekend and mainly (aside from Monday AM) looking dry. A bit of a warm up Tue/ Wed/ before Thu and Friday chill brings first frost and freezes (widespread). Longer range looking at more sustained warming towards the 14th. Drier look overall.

10/1 JFK: 75 BLM: 75 LGA: 74 ISP: 74 TEB: 73 PHL: 73 EWR: 74 ACY: 72 NYC: 72 New Brnswck: 72 TTN: 70

ECM has first frosts/freezes widespread next Friday 10/9 - Sat 10/10, brief cold shot before moderating /warming 10/12. Friday 12z Fri 10/9 with warmup poised to follow within 36 - 48 hours. Fri