SACRUS
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61 / 51 and partly cloudy. On the edgde of Lee's cloud sphere. May get clearing in the next few hours working sw to ne. Dry and clouds keeping it in the 60s/70s again especially in NENJ/NYC/LI, while C/S/W NJ near 80. Sun (9/17) looking like a very pleasant day near normal. Trough dig in and next shot at showers and rain Mon (9/18). Could see >0.75 - 1.25 of rain. Beyond there heights rise into the east but onshore flow keeps it a bit above normal for highs the next 5 - 7 days but warm min/ lows. The Atlantic ridge is building west by at (9/23) and depending on how strong it is (over forecast much this summer) could be very warm finish or a warm / wet finish.
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Yarmouth Canada https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/webcams/yarmouth_canada_6185217 https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/week/yarmouth_canada_6185217
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9/15 PHL: 77 ACY: 76 New Bnswck: 75 TTN: 75 EWR: 74 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 JFK: 71 TEB: 70 NYC: 69 LGA: 69
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75 looks to be the high here for the day. Just a wonderful day, although ragweed/hayfever seems high. Do think tomorrow may not be as cloudy as forecast with Lee curret view and motion. We will see.
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65 / 47 and a lovely day. Lee causing some breezes, and clouds in eastern sections. Overall nice stretch of weather this weekend, near normal. Clouds on Sat (9/16) from Lee keep it in near 80 despite warmth from the hurricane - so a bit more humid. Trough pushes front through Mon (9/18) with showers and rain. Beyond there ridging into the east, even though heights being forecast higher, think we have some onshore and cut offs. We'll see still overall warm period coming up think we max in the 80s. Tropics and any cutof could yield a wetter scenario.
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9/14 EWR: 81 ACY: 80 JFK: 80 PHL: 80 BLM: 79 LGA: 79 New Bnswck: 79 TEB: 78 ISP: 77 TTN: 77 NYC: 77
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Records Highs: EWR" 94 (2016) NYC: 93 (1931) LGA: 92 (2016) Lows: EWR: 45 (1975) NYC: 46 (1975) LGA: 48 (1975) Historical: 1928: A violent, estimated F4 tornado, with winds of 200 mph, tore across Rockford, Illinois. The tornado first touched down 8 miles south-southwest of Rockford and moved across the southeast part of the city. The tornado was on the ground for 25 miles with a width varying from 200 to 500 feet. A total of 14 people were killed, with around 100 injuries reported in Rockford alone. Two hundred buildings were damaged or destroyed. 1937 - The mercury soared to 92 degrees at Seattle, WA, a record for September. (The Weather Channel) 1944 - A very destructive hurricane swept across Cape Hatteras and Chesapeake Bay, side swiped New Jersey and Long Island, and crossed southeastern Massachusetts. The hurricane killed more than four hundred persons, mainly at sea. The hurricane destroyed the Atlantic City NJ boardwalk. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1970 - The temperature at Fremont, OR, dipped to 2 above zero to equal the state record for September set on the 24th in 1926. (The Weather Channel) 1977: Severe thunderstorms produced several tornadoes in eastern Arkansas, killing one. 1987 - Barrow, AK, received 5.1 inches of snow, a record for September. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1987 - Thunderstorms developing along a cold front produced severe weather from Minnesota to Texas. Thunderstorms in Iowa produced baseball size hail at Laporte City, and 80 mph winds at Laurens. Hail caused more than ten million dollars damage to crops in Iowa. Thunderstorms in Missouri produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Missouri City and Kansas City. A thunderstorm in Texas deluged the town of Fairlie with two inches of rain in just two hours. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Hurricane Gilbert made the first of its two landfalls on Mexico, producing 170 mph winds at Cozumel. (The Weather Channel) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Texas panhandle during the evening hours. One thunderstorm spawned a strong (F-2) tornado in the southwest part of Amarillo, and deluged the area with five inches of rain. The heavy rain left roads under as much as five feet of water, and left Lawrence Lake a mile out of its banks. Hurricane Gilbert lost some of its punch crossing the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Its maximum winds diminished to 120 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed across the south central U.S. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Raton NM with a reading of 30 degrees. The afternoon high of 59 degrees at Topeka KS marked their third straight record cool maximum temperature. Unseasonably warm weather continued in the Pacific Northwest. Seattle WA reported a record eight days in a row of 80 degree weather in September. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 2005: Hurricane Ophelia caused some damage and beach erosion along the United States coastline from Florida to North Carolina. The closest approach occurred on September 14 and 15 with its western eyewall crossing land and the eye remaining just offshore in the Carolinas. 2008: Hurricane Ike became extratropical on this day. The St. Louis Metropolitan Area experienced hurricane conditions, with Ike's remnants inflicting severe damage to homes. Several areas in Illinois and Indiana, already flooded by the frontal boundary to the north, saw significant additional rainfall. Due to flooding in Chicago, a state of emergency was declared for Cook County due to flooding of the Des Plaines River. Hurricane-force wind gusts were reported to the east of the center across parts of Kentucky, Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania with significant wind damage including structural damage to buildings and trees.
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72 / 51. On way to a gorgeous stretch of weather through the weekend. Only clouds from Lee (maybe from NJ shore east) Saturday (9/16) and waves/surf. Mid upper 70s and then back near or low 80s by Sun (9/17). Mon (9/18) next shot at showers/rain. Ridging into the east but some onshore flow and you see potential for cut off low undercutting an any ridging, but overall warm finish to Sep, need to watch for rain chances if anything cuts of nearby. Lee nearing the Atlantic coast ME - Can
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9/13 EWR: 83 ACY: 83 New Bnswck: 83 PHL: 83 BLM: 82 TEB: 82 LGA: 81 TTN: 81 ISP: 80 JFK: 79 NYC: 79
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Lee track means a cloudy Saturday with only real rain chances into LI/CT.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2005) NYC: 94 (1952) LGA: 93 (1952) Lows: EWR: 49 (1985) NYC: 46 (1963) LGA: 50 (1985) Historical: 1823: A strong category 1 or low category 2 hurricane struck near New Orleans, Louisiana and went toward Baton Rouge. Its strongest impacts occurred west of New Orleans. 1922 - The temperature at El Azizia in Libyia soared to 136 degrees to estbalish a world record. To make matters worse, a severe ghibi (dust storm) was in progress. (The Weather Channel) 1928 - Hurricane San Felipe crossed Puerto Rico resulting in the highest winds, the heaviest rains, and the greatest destruction in years. The hurricane produced much damage in the Virgin Islands, and later hit the Bahamas and Florida. (David Ludlum) 1984 - Hurricane Diana, after making a complete loop off the Carolina coast, made landfall and moved across eastern North Carolina. Diana deluged Cape Fear with more than eighteen inches of rain, and caused 78 million dollars damage in North Carolina. (Storm Data) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the northeastern U.S. Flooding was reported in Vermont, New York, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Greenwood NY received 6.37 inches of rain. A dike along a creek at Prattsburg NY gave way and a two million dollar onion crop left on the ground to dry was washed away. The prolonged rains in the eastern U.S. finally came to an end late in the day as a cold front began to push the warm and humid airmass out to sea. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Hurricane Gilbert smashed into the Cayman Islands, and as it headed for the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico strenghtened into a monster hurricane, packing winds of 175 mph. The barometric pressure at the center of Gilbert reached 26.13 inches (888 mb), an all-time record for any hurricane in the Carribean, Gulf of Mexico, or the Atlantic Ocean. Gilbert covered much of the Gulf of Mexico, producing rain as far away as the Florida Keys. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably cool weather prevailed over the Central Plains Region, with a record low of 29 degrees at North Platte NE. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed across the Pacific Northwest, with a record high of 96 degrees at Eugene OR. Thunderstorms over south Texas produced wind gusts to 69 mph at Del Rio, and two inches of rain in two hours. (National Weather Summary) 2008: Hurricane Ike made landfall as a Category 2 storm near Galveston, Texas. 2017: The NWS Office in Reno, Nevada, issued their first tornado warning since July 21st, 2014.
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72 / 70 rain moved through front should clear later this pm with clearing skies, droppimg dew points and humidity. Thu (9/14) - Sun (9/17) looks very nice with Lee well east this weekend aside from E-LI the area looks very nice. Near normal upper 70s / near 80. 850 temps do rise from Lee so perhaps Sat or sun low 80s and a bit more humid. Overall odd upper flow with trough moving through 9/18-19 and cut off ULL west and south and east coast ridging building over. SO its overall warmer , perhaps more humid and dpending on fronts or ULL near by it could be a bit wet. Warm close to the Sep overall
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EWR: 10/2/19 : 96 latest 90 is Oct 17, 1938 latest 80 is Nov 15, 1993
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9/13 EWR: 87 TEB: 87 ACY: 86 New Bnswck: 85 BLM: 85 PHL: 85 TTN: 84 LGA: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 82 JFK: 81
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86 / 62 here - gorgeous day.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (1961) NYC: 94 (1961) LGA: 94 (1961) Lows: EWR: 47 (1958) NYC: 46 (1917) LGA: 52 (1967) Historical: 1857: The SS Central America sinks during a hurricane, killing 425 lives. Fourteen tons of gold was aboard the ship as well. 1977 - Thunderstorms deluged the Kansas City area with torrential rains in the early morning hours, and then again that evening. Some places were deluged with more than six inches of rain twice that day, with up to 18 inches of rain reported at Independence MO. Flooding claimed the lives of 25 persons. The Country Club Plaza area was hardest hit. 2000 vehicles had to be towed following the storm, 150 of which had to be pulled out of Brush Creek, which runs through the Plaza area. (The Kansas City Weather Almanac) 1979 - Hurricane Frederick smashed into the Mobile Bay area of Alabama packing 132 mph winds. Winds gusts to 145 mph were reported as the eye of the hurricane moved over Dauphin Island AL, just west of Mobile. Frederick produced a fifteen foot storm surge near the mouth of Mobile Bay. The hurricane was the costliest in U.S. history causing 2.3 billion dollars damage. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain which caused flooding in North Carolina, West Virginia, Virginia and Pennsylvania. Parts of Virginia received 3 to 4 inches of rain in just two hours early in the day. Later in the day, three to five inch rains deluged Cumberland County of south central Pennsylvania. Evening thunderstorms produced seven inches of rain at Marysville PA, most of which fell in three hours time. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - An afternoon tornado spawned a tornado which skipped across northern sections of Indianapolis IN damaging roofs and automobiles. It was the first tornado in central Indiana in September in nearly forty years of records. Hurricane Gilbert plowed across the island of Jamaica, and by the end of the day was headed for the Cayman Islands, packing winds of 125 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Snow whitened the mountains and foothills of northeastern Colorado, with eight inches reported at Buckhorn Mountain, west of Fort Collins. Two to three inches fell around Denver, causing great havoc during the evening rush hour. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the Southern Plains Region between mid afternoon and early the next morning. Thunderstorms produced hail three inches in diameter at Roswell NM, and wind gusts greater than 98 mph at Henryetta OK. Thunderstorms also produced torrential rains, with more than seven inches at Scotland TX, and more than six inches at Yukon OK. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1999: Hurricane Floyd, a Category 4 storm with top winds of 145 mph, was making residents along the U.S. East Coast very nervous as it steamed steadily westward. Floyd was once forecast to strike Florida but turned away. Instead, Floyd hit the Bahamas at peak strength, causing substantial damage. It then paralleled the East Coast of the United States, causing massive evacuations and costly preparations from Florida through the Mid-Atlantic States.
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72 / 67, partly sunny and should remain mostly rain free outside some isolated showers this pm. Low / mid 80s in the warm spot. Trough pushes front through Wed (9/13) with a round of storms in the PM. Beyond there Thu (9/14) and through the weekend looking very nice, near normal and drying out. Lee stays east and NNW flow keeps it dry and near normal the weekend. Beyond there after mid month warmer as ridge develops east. Overall warmer close of the month. Could become mre humid with southerly flow and any tropical or stalled fronts could keep it wet and warm. Lee on the visible https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eus/02/GOES16-EUS-02-1000x1000.gif
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9/11 EWR: 85 New Bnswck: 84 TEB: 84 PHL: 84 ACY: 83 BLM: 83 TTN: 83 LGA: 82 JFK: 82 NYC: 82 ISP: 81
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Up to 87 here
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Miami style dytime heating and new line forming a more west
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Quicklu up to 83 with more breaks of sun in the last 1.5 hours.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 99 (1983) year of late season extremes NYC: 99 (1983) - park tied EWR - old days LGA: 96 (1983) Low: EWR: 47 (1932) NYC: 43 (1917) LGA: 51 (1967) Historical: 1900: The remnants of the Great Galveston Hurricane were located over central Iowa on this day. Eastern Nebraska, northwest Iowa, and southern Minnesota show four-plus inches of rain from this storm. 1949 - An early snowstorm brought 7.5 inches to Helena MT. In Maine, a storm drenched New Brunswick with 8.05 inches of rain in 24 hours, a state record. (The Weather Channel) 1961 - Very large and slow moving Hurricane Carla made landfall near Port Lavaca TX. Carla battered the central Texas coast with wind gusts to 175 mph, and up to 16 inches of rain, and spawned a vicious tornado which swept across Galveston Island killing eight persons. The hurricane claimed 45 lives, and caused 300 million dollars damage. The remnants of Carla produced heavy rain in the Lower Missouri Valley and southern sections of the Upper Great Lakes Region. (David Ludlum) (Storm Data) 1976 - Up to five inches of rain brought walls of water and millions of tons of debris into Bullhead City AZ via washes from elevations above 3000 feet. Flooding caused more than three million dollars damage. Chasms up to forty feet deep were cut across some roads. (The Weather Channel) 1986 - Thunderstorms caused flash flooding and subsequent river flooding in central Lower Michigan. Up to 14 inches of rain fell in a 72 hour period, and flooding caused 400 million dollars damage. (Storm Data) 1987 - Late afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds in Texas, and spawned three tornadoes. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 70 mph at Goodnight TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Snow blanketed parts of the Central Rocky Mountain Region and the Central Plateau, with ten inches reported at Mount Evans in Colorado. Smoke from forest fires in the northwestern U.S. reached Pennsylvania and New York State. Hurricane Gilbert, moving westward over the Carribean, was packing winds of 100 mph by the end of the day. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Nine cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Havre MT with a reading of 23 degrees. Livingston MT and West Yellowstone MT tied for honors as the cold spot in the nation with morning lows of 17 degrees. Thunderstorms produced hail over the Sierra Nevada Range of California, with two inches reported on the ground near Donner Summit. The hail made roads very slick, resulting in a twenty car accident. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2011: Hurricane Erin was off the coast of New Jersey and New York on this day.
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73 / 72 has 2.57 inches of rain last night from the long running storms. Lots of lightning and thunder. Cloudy today and more of the same. Southerly flow with storms =/ clouds. When and when the sun comes out it warms up quickly but temps near 80. A it of a break tomorrow between the trough before widespread storms come through with the frontal passage wed (9/13). Thu (9/14) Fri (9/150 drier, very pleasant refresh to dry things out. Eyes on Lee as he gives New England coastal ME / Canadian coast a pass. Pending on that track, clouds and humid for Sat. Beyond that near normal before ridging builda back east the last portion of Sep with an overall warm close to the month.
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18Z GFS is a double New England whammy Lee then Nigel a week later.
