Jump to content

redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

Daily Post Limited Member
  • Content count

    329
  • Joined

  • Last visited

About redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

    Yeah a couple days of heat but nobody talking about the glorious low 80 no humidity stretch on the backend next week.
  2. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 19-20th Winter Storm Threat

    Euro not only is a torchfest this weekend but also becomes a disaster in the longer range with deep western trough and big SE ridge. Record warmth late January?
  3. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    I thought the MJO wasn’t going back into phase 5?
  4. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    Meaning couple inches maybe at least into Staten Island, Long Island. Late adjustments are north as forky has illustrated
  5. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    The substantial snow for nyc doesn’t come until tomorrow night-mon morn from the coastal.
  6. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    NAM and Euro just dropped 12-18” cold powder on DC proper
  7. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    NAM and Euro just dropped a cold 18” on DC proper
  8. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    I agree it’s weak and may not have a huge influence, but it will have some and is no help. Next weekend is not a good setup aside from well interior.
  9. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    I said a few days ago that the MJO was headed rapidly out of 8 and into 5. Don Sutherland noted the same, but everyone scoffed. It’s headed to 5 and plays into the cutter next weekend. That cutter may flip things to a better pattern by 2/1.
  10. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    Hopefully the big cutter next weekend helps the North Atlantic region and sets the stage for between 1/25-2/1 which will be our first chance of a moderate snowfall. With the ridge centered far west and nothing to stop the southeast ridge from pumping that storm for 1/19-1/20 looks to cut far west towards Midwest. Euro very ugly last night and GFS illustrating it well now too. That one is a relatively easy call given the positioning of the PNA and lack of any blocking.
  11. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    Hopefully the big cutter next weekend helps the North Atlantic region and sets the stage for between 1/25-2/1 which will be our first chance of a moderate snowfall. With the ridge centered far west and nothing to stop the southeast ridge from pumping that storm for 1/19-1/20 looks to cut far west towards Midwest. Euro very ugly last night and GFS illustrating it well now too. That one is a relatively easy call given the positioning of the PNA and lack of any blocking.
  12. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    We need a big cutter to flip this pattern and get some higher heights in the NAO region. Looks like we’ll get that next weekend with a big rainstorm. I think between 1/25-2/1 we could see a somewhat more favorable pattern. Until then no snow in NYC aside of a flurry or shower.
  13. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 General Discussion & Observations

    Don’t look now but medium to longer range is starting to break down too.
  14. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    So Don must have no clue either.
  15. redbanknjandbigbasslakepa

    January 2019 Discussion

    Per Don Sutherland: “Beyond Phase 8, the MJO forecast becomes more muddled. The EPS rapidly takes it to phase 5, mainly at a low amplitude by January 21. The GEFS takes it to a low amplitude and then loops it back into Phase 7. Based on a blend of the guidance, the baseline scenario is that the MJO would gradually move through Phase 8 at a high but lowering amplitude.”
×