michsnowfreak

When is this thing sampled?

Id say its pretty even split of trends going our way or against us. What kills me is that in literally one day, I have went from barely getting scraped by snow with a whiff southeast, to having the best snow go Northwest and getting in on sleet. I'm the first one to tell everybody not to take model runs at face value, and look at trends and ensembles, but even that is turning into a circus!

Here there are lots of piles in parking lots and some elsewhere, but no patchy snow survived.

Thanks for clarifying. I didnt see that post.

That is downright comical. In 1 day lmao. Another reason i always get a kick out of when some people get so panicky on one days runs or trends.

Nam joined the party

Almost a match to me. Im at 22.3". Dont get me wrong, i loved both big storms but i would prefer more evenly distributed.

Munising and grand marais almost always do well. I notice some grass is green (not spring green but not brown) but then some is not. Ponds and smaller lakes have thin ice but only a fool would attempt to go on it. Bigger bodies of water are open or with chunky ice. Now that the snow here has melted, if not for all the snow piles around it may seem like mid or late March rather than early Feb. Hopefully the upcoming pattern replenishes our snowcover downstate and adds to the depth up north. There have been years where my drive up 75 shows snowcover is just as good down here as most of the rest of lower mi (outside of the ever present gaylord lollipop) so its good to see that this year the north is really cashing in and making the most, tho they usually do in milder winters.

Quite the spread in gefs but all have something and quite a few jumped nw

Not sure how that's even possible this far north, we literally had one day of 50ﾟ weather. Before that the entire "torch" was sunless thick overcast and 30s.

What are you at on the season? Lol, 2 warning criteria snows here but everything else has been in the T to 1.3" range.

Definitely not mad at cyclone. As I recall he did have quite a few lean years and he may have had a long stretch between 6" snowfalls if I'm not mistaken, though he would certainly be the one to clarify that. After many years of the Eastern sub being the jackpot, they've gotten some love in the Western sub as you can now see.

With a mean temperature of 32.4ﾟ, January ended up the 12th warmest January on record for Detroit. It was also the 6th wettest with 4.12". Snowfall was slightly below avg at 9.7". Imby i saw 4.56" of precip and 10.0" of snow. What stood out was the record rainstorm of January 11th, a very water Laden snowstorm January 18th, and a complete absence of sunshine the last 10 days of the month.

After a somewhat unexpected 0.6" of snow last night, temperature has soared to 50ﾟ with blue skies. This is the 1st time I have seen any blue sky since January 21st. Only snow piles remain.

I will be honest, I have lost all faith in models and ensembles at this point. They're fun to look at but nothing more, from a detail perspective, until the event is almost here. Imo regardless of what they show tomorrow, I still would not consider that the key run date.

Actually the GEFS mean is about perfect for Toronto

I did not realize it was already Wednesday or Thursday

Should be an interesting week of model madness lol

I do think we get at least one decent wave out of it, the story of the Winter has been joke of models in the long range, but honestly we have had quite a few juiced up storms in the region, and this includes both rain and snow. Now, when, where, how much? Don't even think of that for quite a few days lol

Models allll over the place lol

Still too far away for detailed discussion in my book. As I said the other day, I like the active look on the models, but no sense in stressing about details this far out. If anything, props to our sub as one of the most level headed of this forum. Reading some of the other sub forums and their run to run emotions is just over the top. Get me fresh snow and I'll be happy lol, I don't care how much. I've already had 2 decent storms, a little bit of middle ground would be just fine, so you can bet that if this storm turns in to be a strung out mess but I still get a few inches, I will be happy. Of course, the more the better, but im not the all or nothing type

Also that clown map was contaminated with a lot of freezing rain and sleet. I will be shocked if it's not active, based on all the signals.

Actually i hate that phrase lol. But anyway, March is the last thing on my mind with an active look to February.

Naturally the details are shifting all over the place but a signal for an active week is pretty damn good.

11-12s sucktitude receives more than enough discussion so it goes without saying. The winter sucked, but was not a futility winter. 06-07 & 15-16 were somewhat below avg but nowhere near futility. 1952-53 is probably one of the worst winters ever at Detroit. The total snowfall of 16.6" ranks it "only" as 7th least snowy on record. Only 16 days had 1"+ of snowcover, and 13 of those 16 recorded a depth of 1"! The other 3 had a depth of 2". The largest snow of the season was 3.2", but like many others it included some rain and melting, ao while its possible depth was 3" for a bit, 52-53 remains the only winter on record to not see an obs time snow depth of 3"+. It is also the only winter on record to have no snow depth over a T after Jan 31st.