pasnownut

LIke a few others, some WAA flurries were falling when out to get a sandwich at lunch. Looking forward to first flakes as we head home to watch some hopefully good games.

yep. Rush hour or just beyond. Will get everyone enough time to get beer and popcorn for the Eagles game.... lol Go Eagles!!

awesome enough, even if qpf ticks down a bit (as often the case as we close in on go time). Not suggesting it will, but wont be surprised if that does occur.

and add the GFS to the better look category. SLP closer to coast and precip shield responds accordingly.

RGEM and several mesos lookin nice for all east of Susky. Looks like LSV can now afford one last tick NW and will still be sitting nicely in the snow cone of best qpf. its gonna snow!

Yeah, I'll take a nice snow event like this any day, plus my ground was finally frozen this morning, so hopefully we should have staying power for a week of snow covered landscape around here. Been far too long. Enjoy all!

they discussed possibility of 1 or 2 snow events. Thats a big stretch as it is..... Friday will be icing on cake if we can eek out a couple/few inches in the LSV tomorrow night/tues

German house model musta heard that I poured a white russian and did NOT approve. Cut back a tad, but like many spouses do, we'll take our 2"...and pretend we like it.

I'd think 0z runs will be when they hoist, as we'd be inside of 24 hrs and as long as all models dont crap the bed....

Yeah, that was a nice HH run for sure. It must have heard me pouring cocktail and approved of my pour...

looks like Sunday funday started off with that tick N that see oh so often, and if that look holds, we have a fun little event coming...especially us snow starved SE'rs. Still liking that Fri/Sat deal as well. Snow on snow....heck yeah. Happy day all. Enjoy

CMC gets the most votes for "nooner model to hug" status verbatim, snow on snow as the 19th event is coming back into the fray. TTFN

at 102 1007mb vs 1003 at 6z. Precip shield responded and NW quad was not getting r done. Still ok, but not what we wanted to see. trough to pos tilted and she gets 2pts for escape.

and a tinge better w/ norther precip field at 90. Yes, I'm still here. This is important shit. To heck w/ clients

Its coming around and I'm fine w/ where its at. Notably SLP pops in central NC (which is about 200-250 miles NW of 6z. Gut says GFS nooner is gonna be good.

As I just stated in last post, I'm riding the GFS (due to decent Op run consistency from D7 and in. Its done pretty well wrt showing storm potential and while its waivered some (as they do), its never really "lost" it.

Had to think abt this and where it applies....

Glad to see things coming back around. Truth is GFS has never "lost" the storm, and this year has been decent to follow. Like I suggested yesterday, we just want most (and hopefully Euro soon) to have the storm. One thing I'm hopeful for (and think is starting to get sorted out on morning runs) is the amount of different pieces of energy and which one becomes our storm. GFS and CMC are much cleaner presentation at 6z, and ICON is a hybrid B and shows a secondary pop at 108 (I think Bubbler was chatting about it). Personally not a fan of B's - redevelopers, even if LSV is in the jackpot (right now). Subtle timing changes and too often our storm goes poof for MBY. I'll take 6z GFS and CMC and sign right now...no matter the upside (and like I said yesterday - watch energy on backside for that sharpening of the trough. The more it dives in, the more neg tilt and that could really run up some better numbers for many.) Another part that gets me and likely a bunch of us giddy, is that whatever falls, aint goin nowhere for a while. Been a LONGG time coming to see that. Happy Friday gang. I'm busy today so I look forward to the various PBP's and expect Bubbles/Mitch/ and toothless Blizz to be on point as I'll be reading from afar.

IMO its more of a warm air advection kinda deal out in front of the main show. Something to watch (for a bigger boom) is the backside ULL and how it interacts. 12z shows a little better dive in on the backside, and tugs the SLP closer to the coast. IF that happens a bit more, it'll help to keep SLP closer and should help thermally to add some more sicks of white dynamite to our precious storm. Look at the ULL in Illinois. IF we can get that to dive in, the trough could go a tad more neg, and up she comes. CMC sorta shows where my brain is at WRT to this. TTFN

Just took a look at Kanook model before heading out and yeah....nice signal showing for next week. Happy Day all.

and next panel at 126...a small kaboom was heard in SE Pa. SLP notably closer to coast. Very nice. See you HH or tonight. Got some selling to do.

out to 120you are correct bud. SLP about 100-150 W of 6z and precip shields nicely into PA. I dont need to see more. Signal holds. Onward.

I look at Icon for fun and consensus only. Signal remains....thats enough for me.

mine skips over money panels between 105-126 but extrapolated....it wasnt terrible. Still too far out to worry much. Signal for something remains.

Any thoughts for my Eagles..... j/k...sorta maybe