pasnownut

Thanks for sharing bud. Looks like you dropped a dookie on Adams County line. lol

I forgot to look, but when my wife went out to start her car, and came in, I asked "is it cold".... Her reply....."this is bullshit". Only reading I got for ya this morning.

but to bubbles point, temps are cold, but not THAT cold. At height of storm (ish), here are 700s. Not supportive of 20:1 IMO. 12-14 as he suggested is more reasonable. Edit: Norther westers may get backside fluff factor, but not round CTP IMO.

smart minds think alike and was literally what I thought when I read that.

Was thinking about that the other day. Being that its a sunday game and flow is outta NW, Buffalo proper would just be diggin out, and not snowin

Nice to see you jumping right back in w/ a cannonball..... Good to see you back bro.

I'll bring the snowmobile straight down rt 30 with shovel bungie corded to back seat. I'll take care of ya old man. Hope you feel better soon.

It really is a nice run and nice to see dryslot worries diminish as coastal takes over. Just a nice clean handoff of sorts. Prob helps that its a 1006mb SLP and not 980's as that would dryslot the hell outta us me thinks.

20:1 sheesh. That MIGHT be a tad much me thinks...but if so, thats what ya call snow bomb

And it happens plenty. This is just a good reminder that as I semi jokingly called it model watching before bed last night, it is easy to sometimes get lost in the trees while looking for the forest...if ya know what I mean. Not for a second was I thumping my chest....just sitting back and watching things evolve without getttin too whacked out between 1-3 vs 2-4". Something is gonna happen and that has not changed for days. Models are doing what they often do...thats all I'm sayin. None of us here are good enough to fret about the details (except red taggers). Its been fun to watch evolve and let the chips fall where they may.

Crowd pleaser right there. I'll even approve for @Atomixwxon his behalf while he's still on "vacation".

ebbs and flows of models still gets us every time. Ya'd think our old asses would know better...and just when we think we do... Thats the fun of being a bunch of weenies....we dont get paid (and dont need to act like we get paid) to know better. We can just chat and have fun with it. (well thats how I feel anyway).

Nice to see overnighters holdin on to another event for Friday. Getting close enough that the carpet might get tugged on, but it shouldnt get ripped out from under us. 2-4 on top of earlier week event makes for an awesome week, as no matter the end result....its snow on snow. Happy Pre Snowy Friday to all.

was out on snowmobiles w/ son tonight. Basically burnt some OLD gas out and put some fresh in for weekend. First time in almost 2 years since we've been able to ride down here. Was bony as hell in plowed fields, but hoping we take care of that this weekend. Decent amount of other tracks, so I guess we weren't the only ones anxious to ride. Have fun model watchin all, I'm headed to bed.

looks notably better wrt spacing and qpf field. Crowd pleaser for many (of course w/ normal adjustments made to said model bias)

after reading the last few pages, I will giggle my ass off if this starts to moisten up as often IS the case as we get closer and we get back into 2-4". Most of us know how things roll and know that EVERY map has a degree of bias/adjustment needed when viewing. Didnt think this needed said after doing this for as long as we have. I'm assuming you know better as well . If not, catch up...

IF that verifies, the only ones that wouldnt approve would be the plain clothes snowmobilers from Quarryville that were jackpotted this morning

looks like they followed a few of our forecasts....i mean guesses.

btw, one of "our" guys is coming back from a break on the board. I'll let you figure out who.... I promised him that most of the crap that's been going on recently seems to have subsided and that trolls seem to have crawled back into their caves. Of course good "outsiders" ARE ALWAYS WELCOME. Hoping we keep it that way. Heres to HH not shartin the bed any further and keeping our 1-3 safely in play so we can all enjoy a winter weekend.

and an upcoming period of neg departures to subtract from the "ugly". Like you I'll enjoy the current winter and will worry about ugly later, and with a few beers, it may not look so bad after all...:).

and dont forget that for where its melting on the roads, there's this thingy called brine...

Agreed pal. I'm guessing the numbers guys just look at the odds and say....meh. IF we keep the PNA + that could at least offset less than stellar looks from other tellies like NAO etc.

yeah, we seem to overachieve wrt how well we warm, so I'd not want to wager any bets w/ you. While 850s start to warm about a week from now, 2m temps hold on a little longer to respond. The realist in me says that I'll take a week of white and be fine w/ a relax. I'd think many here would as well.

and lastly, if one looks at 2m temps (looking at GFS), it looks like we stay in 30's through mid next week. If you add 5 on, low 40's will feel nice for a few days, till we ease back into colder stuff into last week of Jan. As long as we keep the torches at bay...alright by me. Could get close a couple days, but it happens.

Yeah after we Jan thaw, it looks decent as of now. Lets hope momentum builds for a quick relax/reload.