pasnownut

yesterday was a rather moist day. Per NWS I came in at 5.99''.

and thats a wrap to met summer. Some data for you all to chew on. Here are some rainfall records from Ida: New Daily Rainfall Records for September 1st: Harrisburg (MDT): 6.64"Previous: 3.60" in 1952 Altoona (AOO):5.21" Previous: 1.15" in 1952 Johnstown (JST): 3.29"Previous: 0.95" in 1916 Note: Records in 1952 occurred thanks to the remnants of Hurricane Able. Maximum 1-Day Total Precipitation at Harrisburg: 1. 9.13 1972-06-22 2. 7.71 2011-09-07 3. 6.64 2021-09-01*** 4. 5.81 1972-06-21 5. 5.72 2013-10-11 Maximum 1-Day Total Precipitation at Altoona: 1. 5.55 2004-09-08 2. 5.28 2004-09-17 3. 5.21 2021-09-01*** 4. 5.03 1997-11-07 5. 4.53 1967-09-28 Prelim rankings for August and Summer 2021 (JJA): Harrisburg: 2nd warmest August; 4th warmest summer Williamsport: 3rd warmest August; 9th warmest summer Harrisburg average temperature (JJA) 1. 2020 77.9F 2. 1966 77.6F 3. 2016 77.3F 4. 2021 77.1F*** 5. 2010 76.9F Harrisburg average minimum temperature (JJA) 1. 2020 68.2F 2. 2021 68.1F*** 3. 2016 67.9F 4. 2010 67.6F 5. 2005 67.3F Harrisburg average maximum temperature (JJA) 1. 1966 90.2F 2. 1999 87.7F 3. 2020/1991 87.6F 5. 1943 86.8F 6. 2016 86.7F 7. 1988/1944 86.5F 9. 2002 86.2F 10. 2021 86.1F*** Harrisburg average temperature (Aug) 1. 2016 79.1F 2. 2021 78.3F*** Williamsport average temperature (JJA) 1. 2020/2016 74.4F 3. 1949/1901 74.3F 5. 1900 74.2F 6. 1995/1955 74.0F 8. 2005 73.9F 9. 2021 73.7F*** 10. 1991 73.6F Williamsport average minimum temperature (JJA) 1. 1901 66.2F 2. 1899 64.0F 3. 2005/2021 63.1F*** 5. 2016 62.8F Williamsport average temperature (Aug) 1. 2016 76.1F 2. 1995 75.9F 3. 2021 75.6F***

Yeah wing has picked up here in last 1-2 hours as well

Heaviest rain if the day in ephrata Akron area. Looking like back building is legit and more coming from the SW. not good if it verifies as that means a couple more hours.

wife trying to get home from work in New Holland right now.

heaviest rain of the day here in akron (for the last 1/2 hr anyway

Yeah....I just saw the HRRRRR......oh boy. Lanco and pts n and e look to get it good in next few hours.

yep, just sent to co workers still at office and they said the same. It is puking rain tho....

I litterally picked getting on that exit or taking back roads and chancing small streams to see a client 2.5 hrs ago.....I took back roads.....glad I did.

yeah and someone mentioned a dry slot a while back. I'm not seeing it on the models, and the pivot stays rather full for most/all of us. This isnt a noreaster waiting for a moisture feed, even though watching the radar makes one dream a bit....

Etown flattens the curve as well Date 08/25 08/26 Hour (EDT) 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Temperature (°F) 87 88 90 91 92 91 89 85 82 81 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 74 75 74 77 81 84 Dewpoint (°F) 73 73 73 72 72 71 71 70 69 69 69 69 70 70 70 70 70 71 71 71 72 73 74 75 Heat Index (°F) 94 96 98 99 100 98 95 90 85 84 79 78 77 76 75 75 77 86 92 Surface Wind (mph) 2 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Wind Dir S SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW Gust Sky Cover (%) 11 16 24 32 35 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 30 28 31 34 36 35 33 32 28 23 19 Precipitation Potential (%) 1 1 13 13 13 9 9 9 12 12 12 9 9 9 4 4 4 4 4 4 7 7 7 7 Relative Humidity (%) 63 61 58 54 52 52 56 61 65 67 72 74 79 82 84 87 90 97 90 87 93 87 79 74

HRRRRRRR for another small victory...

thanks for doing the math.... thats exactly how I was looking at it knowing that week 2-5 departures would need to be rather tall...even if Bubbles -11 corrects to -6-7 (GFS)

and to your point, if week 1 is normal/neg, thats a big dent in the ability to achieve +8 with Septembers ability to have big swings either way.

I see where your head is, but we really start to gain in darkness dept, and while Sept is a transitional month, the sun (or loss of) is a constant, and mostly why I think its a tall task to achieve (especially our week 1 early fall preview has legs (and cool nights as currently modeled). Even if it corrects +3-+5 as we all know is possible). .

yeah I know it wasnt yours, but saw it being tossed around in a friggin 200 pg summer thread. WTF. Winter better have 2000 pgs....just sayin.

Welcome aboard. I work (and am currently sitting) in Etown.

thats a bold call from this far out....especially if week 1 starts in the - category. Here crow.....here crow.......

I like how you think bud.

wife and I took the harley out for supper and it was pleasant. By the time we left dinner, we needed to put another layer on for ride home..... Couple more days to get through and then we look to ease up on the heat, but need a regime change to get the flow outta the NW and not S/SW

while that may be over my 1000 mile mark for excitement, I'm willing to move the goalposts.

89 yesterday on ride home from work like you, I was pleasantly surprised at how "comfy" if felt this am. loss of daylight is starting to take a bite out of the summer heat. It's all good. loosetoe's graphic above makes me a wee bit giddy. Septembers gonna do what septembers gonna do...but thats a hell of a start IMO. Happy hump day y'all.

that was also my takaway after looking at overnight runs. Might just be the last big heat week for a while or if lucky the rest of the summer. Long range was looking like a hint of autumn lurking. Me likes...

Guessing one of them hit my area, as I only get water in when extremely heavy rains pond on back porch. Thats when the garage springs a leak. Fortunately we hope to update portch next year and that goes away. @Itstrainingtimeyes that last band is what really did it (and was what I should call the bubblesband cause he was watching that early yesterday when the HRRR started to hone in. had that not occurred, Ida felt a bit better w/ my hunch. All good. I'm just a hobbyist and eatin crow is part of the game for me/us.