pasnownut

Happy to see the continuation of something poppin on all of the big dogs.  Only worry I have (and Mitch) is that term "atmoshperic memory" and we see similarities of recent looks showing up today.  Could find ourselves too far N once again, but I'm feeling a bit better about this next period over the last one.  

Looking forward to a snowy weekend at the cabin.  Then, I come home, and it snows here (at some point to be hammered out in the next couple days).

Lovin the new setup and think it will deliver down here.  

Of course, the GFS just lost the monday event but Thursday looks potentially fun.

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 6z Euro has a potential lAdvisory level event on Sunday evening for most of CTP this run.

CMC is a mauler that'd be a great long duration event next Mon-Tues.  Glad to see the majors all showing something during that time.  

4 hours ago, canderson said:

She’s safe with her two cats and husband. They fled W. It’s so awful. 

It’s really tragic especially when certain aspects were seemingly avoidable. Prayers to all out there for sure. Dont care if they are rich…losing everything ones worked for and keepsakes lost is horrible. 

2 minutes ago, paweather said:

Franklin worth keeping? Who did he beat this year outside of Boise St. He is a joke. 10M a year. Come on. 

I thought it was only 7mm/yr.  Feel better now 

I didnt expect to get likes on my opinion.  Just how I feel.  I think he had to raise the bar this year, and IMO he did.  Enough....??? you guys can be the judge n jury.  Still gonna b a PSU fan no matter.  

9 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 19.  I'm hungover and sad this morning, but mostly I'm pissed off.  Penn State had no business losing that game last night.  Opportunities like that don't come around often.  At least I have an inch of snow to look forward to.  Yay.

It was a great game, and better than many expected (me thinks).  I know there are a lot of Franklin haters, but he earned his keep this year IMO.  PSU surely had momentum last night.  Someone had to lose and usually in a great game it comes down to who made least amount of errors.   Allards late int was crushing.

1 hour ago, mitchnick said:

6z increased 1" coverage. 

#winning

Still hopin to find my way to an inch tomorrow night.  After the PSU game, I'm settin low bars for rest of weekend.

7 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

I just dont understand how PSU lost that game. Broken. 

THEY didnt.  

Allard did.  

Sorry

1 minute ago, paweather said:

NAM at 42 STINKS. Next one. 

what the 12 gave, the HH took away.  Looks like the NS is just ripping this thing apart as it tries to gain latitude.  Lookin at 500/700 panels at go time show a steady press from the N that looks to be the culprit.  Just bad timing I guess.

anyone got a fork?  

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Who would have thought this map would lead to only 1"?    Although Nam has moved slight North with the SLP IMO.  Thermals not great there though.  

thats been the rub wrt this non event.  if I didnt know what was going on, and saw this after being away from the board/models, my first thought would be to figure out where I'd be caught making naked snow angels.  Only thing wrong w/ that is the L in da UP of Mich. 

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Very true! Truth is, if I was going to be outside on a day like today for an extended period of time OR sitting at a football game, I would layer up. By far the best and most comfortable way to go. 

i just bought an outfitter series wool coat for next weeks adventures in the northwoods.  For that I will likely have wool socks, undergarments with merino wool, woolrich pants once again, wool coat, wool gloves, and woolrich hat on.  Might take a pic if I remember.  

12 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

I think pretty good consensus has emerged to where those of us in the LSV can expect to wake up to anywhere from roughly .5 to 2.5 inches of snow Saturday morning, with the best chances for upper-end totals residing in the western parts of forum.  I'm setting the over/under for KMJS at a flat one inch.

thats my bar over east of ya.  

4 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

You're soft. It's 31 degrees. Great day to be walking along the river.   

as an avid outdoorsman, proper layers is the key to extended stay outdoors.  I LOVE anything wool.  Wore my Woolrich (yep...red plaid that were likely made in the 50's) for 5 days of being afield during post turk day trip up into the northern hinterlands of NC Pa.  Temp stayed between 14-27 entire time.  Not a complaint from me was heard.  Love my wool.  

15 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

He probably bundled up with  lite windbreaker

I was thinking he mighta pulled out the lined shorts, and heavy T, or hell maybe even a long sleeve.  Gotta do whatcha gotta do to stay warm ya know.

1 minute ago, canderson said:

I rewatched that a few nights ago. Still great! 

That sounds like a good idea.  My wife is away on a congratulatory retirement beach weekend for one of our friends, and I may just do that (around the football games mind you).

1 minute ago, canderson said:

River is iced over in the city 

seeing lots of ice on streams/ponds.  Been a while since that has occurred.  Kid at hockey last night was getting excited at the prospect of ice fishing in the near future.  My mind always goes to grumpy old men movie.  

Liking the nooner GFS progression as it keeps a lot of NS influence here in the east, and while we have perfected the science of getting jipped, without the NS-cold conveyor, it gets exponentially more difficult, so I'm chalking that up as a win.  need to see how the ENS's look, but verbatim cold stays here of close by. 

28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I think it is technically though the spacing with the Northern Vort is acting to minor out the southern one as well.   Check panel compare.  1007 over Northern Fl at 23Z then 12 or so hours later the area of lowers pressure is off the VA Capes.  It do not go that far and drop that low in 12-13 hours.  Multiple vorts, Miller B, etc...something.   The GFS panels show the jump even more clearly. 

 

 

Agreed.  Nooner GFS panel you shared is exactly what made me comment as such.  NS definitely is playin meat grinder of SS, but I was thinking they might play off one another a little better, as the vort is bascially running the souther boundary, so I assumed it would hold together a bit better upon approach to the coast, but a jump surely appears to be happening.  Early morning mood snows I guess.  Will be nice w/ coffee.

1 minute ago, WmsptWx said:

Neither are the countless atrocities committed by those in cloak. While my post was intended to be funny and not at serious, you'd have to forgive me if I failed to reach deep for sympathy if those involved in said atrocities were rounded-up and sent to the same place as Jerry. 

 

State Correctional Institution Greensburg.

As a Christian, I think Christianity has evolved a little better than you give it/us credit for.  You could insert a few other "rounded up" ones of late, and the undertone of hatred is the same. 

1 minute ago, WmsptWx said:

11:15 AM: The sun is out for moral support only today as the winds make it feel like it's, idk, probably negative ten? I hate life currently as it's 15°F and the worst possible temperatures to be going door-to-door filtering out Catholics and herding them into trucks. 

 

You don't need to worry about the trucks...

While I'm no longer a practicing Catholic, that's really not funny.

Is it just me, or does this weekends minoring out "event" look like a low grade miller B screw job? 

Gotta say this one has baffled me.  Is what it is but I'm scratchin the noggin a bit. Cant say I've seen many systems die out like this.  IT's like the perfect "Non" storm IMO

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

There were a lot of people (including various mets) as far back as last winter flat out saying that the winter of 2024-25 would be non-existent and that everyone should resign themselves to just looking ahead to next winter. 

Based on what was said, this winter has been a pleasant surprise so far. And more to come. 

Yeah early on, it sounded way less appealing than ground truth (so far).  Do we want snowpack....sure, but it absolutely feels normalish, and is and has been good for my soul.  If we can eek out 1-2" this weekend, its just icing on the cake as the overall feel...feels good.  Looking at ENS guidance and other indies, it looks like a relaxation is coming, but not sure its a blow torch.   For now, I'm going to enjoy another 7-10 days of winter, and see how the dice roll beyond.  

50 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 17 here.  Man, I'm loving this winter so far.  We had deep cold around Thanksgiving, a below normal December, a below normal January in the works with plenty of cold ahead, and numerous instances of flakes flying (particularly for our friends in the northern and western parts of the state).  Also looks like I should see some snow on snow again tomorrow night, as my meager pack is hanging on incredibly well.  I'm not going to let any near misses get me down after the way some previous winters have gone.  Bottom line, it looks and feels like winter thus far.  Most importantly, Go State!

agreed on all aspects.

Nooners starting off w/ a tick N and still look to be sorting out what vort to focus on.  

3 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

We need that one big storm that dumps 2 feet of snow and 30 plus Canderson winds for 3 days after the storm. Than we all will be happy.

Yes we sure do.  Watch as pattern relaxes (as of my parsin this am, the 15-18th IMO) and the NE snowgrinder lessens is grip.  Our luck we go straight back to cutterville, but if timed right, we could score...then watch it melt :(.