pasnownut

yes SSW was to be peturbed, and if so, would not show up at lower levels (lag time). MJO wasnt horribile looking but NAO was going notably + and trough west often means ridge east. Hoping things sort out a bit better moving forward. this weekend looks rather nice.

also not sure how much time we have left, cause tellies look less than stellar beyond, so yall might wanna get pom poms out for this one.

Yep. Just checked pivotal and it has a B w/ nice transfer. Little scary thermally, but I'd sign. so, Ukie/GFS/Icon have us snowing Sunday. Let see how this goes, but yeah definitely something to watch.

GFS still has decent event for same time frame. While I know we are skeptics of much modeling of late, one thing that GFS has done a decent job of in recent years, is seeing an event at 7 days. While obviously not a lock, it often has the right general idea, and since I like what it's showing in the last few runs. I'm huggin.

Just saw it. If we could get this to deliver as depicted, just give me a few days to enjoy and I'll stop wishing for snow..... Till the next one comes. 36 hr event verbatim.

Started mixing w/ snow about 1 hour ago, and now light snow falling. Not stickin to anything other than existing snow. Blizz, it doesnt look like were done trackin yet. Glad to see we have a little more time. Heres to a good week and hopefully more chances. Next weekend sure does look like a good window of opportunity.

Not to me. I said it days ago. Wasnt understanding why this was stuck in the south. NAO lifting out says come north to me, and wasnt adding up for it to drift aimlessly due east. I am surprised it took so long for some majors to latch on, but I'm glad they are.

as stated many times before, you and I are like minded wrt our love of winter landscape and how sleet is the ultimate pack densifier. think we hold on till Tues/Wed then the landscape starts to change. What a run.

yikes. hope you feel better soon

Yeah one thing that has been consistent is the cold pool in the east. As arctic boundary retreats its going to warm, but we've been cold for some time, and I wonder how much staying power it will have. Model depending, 850s show SW flow only one or two periods in the next 7-10days, and arctic boundary while north, is still close enough to do its thing, and not cook us. My goal is to keep snow cover as long as possible, and I think into mid next week, it should be bye and large safe, but slowly dwindling. Walked on my frozen tundra last evening getting wood, and man, it is stoudt.

As I've been curious lately about how we seem to have muted warmups (winter to date, not including next week), I just looked at Akron and Etown zips on NWS climo data for this week and neither location got to 40 for the last 3 days (which was our "warmup" that was being touted from last week. Next week, I'm sure I'll be trolled to oblivion and beyond when we hit 50 (and I think we have a couple chances at it.) Not sure how many days our sub 40 stretch has been, but for me, it's been enjoyable. No matter, springs gonna b springin soon enough.

Looked at ens guidance and next week looks like our thaw, but many show 30s n 40's for much of period. I'm sure a day or 2 might tickle the 50. Just a boring stretch incoming. Twds the end, it looks like we get some colder air back but not a big signal. Just boring. long term -pna/+nao/+ao says coldest favored west. Its not a close the shades look, but not a good one either.

overnighters have us on the northern edge of precip, and several have short period of snow here. Still think it comes further north.

south trend seems to have gained traction today. no NS/SS interaction and it just scoots due east ish. Stll think a norther correction happens but not sure if and how much. Gonna say i'm a bit baffled as to what I'm seeing.

couple flurries on way home from office. digi thermo stuck on 37 whole way from etown to akron. Never budged.