pasnownut

Next weekend surely looks to get a trough back in the east. It's been showing on the LR guidance for a while now, so were getting close enough to think its legit cold. Just need to see how things line up. As Mag suggested, GFS/Euro worlds apart in evolution for 3/16 event, so that raises a flag. Looks like you got one more period to track though.

add me to the first tboomer list. nice rain and rumbles/flashes last night I think drought talk will suppress as much as snow talk has. Speaking of snow, look at 0z Euro. Blizz may get one last hurrah if it has a clue. Still looking just before or around green beer day.

Yeah this weeks "warmup" so far has been an epic fail. Just looked and NWS has me in upper 40's today and tomorrow. i memory serves a week ago I thought I'd be in the 60's and some said ticklin 70. Regardless this is typical spring weather and while I HATE mud....we need the rain and looks like plenty of chances to suppress the spring wildfire worries.

Yeah some guidance is showing enough blues close enough to keep an eye out around St. Patty's day for some winter shenanigans.

and thats why I was happy with winter. We actually captitalized on a good period, and were able to hold the cold....and snow. Had that not happend, I'd be rather bummed and less "curvy" w/ my B+ grade.

We live in the age of liability. Everyone always looking to blame others and are sue happy. Just the cold hard truth. I dont like it a bit, and would be fine w/ just plows n shovels for snow removal. Thats it.

One thing of note this year is that Op guidance seemingly has done pretty well vs longer lead ENS guidance, so hey, maybe once again, this has a chance. Verbatim what you've shared would be "anomalous enough". Lol

+AO/NAO and -PNA rolling forward tells me trough W/ridge E. I dont see MJO headed twds 8? Where did you see that? PNA is a big player in what we get here in the east. Yes, WPO/EPO surely have a say as well, but AO/NAO and PNA trifecta that is against us, says whooaa big fella. Yes, they can be overcome, but in mid march it needs to be anomalously so IMO. Not trying to debbie, just calling it as I see it.

I saw the back n forth. You guys can fight that out. I'm merely stating my opinion. To me, March is least favorite "winter" month. Yeah it can snow, but its gotta be anomalous in a lot of ways for it to happen, and stick around long enough to enjoy. Sure I'll take it if it comes, but I won't lose much sleep over it. Its been a good enough winter that my season end depression is there but not as bad as a suck ass ratter. I'm ready to stay busy and pass the time till we start chatting up what winter looks like in October. I'll end by saying this past winter was FAR better than what most thought here in the east. Thats why I love this sport, cause Mo Nature always holds the cards.

thanks for sharing. Makes my feelings of a normal kinda winter feel validated. Even though we didnt quite snow as much as I had hoped. Still a solid one for me. Looking at tellies and ENS guidance suggests we are nearing the end of notable winter weather. That said, my final grade of a B+ (the busts of last weekend and week dropped if from an A-). Still very happy.

Yeah, it started to go poof on some mesos yesterday, and while I expected (and got) zero flakes down here, I was hoping for the 1-3" at the cabin for what might be the last hurrah for snowmobiling. I may head up anyway, or i have an invite to Brantingham NY where snow is a plenty right now. Only good about modeled clippers, is that they never stop inspiring false hope for a snow weenie like me, cause every once in a while they make it SE of the mountains. Monday looks nice as currently modeled. Would be a nice end (unless the improving tellies/ssw) materializes later in March. I'd be just fine w/ it either way. Seeing snow covered landscapes on way into office today, was just another win for this snowhound.

Wont be as fun this time but man would it be nice to wrap up with a doozy.

I'll stay invested for another week, before I start spring cleaning the cave. It's been a good winter based on snow OTG, but we've tracked a good bit, and have not had great returns, so I'm gettin a little tired. any of the next couple events throw down some white gold, I'll be giving a solid A for overall appeal, while knowing how lucky we really were for the 5 week solid deep ass winter feel that we had.

+'s zonal flow makes this less "diggy" and as you state, as long as HP doesnt get to easily displaced, one would think front end potential has merit. themrally it looks to be decent SLP rides the baroclinic zone -'s Its late season and based on flow, one could see this eeking south (as well as tendencies of this winter so far) Based on climo and NAO being solidly pos, one could also see how the warm nose that is evident, can do its dirty work (just like last weekend) and can nuke our precious thermals)

lol. just saw the same. Part of me wonders if the trailing vort on Friday ends up being the real deal for this weekend. Reminder that this is what just happened last week. Lead vort faded and set stage for trailing. Huh. Atmospheric memory for the win.