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About pasnownut

- Birthday 06/02/1969
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KLNS
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Akron Pa
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Interests
Outdoors/snowmobiling/bicycling/weather
Recent Profile Visitors
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
just glanced as mesos and hi teens at midnight into low/mid 20s early am. I'd think that'd be enough to let whatever falls get to the surface. couple looks at skew t's for lanco not bad imo. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I didnt check dp's but thats a good point to consider. quick look and low/mid 20's dp wise from midnight on (when qpf starts to pop), so not too much should be wasted. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
shows up on mesos as such. midnight to 3 then 6 to 9-10 am ISH -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
midntight thru mid morning, -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just looked over overnight and morning runs, and there's not a major global that doesn't have at least a couple chances a white gold, and some are similar in evolution, so it surely gives credence to the notion that snowgeese gonna b honkin. Yes, of course there are always a myriad of ways to fail, but as we've been suggesting, pattern looks ripe for the pickins in next couple weeks. 6zGFS just went whole hog on us again. Good thing is there are a few chances inside the midterm, so its not really fantasy stuff. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Gotcha. sounds like a little road trip will lift your spirits. Thats how I get by when winters suckin down here...head north or northwest. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Was just going to put a post up suggesting the same. Looks like some mood flakes possible this weekend, but like you said, hopefully once this new pattern sets in we can score a couple hits. Looks like there will be chances for sure. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'll have to remember that. Can you get real id there? -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Headed your way tomorrow night (Houtzdale). Save some for me. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy day pal. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
so there's a 6-9% chance of it happening.... I crack myself up. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well, its gonna be tough sleddin in here for you, because things are nowhere close to what you'd like in modeling. You either need to accept it, or get over it, because its really old and stale reading your same rants over and over. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's because that's all you do is....complain and blame mets for blown forecasts. Weather isnt just data generated and the science behind it is what the allure is for many here. You seem to want simple weather outputs that hit 100% of the time. Just not gonna happen, and you know it. Maybe you throw your weather thoughts into the ring, and we'll see how that goes. Otherwise, expect much the same. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
While we need the blocking for something big, I don't think any here are lookin for a big dog on this one. He's right, it is still a progressive flow, but this one is all about the trough axis and how much it can dive in to push this up the coast and slow the eastward progression. Many here would take a 2-4" scooter up da coast, and be just fine. Point is that trough axis is the key to the snowy promise land on this weekend. Not enough dig, it slides off the carolinas and we smoke distant cirrus here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CMC/Icon also ticked west for Sunday funday storm. Enough time/moves left for this to be next on watch list. Still a progressive trough, and not a longwave stable look, so it needs to dig and pop fast, as any delay in doing so would be headed for scooterville (SE Coast/fishy) kinda deal.
