pasnownut

I'm just happy to see that we have a chance, and that while not a lock, it surely is something that could pad stats and get trainer to give our region the A grade that we have wanted for a long time. CMC was a notable step back twds something appreciable. With so much energy/vorts to sort, I'd imagine we still have a day or 2 of notable swings/misses to sort out until players take the field (conus).

nooner GFS keeps hope alive. ticked notably W with SLP and 500s a bit more neg tilt. A nice step back towards something, and not away from it.

Yes, this year sure has bucked the typical norther trends. last weeks "event" came slightly north and we went from nothing to fringed. Seasonal tendency does not show up on tellies or factor into algorithms, so while the last 24 hrs hasn't been trends we want to see, as Mag suggested, you gotta look at 500's first before figuring out how the lower levels are gonna look. That said, there is a lot of sorting to do. Was really hoping the earlier phase was going to work out, but Friday's deal is screwin the snow pooch and not giving time/spacing to dive in, keeping the flow more progressive.

oh ok. Thought it the other way around. i figured you stat guys could keep me straight.

wasnt that the case for our late Jan snowbonanza? me thinks Euro played catch up. GFS was sniffin early

After the morning I've had, if I can....you can. suckitupbuttercup

this is what I want to see.... On monday morning. Till then...just perty colors IMBY

like you/others stated, long way to go here, and while the nooners look good, as antecedent cold is not stoudt, yeah, nails gonna b bitten down here (assuming GFS has a clue....)

40/70 is lat/lon for "benchmark" for classic noreasters/snowstorm signal. Verbatim map you shared was 200miles wsw of that location. That is called "tucked". Since you new, take notes....too old to have to repeat myself

benchmark is 40/70 lat/lon. this is notably W by about 200 miles thats a legit worry for you and I

yes SSW was to be peturbed, and if so, would not show up at lower levels (lag time). MJO wasnt horribile looking but NAO was going notably + and trough west often means ridge east. Hoping things sort out a bit better moving forward. this weekend looks rather nice.

also not sure how much time we have left, cause tellies look less than stellar beyond, so yall might wanna get pom poms out for this one.

Yep. Just checked pivotal and it has a B w/ nice transfer. Little scary thermally, but I'd sign. so, Ukie/GFS/Icon have us snowing Sunday. Let see how this goes, but yeah definitely something to watch.

GFS still has decent event for same time frame. While I know we are skeptics of much modeling of late, one thing that GFS has done a decent job of in recent years, is seeing an event at 7 days. While obviously not a lock, it often has the right general idea, and since I like what it's showing in the last few runs. I'm huggin.

Just saw it. If we could get this to deliver as depicted, just give me a few days to enjoy and I'll stop wishing for snow..... Till the next one comes. 36 hr event verbatim.