pasnownut

18z AI's looked nice for next weekend. I'll be casually watchin this over the weekend. Looks like some trackin is about to ensue. the Ducks look dead in da water. Indiana impressive

Which has better odds of happening???

Yes it is. You can see the energy and how close it is, but as we know all too well, when patterns change, sometimes the first one sets the table for the good stuff to follow.

trough axis a bit more neg tilted thx to that 500 ull diving in. I can see how this might go boom in next few runs if this look holds. 1/15-16 looks like not much, but may still get a little appetizer in hopes for the main course to follow next weekend. I hope to be watchin the Eagles in the snow. (probably just jinxed them).

I took advantage of the nice evening sans howling wind, and took christmas lights down last night as well as brought another load of wood down. Pattern looks loaded later next week and beyond. Trough axis hurtin us as best qpf well off shore, but IF we can get better spacing and less progressive w/ the flow, it might give something a chance to spin up a nice miller A. Going to be a lot of sorting out in the next few days, but it's fun to look at no matter the result. The chase is a big part of the fun for me. TGIF boys n girls.

Euro is trolling hard with the southern sliders and lobes of energy diving south that you can see the sparks getting close to the fuel down south. Timing issues a plenty, but something to watch.

was outside for a couple minutes to get somethin from my car and the word "balmy" came to mind.

Yep. Looks like we'll be transitioning to a busy time and while the chances look to be there, its going to be really into short term till the subtleties get sorted out, as that will make notable difference in backyard, and on perty snow maps.

Incoming snowmageddon at 348 GFS. You wanna look....ya know ya do.

If that one doesnt hit, then the one right on it's heels looks like something ready to pop. Timing/spacing is critical w/ so many vorts in the chute. Could be lotsa nail biting for us starved ones down here. Just seeing the pattern evolution and amount of chances, I'm happy at that...for now.

nooner GFS for 1/15-16 event keeps the progressive look and is a scooter OTS. Toggle back through last few runs and theres a tad of variability....

After the walk down memory lane..... Well looky at Z Icon. Staring the nooners off w/ a bang.

Lol. this brings back good memories, but Ephrata (my school district) was often the last to cave. I think they used the same playbook as CTP is often accused of. We'd be lit up because everyone around us was closing, and we were stuck at 2hr delay.

Now you got me thinking, maybe it was OPERATION ALERT for I105.

Down here in Lanco, I105 was THE source for "OPERATION SNOWFLAKE". My brother and I would SIT on our stereo/record player (yes they were THAT big back in our time) and look out the window watching flakes fall and waiting for the "we have updates" between classic country songs. They did it every 15 min. We also had our little NOAA radio also going in background giving storm updates. Our channel was at 162.55 Megahertz.