pasnownut

Looking back over the nooners (so far), GFS is a southern outlier because its a strung out mess. CMC/ICON much more consolidated with nice qpf distributio and while slower in progression are much cleaner in evolution. Does that mean they are right....dunno, but that's my take.

Little too early to be in the bullseye, so buyer beware. Pattern is a more stable one, but with a slightly slower ejection out of the SW, it makes me nervous at 5 days out. If it were 2 days out, i'd feel a bit better. Something to consider as we move forward.

i almost spit out my lunch. Thanks for that.... No really....THANKS for that. Wowzers

Yeah I agree w/ you. If euro holds this look, I'd think the GFS just had a hiccup, or it's an outlier w/ the flatter progression

CMC follows euro and pops a secondary for a little back end action. I'd be giddy w/ what it shows. verbatim -30+ hrs of snow.

CMC also slower and trend looks to be slowing this down a bit

CMC takes the look of the Euro. We'd sign....well I would.

CMC slightly south but still a rather nice look. Keeps us in a good spot.

GFS says what MA storm.... healthy case of suppression depression. While we dont like, cant dismiss as many have suggested the cold press may do this.

Really surprised by trough axis on nooner Icon, but that is what let this baby climb. Lost the E-W look at 500 and broad eastern trough that SLP traverses. Actually its a rather clean and classic look IMO. Now....how much faith do we put in it? Lets see what the rest of the big boys show

you and the entire state of Pa bud. Lets hope the trend is our friend once again today.

Yeah, really like that look. Nice start to the day eh? edit: entire state would like that look as 80 northers get some action verbatim

2nd place in eastern pa never felt so good. north trends seem to continue. Gnight all.

I was just gettin ready to say something along the lines of "havent we done this before"...like last week :). Stay put bud. I think you'll be fine right where you are. Not saying we jackpot, but definately plenty enough to sit tight and enjoy.

While GFS has been less than stellar, I still look for trends/similarities, and 0z just made a rather notable move N w/ qpf well into pa. toggle back from last few runs and quite the bump north. SLP pops about 150-200 miles N of HH run. I'll absolutely take this as a good sign.