pasnownut

yeah somewhere between you and i looks to be "the line". Not sweatin it yet, but if 0z NAM's come in any warmer, it might be time to start rethinkin my thinkin. This event has been largely consistent on most models for a couple days, so I cant imagine big surprises exist, but for as we've been sayin for a couple days, a little means a lot for us in the transition zone.

Warmer runs you can see the STJ pumping a little harder which helps keep primary a tad more juiced and hangin on longer. Thats my take anyways. GFS really is the best way to win this one and verbatim HH was a tough better once coastal pops as column cools and we are once again safe vertically speakin. With Euro still hangin on as well, I'll roll the dice w/ GFS Euro combo and any B teamers that wanna join in.

GFS held serve. Man do I wanna believe. NAM's hard not to consider tho. 0z's gonna be boom r bust for LSV. If Euro holds, I'll breathe a little better.

early on both looked better, then 12k shit the bed and 3k was rather similar to nooner. qpf a little less on both though.

3k not bad and maybe a tad better gang. I say we toss the 12... Very good point Pa.. column cools when rippin

primary once again trying to stick its nose where it doesnt belong

FWIW Notable differences at 42 wrt SLP placement. Like 500 miles off. One needs tossed. Can I pick which one?

early on 3k notably better. Hoping for every panel of blue I can get for lanco.

My buddy just called me from Barnes Corners (tuggers) and said he turned around in field. Too deep, and cant see in whiteout conditions. Headed back to Brantingham. Said he got 2' last night and 8'' so far today.

Been in the back of my mind as well. May have slight warming as CTP introduced ZR into grid forcast. Me no likely. Hoping mesos suppress that fear for HH

it really does have that feel.

as weve been seeing, secondary (coastal) is the key for that deformation band to set up. longer the primary holds on, it impedes coastal/comma head development.

and in truth even if the Euro is right, its still an out and out beatdown w/ me pingin for a couple hours after the hammers already dropped. I'll take it just as it is n be happy. and after looking at 6z, verbatim I'm all snow.

yeah, this is looking like quite a nice stretch of the "winters of old" coming up. Just giddy about it.

Thats pure weather porn right there. Props to them for sharing.