colonel717

Sweet mother HH GFS wow

Tomorrow evening around 7pm looks to be the heaviest snow 3-4 per GFS

3K looks good. 2-4 for AGC 4 is near NAGC, rest is 2-3. Butler Co is 3-4 in

Just go thru the EURO and GFS each run from yesterday 12z until today. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026011300&fh=150

Saw KDKA weather playing up lake effect and squalls from Wed Thru weekend. Also, the GFS looked loaded after day 10. Parade of juicy storms.

Looking more and more like as JWilson said last week these next 2 "events" are going to likely be just minor NS driven clipper type snows, which may not be a bad thing as we have had some good results so far. While we likely won't have consistent area wide snows, Lake effect enhancement should help boost possibilities and at times dynamics of the squalls. We likely won't be able to have an idea until the short range models come into range as to true potential. Moving ahead towards 23rd or so, looks like it could be a pattern that gets the southern stream involved for a bigger storm, but far too early at this point.

I went out to measure about 5 different areas. Had anywhere from 7/8 inch to almost 2 inches. So better than I expected.

Just a guess as the heaviest wraps up. Had meltage through the day in between squalls, so guessing at least an inch for the day.

Nice bout of snow rolling through a lot of the area.

Short but got near whiteout.

Looks like squall line about 9am tomorrow. Not as exciting as the last one but something to look for early tomorrow.

As we know these little events are the bread and butter of our winters. Hopefully we can pull an inch or 2.

Even though today were good runs for WPa on CMC and EURO, my fear, like you say, is these are late developing and areas south and EC are the winners like on the GFS.

Enjoy the last of the warm up. Looking like Sunday could be a couple of heavier squalls. Just have to luck out and be in the right line. Who knows where that would be at this time. Some examples below. Models still trying to figured out the period mid-next week and beyond.

Once we make it through this warm-up, looking like Sunday/Monday could bring some post frontal snow squalls. We have done well with those so far. Then mid-week a little bigger system is possible. Canadian 12z run has a nice 4+ inch northern stream storm. If we can get some phasing could improve those total. GFS had a bigger storm for 15th on 6z but lost the phasing on 12z. ICON at end of it's run looks like it has good potential. We have some time to figure that out but nice to start seeing things pop up on the models.

Remember when... https://www.wtae.com/article/pennsylvania-blizzard-1996-30-year-anniversary/69924485 The Weather Channel video

As we wait hopefully not several weeks for next snow, we have small disturbance overnight Saturday which can bring maybe an inch or so.

Snowing pretty good now

EURO is showing almost 1-2 inches for Sunday.

I would think you had more than that if I had around 9. Snow sublimation has eaten a lot of my snow.

Looks like Snow moving in. Have flakes at my house.

I measured 20.225 in. IMBY for December, total for the year 21.9 in. That is 50% of our yearly average.