colonel717

Canadian does have better score of late than GFS which is last

Getting very dark here looks like nice long squall close by. AI GFS big shift south.

Nice. Barely a dusting here.

The UKie is nice but it's such a terrible model.

There are arguments for both sides. If the storm is a little quicker and can outrun the High should get it north. Per the latest EURO the storm develops around hour 120. What is crazy is how the storm looks at hour 144, the temp here is 5 degree. Can you recall getting snow at that temp. I cannot. Coldest I can remember is snowing in teens.

Both AIs are good for us and EURO came north.

I've been out in North Hills area near Ross Park mall, getting heavy squall.

Of course it was being laughed at for that but that wasn't the only big storm it was showing as it did on another runs. But it was as if because it showed that "stupid" storm all the others were laughed at and thrown out too since there wasn't agreement from EURO. Then last night EURO threw one out that was somewhat similar to what GFS was showing on few of it's runs. So maybe a "stupid" storm isn't as far fetched. I certainly do not want a 6 ft storm as ROTT discussed the dangers with that large a storm, but give me a"stupid" 12-24 one.

More snow showers breaking out.

At least the WTOD is being depicted more south than GFS. Still 6-7 days to sort this out. Models have all been terrible even short range as you see on Josh's sight yesterday and today.

All 4 ops had at least 4-6 inches for next weekend. GFS was getting laughed at by many for showing some of the solutions it has, but now EURO gives those runs some support. I picked up a 1/4 inch overnight. Hope others who lost their snow got whitened up. Saw there was a nice band going thru north AGC around 2am.

A lot of melting today but I had 4 inches on the ground so I still have full cover. Temps dropping so shouldn't lose much more. Have a couple light events next few days so should add to it hopefully before a bigger snow hopefully next weekend. I think more northern stream storms unlike what GFS is showing will be more likely next weekend. Looks like latest 3k Nam has some instability snow showers tonight between 11pm and 2 am or so. Also several hours of snow showers tomorrow night.

Squall lines getting closer. Looks like best area will be north of the city

What a storm brewing on GFS next weekend. Snow to heavy sleet to rain back to snow. Canadian has a small snow. Nothing like GFS.

Ohio had quite the line of squalls this morning. Many had whiteouts. The sky is very dark, just looks like it wants to snow. But not sure how much will stick if we do get squalls with temps above freezing.

Not seeing much in that way of squalls for this afternoon on any guidance. Plus going to be pretty warm. IMBY sitting at a little under 28 inches so far for the winter.

Not sure how much compaction occurred with the brief mix we had but definitely at least 2 inches. So I think that was an over performer. Most were calling for .5 to 1 inch over night for part 1. NAM was horrible. Canadian was best that I could tell. Nice that we had high moisture content. doesn't sublimate as quick so want to keep this around until late next week. Not sure when the snow squalls are supposed to come today.

Looks beautiful out. I went to bed at 3 and radar looked great. Looks like we had some rain mix in earlier. Will measure in a little.

Looks like North Hills area getting moderate to heavy snow? The 0z NAM had no snow starting until 1am. I have maybe quarter inch so far.

Snow has started here. Looks like some decent returns to my south.

I just pulled up radar and no short term models are showing any of this snow right now. It checked reports and New Castle and Evans City are showing snow so its not viga. I looked at where are snow later is coming from and no models look like the current radar depiction there either. Surprises in store? @Rd9108Hrrr can't even get current hour correct, how in the hey are they going to be correct at hour 42...

This map looks to be very consistent with the latest short term models. I don't see any that could point to this being an over performer at this point. So 2in looks to be the max. Update after RDPS run which gives most of us 3in. and CMC has 4 in. I'm riding that..

As beautiful as that run was the other night, that 6z run has fully erased that x10. Back to back WTOD. We may need to pull it out after that. Worst nightmare for us. Update on 12z. Looks like case case of suppression by all the early 12z. No big storm but also no risk of WTOD.

Speaking of 2010, was that the storm where someone posted a sign on here and we got the storm? Maybe pull that out now...