colonel717

This one is in the bag... Time to focus on reeling in next weekend potential. We will most likely be a western edge hit if anything. I wonder how the snow pack after this storm will affect the next one. How will snow pack help set up the baroclinic zone.

Wow GFS totals went up so far. ended up about the same

Ha ha. Someone who I trust. He is from Cranberry and went to PSU Meteorology. He said just look at the precipitable water image and you will see how much moisture.

From another board on the latest PGH NWS discussion "I believe they are wrong but they are thinking the warm nose cuts further north through West Virginia. I think many mets (outside of content now) are underestimating the QPF that's going to come north. Part of it is that you really don't want to bust by predicting too high because you've gotten the masses in a frenzy, but I also feel that what has been shown this year is that you need to add 10-20% to the performance of the system. Maybe the warm nose does cut in, but I'll take my chances and say that that low doesn't hang on as long."

RGEM

ICON not letting go of high totals. That was ICON best run yet.

The heaviest snow is Sunday evening around 7. That would be nice. Average almost inch an hour last 12 hours of storm

3k looks better with a lot of snow left

Yep. It was way south but it got stronger and that brought it more north. Skirting the line. But we still do very well in AGC.

Skirting the edge in AGC, is this a DeNAMming

QPF is the key so we are good even though totals might not be as much. Fluffy dry snow while easier to shovel settles in a day or two and we're pretty much where we'd be with lower ratios. Fluffy snow looks better for our totals, but lower ratio snow looks better for our base.

NAM way south with mix over Tennessee a good 50-75 miles.

50 for 50... All good. Been consistently that way for couple days.

I was deducting the 5 hours like I do from models thinking it was 10pm. I guess this is actual time which stinks and means I have to stay up.

Here is 12z GFS. One hour of 2.3 inches in an hour.

I changed my post. That was from 6z NAM. 12z is better. GFS even better.

This looks much better http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kpit

Looking at Cobb data for NAM. As Mike pointed out lower ratios. 11 inches of snow. Sorry this is the current one. I replaced the other

Look to mesos to pick out the banding.

Well there were a couple times I would toss whole tray ice cubes on my driveway to try to cool it down if it was too warm before a storm coming.