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colonel717

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Everything posted by colonel717

  1. colonel717
    I would guess more than 15 inches or more may do it. 20 definitely would if we are going back to 1800's
  2. colonel717
    ICON sucks for thermals, such a warm bias. I dont recall it ever showing mix precip between rain and snow lines on any surface map.
  3. colonel717
  4. colonel717
    I personally don't throw any solution out. I have heard too many times "its an outlier" only for it to be most similar to end solution. There is so much energy floating around what ever is the focus can change each run. I knew getting to the finish line on this one was going to be a struggle with some models ultimately showing things we don't like. What fun would it be if there was no angst... Enjoy the angst. Another Pens game tonight. I Like Ike by the way...
  5. colonel717
    Still out of its range. But is a possible outcome. I think anything over 6 inches is a win.
  6. colonel717
    I just shoveled that sleet from last night, couldn't imagine having to shovel that for whole storm.
  7. colonel717
  8. colonel717
    NAM is south of where it was this morning. Its so over...
  9. colonel717
    Always appreciate your detailed posts. I am obviously someone who is guilty of posting Kuchara at times , but I certainly don't ever expect those totals that any model puts out. Maybe RD9108 does.. Just kidding bud.. It helps me put together a range. As ROTT said, it is fun. That is what following this weather is all about for me. Enjoy any snow we get.
  10. colonel717
  11. colonel717
    Most kuchara are about 13-15 to 1 which is quite possible for a good part of the storm.
  12. colonel717
    Yea but we would have 15+ by the time it may even mix for a little so at that point no big deal. It's not letting me WTOD at the beginning if it even happens at any point.
  13. colonel717
    We are at 12-13 inches with all this to the west for the NAM
  14. colonel717
  15. colonel717
    Very similar to UKie. Probably 13-14 with ratios. It seems we have reached max tonight. Not sure it could have gone better. Now gotta hold this for 3 days.
  16. colonel717
    Big improvement on GEFS
  17. colonel717
    Skinner has been a good surprise.
  18. colonel717
    It will still likely be 11 inches or so with ratios. If that's our worse case count me in.
  19. colonel717
    Woot Sid.
  20. colonel717
    UKie time.
  21. colonel717
    Glad to see so many people here posting. Makes it fun.
  22. colonel717
    Even so with every model 12+, even if EURO pulls the rug for a run, it would likely get tossed.
  23. colonel717
    What a steal to get him. Big time talent.
  24. colonel717
    Every model has 12+. Can't believe it's still 72 hours away.
  25. colonel717
    Had late full capture
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