HoarfrostHubb

Let's see what the once and future king has to say... I'm thinking it tics back west a bit

Gasoline futures down $0.47/gal the past few days Not sure we will see that at the pump soon Heating oil down 3% more today...again, there will be a lag

I definitely can't rattle off my biggest disappointments... must be a coping mechanism as I bury my disappointment.

I do find it interesting that we all have our personal favorite parts of winter / weather in general. Some like high totals, some like pack, some like big events, some like high dews, temps etc, severe (ha!)

Let's revisit this come Sunday (or Monday)

Some for sure. Chemical waste can be handled better. Much of it can be recycled and treated. Nuclear waste is problematic... storage, treatment etc are more difficult than the others

The waste is always an issue. I have no problem with modern plants, especially smaller ones if they are well managed. But what to do about the waste...

That's a ton of rain though in a short period

Stubborn model...lol Of course, it could be more right

You still have a month or so of decent winter chances... maybe no big storms but could get near 140"

I hear ya. I doubt this is a monster... might need to wait a while for one of those.

Enjoy your 10"

"That model blows" - figure someone will say it... but yeah... a little east

I am very interested to see if the GFS moves towards some of the other guidance, or if it remains stubborn

She is always wanting to lead the way...

Euro/NAM combo vs the GFS?

Lol... 10" on Pivotal at the Hubb

Some icing/sleet in there

Hippie and Mitch might do well in addition to the high country folk like PF and Phin

Yeah... it is dropping 5" through 54 hours on me noggin

Nice snower for us hillbillies

12z 12k NAM with an annoying dryslot thing

Tilting more favorably... baby steps

BOX into the winds Saturday... A deep positively tilted H5 trough stretching from Hudson Bay to Alabama develops on Sat. Out ahead of this high amplitude trough, strong SW flow will yield PWAT plume of 1.3 inches, or 99th percentile according to NAEFS ensemble situational awareness table. Strong jet dynamics (u and v wind component also at 99th percentile) acting on the anomalous moisture plume will support periods of heavy rain Saturday. Highs will be in the 40s but could be as warm as the 50s, depending on eventual track of surface low and associated warm sector (most likely southeast MA). All model guidance has surface wave rapidly intensifying as it tracks somewhere between the I-95 corridor to Cape Cod, then along or just off the Maine coast as a sub 970 mb low. The low continues to deepen over the Maritimes Sat night. This rapid intensification, combined with strong cold air advection on the backside and impressive pressure rise/fall couplet, will support strong to perhaps damaging winds as the low exits southern New England late Sat into Sat night. With 925mb temps rising to +10 to +13C across southeast MA and RI on Sat afternoon, the potential of damaging pre-frontal winds mixing to the surface would appear to hinge on the amount of insolation with best chance of damaging winds across the MA coastal plains away from the immediate south coast (SSTs are still in the lower 40s). NAM/GFS Bufkit soundings show winds at the top of the mixed layer at mid 40 to low 50 kts. In addition, rain likely ends as a period of snow from west to east late Sat/Sat evening, with some minor accumulations possible across the interior higher elevation across the East Slopes and northern Worcester Hills.