HoarfrostHubb

HRRR less ambitious

BOX thinking only 2” here. Ah well

Lol at the HRRR. 8-9” here?

This site has archived PNS from then I can’t find the specific one since I dont know the wording https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDBOX&e=200812100336

Sticking to the sheets. Blah Seriously I do love warm evenings on the screen porch listening to tunes and having a brew

Give me warm temps from the end of June to End of August. But y’all can keep the swampazz. I never have understood that.

18z Pivotal GFS Koochie

Reasonable map (the BOX one)

It is weird how it has done that a few times (3 or more I think)

HRRR still pretty agressive for my hood. Not sure I buy anything like that

I actually had 2 minor "events" back to back

Have you started disc golf yet this season? My son is addicted to it now...

Pivotal Kuchie for the 3k 12z NAM giving 6" for my hood. I don't think that will happen 1-3", maybe 2-4 seems more likely.

Winds?

And then I get caught up with the last 10 posts. Lol

Understandable. I’m somewhat optimistic for a few inches but nothing more

For here? Based on that NAM run or something else?

BOX (wisely) hedging more wet than white right now (NBM) “The biggest question stems from the eventful track of the surface low and has to do with how quickly sub freezing air is pulled in and things transition to snow for western and central MA. The GFS continues to bring in cold air slower and be lower on the snow totals compered to the ECMWF and NAM. For now given the lingering discrepancy and lack of higher-res guidance, will hedge toward the NBM. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for the northern Berkshires where amount will be greater, but for the slopes of the Berkshires we`re now thinking in the 1-3 inch range. As the low passes and cold advection kicks in rain likely changes to snow on the tail end for the rest of southern New England late in the day but appreciable accumulation is not expected.“

I didn’t snowblow : shovel last night. I have not been home yet, but I’m assuming most of the 4.5” is gone

https://twitter.com/tastone99/status/1502016404320575494?s=21

Memorial Day and July 4th. What disasters

It’s never that easy though (unless 2012 returns). April misery looms.

hmm not what I was expecting but hopefully better

eh... who knows... it certainly has a tarnished and dented crown lying around somewhere

Ok... I'm blind. When did TT start to offer a) the 06z run of the Euro? b) a higher res version of the Euro?