mahk_webstah

I’m emotional ready

It’s not happening, at least down here

that temp profile cools just enough if the low is stronger I would think.  Not enough for SNE obviously, but perhaps enough up here.  It might not end up stronger, but it seems possible.

Off topic, like this thread, but if you want information, motivation, and direction, read Peter Attia's new book called Outlive.  
Best thing I've read from a reliable source with the latest research on health, longevity, but also healthspan (living healthy as long as possible).

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro looks like ass even north. 

Don’t piss on my ticks.

Ticking towards a moderate storm here.  A couple more ticks please at this high point of climo snow.  Jeff’s sledding trip looks good.

18 hours ago, RodneyS said:

This article notes that Delaware received nearly 25 inches. https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/nws-heritage/-/unpredictable-the-president-s-day-storm-of-1979#:~:text=By Monday%2C February 19%2C snow,blocked%2C impassable even to snowplows.

What was memorable about that Sunday prior to the storm was the extreme cold -- the temperature ranges were 6 to 15 at DCA and -14 to 8 at IAD.

That was  great presentation!  I remember the storm.  I lived in Dover DE and we were the 25".  What a blast walking around in 5"/hour snow.  My best storm until Jan 6 96 in Philly.

8 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Were moving inside the 100hr mark on the models so its shit or get off the pot time for this one, But like the one that we whiffed on and CT/NY/NJ cashed on, It could be a wait and see deal until were closer.

This is what I am thinking. I wish I understood the synoptic forces better in terms of what would help this to be a stronger, coastal low, that consolidate a little sooner.  But this is peak Climo time for snow up here so maybe something can go in our favor. I figure will have a good idea when we wake up tomorrow.

11 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That's a decent cluster of SLP's on the 12z EPS for Friday up here, Better then the 0z and 06z runs.

I’ll see if the trend can be our friend and if the GFS can get back to what it was showing yesterday and the day before

6 minutes ago, Hailstoned said:

March, yes, but not so much February. Also telling is sap season has "migrated" to February in recent years, as opposed to its traditional timing in March.

The issue is whether we get an actual coastal low.  In that case we are n ear the line but probably snow 

When I woke up and read GYX this morning, I was a little optimistic.  But none of that in here...

Above normal temps and dry conditions continue for Thursday, but
clouds will increase during the day as low pressure move across the
Great Lakes, which will bring our next chance of accumulating
precip, and potentially multiple precip types, Thursday night
into Friday. There is still spread in the ensemble guidance, but
the latest 00Z model suite appears to be coming more on board
with a more dominant coastal low, which would bring the
potential for snow farther south, but for now the better chances
for accumulating snow will be the farther inland one goes.
This bears watching in the coming days and will see how trends
go, but at any rate, precip will wind down as snow showers
Friday night as colder air gets wrapped in as the low departs.

32 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Don't smoke weed. You are the one showing memory losses and gaffes. Biden Jr

For him Trump Jr is more appropriate 

Let’s see what the eps says 

Let’s see if the euro joins a bit of a trend to better for late week

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

LFG

This is basically what qqmega said.  Maybe you have to remove his 5ppd?

Even me the optimist acknowledges it looks over for a couple of weeks  I'm assuming no significant snow through March 3 just based on ensembles.  But, this time of year, and in a season of bad model mid and long range performance, something could shift.  The 24th could come back in some form at least up here.  And then maybe me sneak in something before the big warmth.  Then a few warm days and then we see what comes next.  But at least no attachment to anything, so maybe we get some happy surprises.

49 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wonder if what is or is not happening next week is trying to focus more on that weekend, as opposed to much of anything on Friday....some hints of that.

Will drag mentions that in his post. That Thursday into Friday might be kind of a warm rainer, and then a consolidated coastal storm on the weekend.

44 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Congrats Marky Mark, ages? My son and his husband adopted 2, 5 years ago. The first gay couple in Nebraska to be allowed to adopt. My Grandson and granddaughter came from a very very bad situation now doing unbelievably great.  Thank you for adopting you I know will be a great dad.

Hey gorgeous flakes and almost heavy snow. Not expecting this but we take.

We are not adopting.  We are working with 2 surrogates.  Been an incredible process.  The boy due beginning of May and the girl at the end.  
Great story about your son and his husband!  So much positive change in the last couple decades.  You have quite the family and it is nice to see flashes of it on here.  I’d be happy to be a day of your caliber.

by the way if anyone has questions or wants to talk about surrogacy, pm me and I’ll tell you all about it.

thanks Steve!!!

Steady light snow here 20.

7 minutes ago, TalcottWx said:

1" New Weatogue at 7am.

 

We took this little lady home from the hospital, so I'm hanging and watching the snow fall with her, and trying to let mom get some sleep upstairs. 

It's going to be fun having her birthdays every year at peak snow climo. 

 

 

This is so awesome!!!  All that hair…

we have 2 coming in May.  Can’t wait!

The storm is not the 24th. By the way, it’s the 23rd may be coming in night of the 22nd in some areas. 
 

4 minutes ago, Layman said:

I'm near the 2-3" red dot of Portsmouth and look to have hit 2" on the money.  Super light and fluffy and mostly blown away now with all the wind.  Grass blades were covered this morning but are about 50% visible now.  

Got 2 not 3-4

20 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah, ...unfortunately marginal - but as you intimate with coherence it's not really something to grouse over at this range.

The 850 mb (EPS mean) has an intense gradient couplet bisecting right through here - which is tantalizingly the spring bomb climatology thing

Honestly I don’t want to see the perfect setup.  I want it to emerge slowly and become more coherent as it gets closer.

Looks like Lewiston getting it good

Unless there’s back building, this is an inch and done here. The stuff in Vermont is fading away and all the action is over by the coast. It’s been a quick inch but that may be about it.