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mahk_webstah

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Posts posted by mahk_webstah

  1. 1 minute ago, Hoth said:

    12z is big today IMO. Everything should be sampled, so we in western wastes will need another 50 mile tick...unless the storm does its thing of throwing a deform farther west than modeled of course.

    To me it’s impressive that despite a track on or outside the benchmark the models have been putting out substantial QPF well back to the west. I’m not sure why that’s happening, is it the strong north and stream pulling moisture back?Looks like 6-12 back here and further n and w

  2. On 8/19/2017 at 10:02 AM, dendrite said:

    Moral of the story. Enjoy the next handful of days of summer. The 6z GFS carries single digit C 850s into September. Looks like another year where most saw their warmest temps in May or June.

    Weather has been stunning.  Living in Dover for a few more months and time off means mornings on Ogunquit Beach a lot.  Very happy for an orderly progression into an equally stunning fall if that is what is being shown.

     

  3. To support the non-panicky dialogue (despite the fact that I am a spotlight staring, radar obsessing, frightened weenie), this is the update from BOX at 9:30:

     

    930 PM UPDATE...
    WV LOOP SHOWS CLASSIC CYCLOGENESIS TAKING PLACE WITH WELL DEFINED
    COMMA HEAD OFF MID ATLC COAST WITH WARM CONVEYOR BELT/TROWAL
    LIFTING NWD INTO NEW ENG. STILL PLENTY OF JET ENERGY DIVING SOUTH
    TO THE SE US COAST WITH TRAILING NEG TILT SHORTWAVE/MID LEVEL
    CIRCULATION OFF NC COAST WITH SCT LIGHTNING STRIKES NOTED. IT IS
    THIS SHORTWAVE THAT WILL RESULT IN DEEPENING MID LEVEL LOW CENTER
    AND EXPLOSIVE CYCLOGENESIS SOUTH OF NEW ENG
    .

  4. I have a vague memory from elementary school...walking to school in the morning it was supposed to snow 1-3, started to snow and then got heavy, we got dismissed midday and the walk home was awesome. The new forecast said 4-6. Played in the yard for a couple of hours then the flakes got really big for a few minutes and it was over. 6 inches I remember and as the sun was setting the sky cleared. A perfect little snowstorm that is the first I remember. Probably 73 or so. Dover DE.

    The first biggie was 78. Still in Dover. Knew it was coming but was supposed to be like 4-8 or something. Remember waking up to rain and sleet in the middle of the night, then to snow in the morning. It snowed heavily and we had maybe 6-8 inches then it lightened up. Went to play tennis indoors with my Dad. After a couple of hours looked outside and it was raging ripping blizzarding whatever. Someone in the lobby of the tennis center turned on the radio and the metereologist said the storm had stalled and that we going to continue to get heavy snow, well over a foot. Some cars were getting buried and one of my dad's buddies car was stuck so he came home and spent the night at our house. Ended up with a solid 16 inches. That was a Monday I think and we missed the whole week of school. At that point I was hoooked. PD1 with its 25 inches followed the next year.

    Somewhere I have my handwritten notes and I will attempt to find them and scan them this weekend.

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