Interstate

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

This busting will hurt because

a) This is probably it for the metros

b) The metros will fail to go above climo

and

c) Next year being a Nina will probably make it a wall to wall torch for the eastern US and very well a repeat of last year. 

Look at the positive. You guys had two over performing storms. Us in the triangle of hell have under performed in both. 

I had this last night for the first time. It was really good if you like sours. 

Mountains. 

Just now, stormtracker said:

If it weren't so dirty, I'd fall in love with that.

I want it to taste like sea water. Jalapeño stuffed olives too

I thought I would get into the action. 

Starting to juice up. Dew point is up 3 degrees in the last hour 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Remember that rug pull like March 8 2018. Euro, NAM both, GFS, RGEM GGEM all had 4-8” across MD from that miller b?  Then the HRRR started showing nothing…with the precip shield developing like 75 miles northeast if what all other guidance had. I remember us both saying to each other, We’ll die on the hill with the euro et all. No way all guidance is that wrong from like 12 hours and hrrr is right. Well… still waiting for my 4-8” from that one. 
 

Not saying I buy the hrrr and rap. We could cite 100 other times they were off on a crazy tangent. But I never ever feel comfortable unless we’re in the bullseye of some hecs with 20” 75 miles either side of me heading into it.  It’s slightly troubling and perplexing they are trending worse as we get closer.
 

People like to pretend it’s safe as some coping mechanism but I’ve had enough rug pulls and I guess I’m not a cops by lying to myself type. 

Was this the same storm that screw NYC

39/19.5 here in 21057

Falling fast now. 40.5/21.9 in 20157

3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The nws map says 5-8” but my zone forecast says 3-7.  I guess issuing multiple forecasts does increase your chances to verify!  

Just go with 0-8 with a possibility of 10

Also... If you noticed... The orientation of the QPF is more southwest to northeast... yesterday it was west to east.

ICON came in drier too.

9 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

17% ABV is absolutely insane for a beer

That is my kind of beer

Just now, jaydreb said:

Arlington has already closed all school buildings tomorrow and cancelled all activities and sporting events.  

So did Baltimore County... At least for this they could have waited until tomorrow.  When the schools close their facilities... it affects all rec programs that use the schools as well.

8 minutes ago, ovechkin said:

50 currently downtown. LOL. blew past the projected high of 46. Typical DC  winter M.O. now... watch it cloud over just in time for sunset and then watch for the 1 degree drop every 4 hours. Will see what wet bulbs are with the low later with the low dews. But it's always just so warm in the immediate metro.  

I was just over my expect high for today... was supposed to be 44 and I hit 44.8... down to 43.5/21.4 now

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

That band they are focused on up there is long gone. That’s not ours.  But the snow band for us is associated with the mid level fgen and better deep moisture transport. We just have to hope the CAMs are keying too much on that banding up in PA associated with the lift along the arctic boundary and are underdoing the southern max. 

Yeah but yesterday you said don't hone in on the south max... you want the northern max

2 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

HRRR improving snow total wise 

Yeah... but both the HRRR/RAP has the best snows in south central PA now

3 minutes ago, T. August said:

New expected totals from LWX

So they are basically going with "worst case"

2 minutes ago, MD Snow said:

The rap and hrrr were giving me 2-8” on Tuesday morning. Got nothing.


.

All models gave me 4+ inches and I got a trace on the grass.

1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I recall the euro showing a drier run before events in the past.  I also recall this guy named Zwyts that would be the voice of reason as the forum went into a meltdown.  Point is that I am not too worried about one run of a global this close to game time.

Yeah but the RAP/HRRR and RGEM are also on the lower end as well.

Well BCPS canceled all Saturday's activities.  I just wish for once they would wait for the snowfall to happen before making any decisions.  I guess they didn't learn from Tuesday's debacle.

42.3/22.0 here in 21057

1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said:

whats your PayPal

I would wait until next year to get your full money worth. Lol

2 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Throwing it out there for anyone and everyone. @nw baltimore wxand I be will talking snow and beer at Sapwood around 3:00. The more the merrier. Come on by so we can all watch the HH models roll out. 

I thought you meant 3AM. Lol