Interstate

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

There were a few storms that didn't look like much from more then 72 hours out but turned into very solid or even warning criteria events in 2013-14.  When did that nice little advisory event last December show up?  I can't remember if that was really on the radar from 4-5 days out.  Other events I can remember where some part of our area did well and I don't think it was a particularly long lead event would be the Snow to ice event in Feb 2015.  From 3+ days out that looked like mostly ice to rain and became a 4-8" snowstorm for most of the area, even more for some.  There was a storm in February of 2007 that looked like rain from 48 hours out and turned into 3-6" of wet snow.  It can happen but its definitely more rare then the snowstorm that goes poof on us inside 72 hours. 

Dec 8th 2013 is another example of a good storm. 

6 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

I agree. Just pointing out that we are not wasting a winter month in November.  I’ve always viewed The Prime snow window for DC as Christmas to Presidents’ Day. We can and have scored outside that window but the odds go way down IMO

But we are wasting a storm

22 minutes ago, Jandurin said:

why would this storm break anyone

 

surely everyone is just considering the possibility of an inch or two

You know how everyone gets when they see a snow map... They forget about reality.

1 hour ago, H2O said:

This storm will make or break a lot of people for this winter.  A Nov storm.

Might be the only storm we have to track for the season and the season has not even started.

2 hours ago, osfan24 said:

This reminds me a lot of December 8, 2013.

Biggest issue is we are 3 weeks ahead of schedule

28 minutes ago, yoda said:

lol come on now... nothing outside the mountains?  I-81 corridor is not all mountains

I consider anything west of Braddock Heights the mountains... so basically Frederick west... I-81 is a very good divider for this time of year... IMO

10 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Yeah, but I'll be very satisfied with the other. 2-3 inches in mid Nov is sweet. I looked at my records which go back to 1979.

15th- 0.5 1986, T 2014

16th- T 2007, T 2008

So just about anything accumulating is gonna be a record.

That is why we should not expect anything but some TV snow outside of the mountains

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Hmmm... 18z NAM has a dry slot coming in during the evening... I-81 corridor stays frozen... Blue Ridge probably stays frozen... I-95 is close... probably 34 and rain

But more ice than anything

One word... Climo

I hate seeing App runners.

20 minutes ago, H2O said:

Dumb time for the site to be down for maintenance.

Just prepping for the winter season...lol

So we are going sub-forum now... maybe we should make a sub-forum for each county.