CarlislePaWx

Temp now up to 32.9 after an overnight low of 22.6 degrees, which was the coldest low of the season thus far. Currently, at 9:15 skies are overcast with the sun dimly visible. I know I'm not going to get the snowfall that the models have been advertising around here, but all the models posted here have the 5" mark over me with some freezing rain just to my west. Maybe this first one overperforms?

Man, all 3 model runs from 18z gave Cumberland county 5". Maybe hoping for 2" might work out. If it covers the grass it's a good storm. I'm down to 24.8 and still slowly dropping under crystal-clear skies. This is my lowest temp for the season thus far. The whole night below freezing will help pavement accumulations, but probably not anything that falls before 4:00pm.

It's been totally overcast here all day so far. That has kept the temp to just 41 degrees as of 3:00pm. Low this morning was 35.2 so a pretty small diurnal for the day (roughly six degrees). I'm just starting to see a few blue breaks appearing, so perhaps the high will climb a little further. Those weekend temps sure look cold. Highs in the mid 30's with lows around 20. That's just about the normal high and low for mid-January, the coldest average temps of the year.

Hey we still have 19 hours until the start of the WWA. Maybe a smidge more cold can be pushed across the river your way?

Pretty amazing to go to this from the total nothing in this morning's forecast. I'm not going to complain. It would be great to start off the season with 1-2"...but I'll take whatever mother nature decides to dish out.

Aleet! Aleet! Aleet! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 237 PM EST Mon Nov 14 2022 PAZ036-056-063-064-150745- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0020.221115T1800Z-221116T0300Z/ Franklin-Perry-Cumberland-Adams- Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Carlisle, and Gettysburg 237 PM EST Mon Nov 14 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of a coating to two inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Franklin, Perry, Cumberland and Adams Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM to 10 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The larger snow totals of 1-2 inches will mostly occur in the higher terrain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts Pennsylvania roadways. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. &&

Wow! Here's the Pivotal map for the entire 18z run. Looks like 1-2" around MDT from the late Tuesday event. Then a big lull of about 10 days, then the whopper storm comes through and lasts 36 hours. Haha. This was Kuchera, which shows higher amounts than 10:1 for the big storm. So, without even looking at temps I know they have to be in the 20s. Fun to think about. The big day is Saturday of Thanksgiving weekend. That would certainly mess up a lot of travelers' plans.

Moderate to heavy rain continues here with no breaks or brightening to be had. Approaching 1.00" mark quickly now at 0.95" Temp is a relatively cooler 59.2 degrees.

I was living in northern NJ. It Looks like if you extrapolate out the accumulation forecast map up into NJ my guess could be close. I was actually outside, shoveling the snow, when the thundersnow hit. To have all that on 11/11 was amazing. But didn't we have around here a significant snowstorm in early November back in 2018? I think 10" from that plus it totally took NWS by surprise, creating horrific conditions on the local highways.

When you say very cold during that storm do you mean temps around 20 degrees? If so, I do remember it. Oddly enough, I think I also remember experiencing thundersnow during the storm. I can't remember accumulations but maybe 6-8"?

After 2.5" from Mon & Tue, it's pouring right now with another 0.5" added on, so 3" the past 3 days. Looks like more to come, especially since NWS extended the flood advisory from 10am to 4pm.

0.41" here so far, with very light rain in progress. I wonder how much we'll have by the end of tomorrow? I remember Lee. He dumped the greatest 24-hour rainfall I had ever measured with a little over 10". At that point my basement flooded and took out quite a few storage boxes we kept there. About 50 days later I recorded 6" of wet snow on 10/29. That was a fun one to watch, being a Saturday.

Finally got clobbered with a hefty thunderstorm with winds up to 30mph and torrential rain which accumulated 1.10" ! But after tonight that's it for any shot at precip for the next 7 days. Actually, it looks like an extended stretch of beautiful late-summer early-fall weather on tap to welcome in September. High today was 89.4. The thunderstorm worked it evaporative magic and dropped the temp pretty quickly 20 degrees, down to 69.3.

90.5 high for today. Yesterday was 92.0. The forecast originally had today as the hotter of the two days...not that 1.5 degrees makes that much of a difference. Does anyone know what's going on with the grid forecasts at NWS? They've been missing since the beginning of the week, replaced by the county-wide forecasts? I tried searching and found nothing as to the reason. It looks like we will reach into the lower 90's several more times between tomorrow and Wednesday...then wonderful relief arrives just in time for the start of met fall! Can't wait. PS>>Only received 0.01" from that 1:00am thunderstorm. That brings my monthly total to 1.49". Dry!

88 for me yesterday, but the dew points were low to mid 60s which made it more bearable. Low this morning 60.8. Normal low for today is 59.5. Only about 1 degree above normal for the low. Yesterday the normal high temperature was 83.1, 5 degrees above normal. Only 7 days (including today) left for the month and my rainfall has only been 1.48". Looks like it's going to stay there for at least the next few days. Only 7 days to go for the start of met fall. The next 3 months are by far my favorites for the entire year. Yes, even more than winter. Advancing age will do that to you...lol.

0.04" overnight here. 0.08" yesterday. Another dry month, just like July, with a total of 1.48". Year-to-date is 23.72". I think YTD is not that far from normal YTD.

My high today was precisely 90.0 degrees with a very comfortable low of 57.4. 57.4 is the normal low (near me) for September 3rd, so only about 2 weeks ahead. 90 degrees, however, is higher than the warmest average high which is 85.8 degrees between July 12th to July 18th. September 8th is the last day that the normal high is 80.0 or higher.

It might not be the last change to standard time. While the Senate voted unanimously to go permanently on Daylight Saving Time earlier this year, the House still has not approved it yet. So, as of right now, this November may not be the final change to standard time. I hope we keep switching back to standard time each fall, or possibly switch permanently to standard time all year long (my personal preference).

At 12 noon my temp is a pleasantly cool 64.4 degrees. Overnight and this morning I received a very beneficial 0.74" of rain. Hoping for more later.

My WU data appears correct. I'm 82/75 with a heat index of 88. Yuck!

A portion of the heavy rain passed over me, but I think those east of me will get more since it was a rapidly developing storm that came out of nowhere. Rain has ended. Thunder continues. Total precip was 0.44". Currently the temperature has bottomed out at 70.9 degrees, an amazing drop of 25.5 degrees in less than 30 minutes. Impressive.

I'm getting a thumderstorm now have have heavy rain, lightning, and thunder. Up to 0.26" in the past 10 minutes. Before the sun went behind the clouds from this storm I had my highest temp of the month & year at 96.4. The dew point was 76 and my heat index was 112 ! So much for no advisories or warnings. Boy it's pouring out there now. Temp has dropped over 20 degrees, down to 74. Precip 0.37" with more to come.

Why is there no heat advisory issued?? Today is easily going to be worse than last week's 3-days in the mid nineties. At 10:00am I'm up to 86 with a dew point of 75 and a heat index of 94. All we need is a heat index of 100-105 for 3 hours. Maybe they think the dew points will drop back into the 60's this afternoon as the hottest temperatures begin?

I remember June of 1966. I was anxiously waiting for the end of first grade. Of course there was no air conditioning. My teacher just turned off the lights and had us all lay our heads down on our desks. Really brutal heat for a good chunk of that summer. (This is in northern NJ but I'm sure it was the same out here too.)

Ahhh....Green Acres. A great comedy from the (late) 60s. Remember Ahh-lee-ver?