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BrianW

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Posts posted by BrianW

  1. 6 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

    The red maples are bright this year.. so those will not disappoint. The fungus seeks to have avoided them. But the Oaks, Birch , orange maples all basically brown or rust 

    I was working on a house in Tolland last week off 140 near Lake Shenipsit. What a weenie spot up there for elevation. Some great colors on the swamp maples around there but noticed all the brown. 

     

  2. From donsuntherland1 in the NYC forum.

    The ECMWF weeklies had forecast temperatures to average above to much above normal across the region for the September 4-11 period. That forecast is verifying with the ongoing heatwave. September has increasingly become an extension of summer in parts of the Northeast. Since 2000, almost half of all years (48%) have had a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above in New York City. Prior to 2000, just 20% of Septembers had mean temperatures of 70° or above.

    The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around August 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.32°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter.

    The SOI was -19.67 today.

    The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today.

    On September 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 2.665 (RMM). The September 6-djusted amplitude was 2.560 (RMM).

    Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.6° (2.4° above normal).

    • Like 2
  3. 1 hour ago, dendrite said:

    This is what you want. Here’s just 9/1-9/9. There were a couple of real dewy Seps back in the boomer years.

    image.png

    Thanks for the clarification. You got a link for that graph/data?

    While this week won't rival the dews of yore in 59 and 73. It's still been a pretty historical first week of dews in September.

  4. 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    essentially unlivable without environmentally controlled option -

    You should see the amount of electricity/energy being used in the south central region. AC's running 24/7 and its still in the 80's inside is a common theme there. 

    I read in TX the average kwh consumption for some has been like 2500-3000 kwh a month this summer. The US average is around 750 kwh/month. 

    That area has also consumed a record amount of natural gas reserves and the south central gas reserve is close to the lowest on record. 

     

    • Like 1
  5. 8 hours ago, dendrite said:

    This is insane

    PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6)
    
                                              STATION:   SHREVEPORT
                                              MONTH:     AUGUST
                                              YEAR:      2023
                                              LATITUDE:   32 28 N      
                                              LONGITUDE:  93 49 W    
    
      TEMPERATURE IN F:       :PCPN:    SNOW:  WIND      :SUNSHINE: SKY     :PK WND 
    ================================================================================
    1   2   3   4   5  6A  6B    7    8   9   10  11  12  13   14  15   16   17  18
                                         12Z  AVG MX 2MIN
    DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD  WTR  SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX    SPD DR
    ================================================================================
    
     1 102  76  89   4   0  24 0.00  0.0    0  5.0 13 130   M    M   5        20  60
     2 106  80  93   8   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  6.3 16 160   M    M   1        21 250
     3 104  82  93   8   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  6.2 14 260   M    M   1        20 180
     4 103  81  92   7   0  27 0.00  0.0    0  6.8 14 240   M    M   1        19 250
     5 104  81  93   8   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  6.1 17 240   M    M   1        23 240
     6 101  80  91   6   0  26 0.00  0.0    0  4.9 16 320   M    M   4        20 310
     7  99  81  90   5   0  25 0.00  0.0    0  7.9 16 150   M    M   3        28 270
     8  92  75  84  -1   0  19 0.00  0.0    0  7.2 26  20   M    M   5        36 360
     9 104  78  91   6   0  26 0.00  0.0    0 11.4 21 210   M    M   4        32 200
    10 105  83  94  10   0  29    T  0.0    0  9.8 23 200   M    M   4        35 190
    11 105  83  94  10   0  29 0.00  0.0    0 10.2 20 240   M    M   4        28 230
    12 105  81  93   9   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  7.5 18 240   M    M   2        26 240
    13 106  80  93   9   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  5.9 17 240   M    M   0        26 260
    14 106  81  94  10   0  29 0.00  0.0    0  8.4 20 360   M    M   1        27  10
    15  95  72  84   0   0  19 0.00  0.0    0  8.5 16  20   M    M   2        25  70
    16  94  68  81  -3   0  16 0.00  0.0    0  6.3 14 110   M    M   1        17 110
    17 105  67  86   2   0  21 0.00  0.0    0  4.4 12 360   M    M   0        16 140
    18 109  74  92   8   0  27 0.00  0.0    0  4.4 13 270   M    M   0        19 260
    19 109  81  95  11   0  30 0.00  0.0    0  6.7 14 270   M    M   1        18  10
    20 107  80  94  10   0  29 0.00  0.0    0  8.6 21  30   M    M   1        29  20
    21 107  78  93   9   0  28 0.00  0.0    0  6.2 15  50   M    M   1        24 110
    22 107  81  94  10   0  29 0.00  0.0    0  6.7 16 120   M    M   2        23 100
    23 106  78  92   8   0  27 0.00  0.0    0  5.7 13  50   M    M   2        20  10
    24 109  81  95  12   0  30 0.00  0.0    0  5.5 15  20   M    M   4        19  20
    25 110  79  95  12   0  30 0.00  0.0    0  4.3 15 170   M    M   3 8      23 150
    ================================================================================
    SM 2600 1961         0 660     T  0.0    170.9          M       53              
    ================================================================================
    AV104.0 78.4                               6.8 FASTST   M    M   2    MAX(MPH)  
                                     MISC ---->    26  20                 36 360   
    ================================================================================

     

    And a 70.8 avg dew for August...

     

     

    month_08__year_2023__station_SHV__network_LA_ASOS__dpi_100.png

    network_LA_ASOS__station_SHV__season_aug__varname_dwpf__agg_mean__year_1893__w_bar___r_t__dpi_200.png

    • Like 1
  6. 15 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:

    Meteorological summer is about over.   Our lawns enjoyed the rain.  We have had to do very little watering.  This picture is of the back of the house.  We are trying to save our Ash tree from the Ash Borer and have had it treated the past couple of years.  I'm sure it is a loosing battle after we are dead and gone.  In the meantime we planted a Eastern Redbud ( I think) that is on the left of this picture.  We also planted a oak tree (not in picture) that is just off to the right.  That will be the shade tree in future years if the Ash does not survive.  That Ash is now getting so big that it may interfere a bit with my anemometer during NW wind events.

    backyard.jpg

    Nice to see another old ash being saved. Any idea on the age? 

    I've been treating my 125+ year old green ash since the borer arrived around 8-10 years ago. It might be even older than that. It shows up on the 1934 Fairchild aerial survey of Connecticut as a good sized tree. I also used my neighbors ash tree that was smaller and removed and I counted 119 rings to try and compare to get a rough age. 

    This picture was from the spring when it first leafed out. 

     

     

    Screenshot_20230827_045944_Gallery.jpg

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