BrianW
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Posts posted by BrianW
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13 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:
Nice to see lots of wasps and yellowjackets crying for their respective mamas today. looked drunk
Lots of angry yellow jackets out in full force here today getting drunk and angry off fermenting apples...
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From donsuntherland1 in the NYC forum.
The ECMWF weeklies had forecast temperatures to average above to much above normal across the region for the September 4-11 period. That forecast is verifying with the ongoing heatwave. September has increasingly become an extension of summer in parts of the Northeast. Since 2000, almost half of all years (48%) have had a monthly mean temperature of 70° or above in New York City. Prior to 2000, just 20% of Septembers had mean temperatures of 70° or above.
The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.6°C for the week centered around August 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.32°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter.
The SOI was -19.67 today.
The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.527 today.
On September 7 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 2.665 (RMM). The September 6-djusted amplitude was 2.560 (RMM).
Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 71.6° (2.4° above normal).
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1 hour ago, dendrite said:
Thanks for the clarification. You got a link for that graph/data?
While this week won't rival the dews of yore in 59 and 73. It's still been a pretty historical first week of dews in September.
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9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:
Any good historical temp sites to look back at the first two weeks of Sept say from 78-90 to see how it compares to this weeks heat? Just curious; I think so many are acclimated to AC in our cars and houses now vs then….
I like this site. Click view monthly charts
Here is BDL Sept 79
https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/monthlysum.php?station=BDL&network=CT_ASOS
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I'm at my lake cabin in NJ enjoying some jersey fresh peaches. The jersey fresh corn has been amazing as well.
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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:
70 for the high so far. We pave.
Nice day down here on the water.
BDR 79
HVN 79
GON 78
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12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:
essentially unlivable without environmentally controlled option -
You should see the amount of electricity/energy being used in the south central region. AC's running 24/7 and its still in the 80's inside is a common theme there.
I read in TX the average kwh consumption for some has been like 2500-3000 kwh a month this summer. The US average is around 750 kwh/month.
That area has also consumed a record amount of natural gas reserves and the south central gas reserve is close to the lowest on record.
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8 hours ago, dendrite said:
This is insane
PRELIMINARY LOCAL CLIMATOLOGICAL DATA (WS FORM: F-6) STATION: SHREVEPORT MONTH: AUGUST YEAR: 2023 LATITUDE: 32 28 N LONGITUDE: 93 49 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 12Z AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 102 76 89 4 0 24 0.00 0.0 0 5.0 13 130 M M 5 20 60 2 106 80 93 8 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 6.3 16 160 M M 1 21 250 3 104 82 93 8 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 6.2 14 260 M M 1 20 180 4 103 81 92 7 0 27 0.00 0.0 0 6.8 14 240 M M 1 19 250 5 104 81 93 8 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 6.1 17 240 M M 1 23 240 6 101 80 91 6 0 26 0.00 0.0 0 4.9 16 320 M M 4 20 310 7 99 81 90 5 0 25 0.00 0.0 0 7.9 16 150 M M 3 28 270 8 92 75 84 -1 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 7.2 26 20 M M 5 36 360 9 104 78 91 6 0 26 0.00 0.0 0 11.4 21 210 M M 4 32 200 10 105 83 94 10 0 29 T 0.0 0 9.8 23 200 M M 4 35 190 11 105 83 94 10 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 10.2 20 240 M M 4 28 230 12 105 81 93 9 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 7.5 18 240 M M 2 26 240 13 106 80 93 9 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 5.9 17 240 M M 0 26 260 14 106 81 94 10 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 8.4 20 360 M M 1 27 10 15 95 72 84 0 0 19 0.00 0.0 0 8.5 16 20 M M 2 25 70 16 94 68 81 -3 0 16 0.00 0.0 0 6.3 14 110 M M 1 17 110 17 105 67 86 2 0 21 0.00 0.0 0 4.4 12 360 M M 0 16 140 18 109 74 92 8 0 27 0.00 0.0 0 4.4 13 270 M M 0 19 260 19 109 81 95 11 0 30 0.00 0.0 0 6.7 14 270 M M 1 18 10 20 107 80 94 10 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 8.6 21 30 M M 1 29 20 21 107 78 93 9 0 28 0.00 0.0 0 6.2 15 50 M M 1 24 110 22 107 81 94 10 0 29 0.00 0.0 0 6.7 16 120 M M 2 23 100 23 106 78 92 8 0 27 0.00 0.0 0 5.7 13 50 M M 2 20 10 24 109 81 95 12 0 30 0.00 0.0 0 5.5 15 20 M M 4 19 20 25 110 79 95 12 0 30 0.00 0.0 0 4.3 15 170 M M 3 8 23 150 ================================================================================ SM 2600 1961 0 660 T 0.0 170.9 M 53 ================================================================================ AV104.0 78.4 6.8 FASTST M M 2 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> 26 20 36 360 ================================================================================
And a 70.8 avg dew for August...
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15 hours ago, wxeyeNH said:
Meteorological summer is about over. Our lawns enjoyed the rain. We have had to do very little watering. This picture is of the back of the house. We are trying to save our Ash tree from the Ash Borer and have had it treated the past couple of years. I'm sure it is a loosing battle after we are dead and gone. In the meantime we planted a Eastern Redbud ( I think) that is on the left of this picture. We also planted a oak tree (not in picture) that is just off to the right. That will be the shade tree in future years if the Ash does not survive. That Ash is now getting so big that it may interfere a bit with my anemometer during NW wind events.
Nice to see another old ash being saved. Any idea on the age?
I've been treating my 125+ year old green ash since the borer arrived around 8-10 years ago. It might be even older than that. It shows up on the 1934 Fairchild aerial survey of Connecticut as a good sized tree. I also used my neighbors ash tree that was smaller and removed and I counted 119 rings to try and compare to get a rough age.
This picture was from the spring when it first leafed out.
Octorcher or Roctober 2023 Discussion Thread
in New England
Posted
I was working on a house in Tolland last week off 140 near Lake Shenipsit. What a weenie spot up there for elevation. Some great colors on the swamp maples around there but noticed all the brown.