gravitylover

If the EC is right and I only get ~4" and they get a foot or better " down south" they'll be ahead of my seasonal total. That'll sting a little 

Ehh, the north trend will bring you back in 

They have me at 8-12. Yeah? I'll get the leaf blower ready. 

So, does this incoming mess feel like it's gonna be a wet > white 3" slopfest to anyone else? Can we just shoot this one in the ass and move on to spring? I need shit to start leafing out and suck this ground dry not more wetness. #snowornothing! ? 

24 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Everyone is getting watches except the City

This stinks

So where are you moving to? 

53 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

It will probably be rain up to I84 by 0z Saturday night 

Bite your tongue  I'm good with it being 287 and you should be too. 

I walked out the hotel door this morning and it's 55°. Not quite what I expect in Chicago in February. 

19 hours ago, forkyfork said:

i hope this isn't the start of a rug pull

Would we be surprised? 

I dunno, the Tug Hill and Thousand Island zones aren't as sparsely populated as they used to be but it's not an economically strong zone. There are some ok little towns and the west facing slopes above the valley floors get dumped on. There are some small successful zones and a fair bit of opportunity if your work doesn't depend on locals to earn money. The best skiing isn't at the biggest areas and has been mostly flying under the radar for 75 years. That upslope happens pretty regularly at Titus which is one of the most underrated powder areas on the east coast. I spend a bit of time up in the North Country in the warm months and the locals will happily tell you that it doesn't really snow much on the flats anymore but pop 100 feet up and it's like the old days. They love it because it makes moving around in the winter that much easier than it used to be but they do have more ice so it's not that big a win. The bulk of the 'Daks has always been a fickle snow zone, just look at the history of problems with the ski conditions in and around Lake Placid and Saranac but you rarely hear about McCauley or Snow Ridge having a total dud of a season and Oak, Royal and Woods Valley always seem to mostly satisfy their skier base. 

So if we get rid of all the cows and assorted other blowhards we should be able to cool the earth sufficient to get that snowfall average back up 

27 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, we usually don’t find out the temperature threshold until it has already past. And there could be multiple thresholds which factor into our seasonal snowfall. One is the warming local average winter temperatures which result in declining snowfall averages over time. Another is a SST threshold in a part of the world like the MJO 4-7 regions which shift the storm tracks and lead to warmer local temperatures and lower seasonal snowfall. The record snowfall from 09-10 to 17-18 may have also been related to warming in some area of the planet which created the forcing patterns necessary for so many amazing snowfall seasons. But we may have surpassed that goldilocks snowfall zone when the 15-16 super El Niño resulted in the big jump in global temperatures. Almost like the 15-16 to 17-18 winters while warm, still had the lingering heavy snowfall pattern which seemed to emerge around 02-03 and peaked during the 2010s. Following the 17-18 winter, we have been been struggling with both warmer temperatures and unfavorable Pacific patterns leading to also unfavorable storm tracks and storm day temperatures. We did have a great 20-21 season but NYC couldn’t rival the 50”+ seasons like 09-10, 10-11, 13-14, and 14-15. January 22 was also a great month out on Long Island, but more disappointing around NYC to CNJ. 

You mention the "Goldilocks period", it was called that as far back as 50 years ago in a scientific journal I used to read in elementary school. There was a lot of discussion about how that zone might evolve as thresholds were reached and, for the most part, it was right. Over the ensuing decades I've watched the progression and been impressed with the understanding that those scientists had back in the mid 70s, long before anyone else was blowing that horn.

15 hours ago, Cygnus X-1 said:

Yeah, and I live on a GIANT glacial moraine in NY called Long Island.

Was it Mammoth farts that melted the Laurentide Ice Sheet?

Hot dogs!!!

Lush grasses, fruits and beans moved north into their territory as the climate changed. This made them more gaseous than before...

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

My uncles place mid way between Scranton and Binghamton at 1900’ got 6”. So you just missed out on good banding. It was a lack of precip issue. I’ll be there this weekend. 

You should stop on the way and ski at the newly reopened Holiday Mt. New owner and rebuilt or refurbished everything. 

I had a solid 2-3mm coating on everything, it even managed to freeze on the car windows enough to need scraping. Two mornings in a row with just enough to make it look wintry and to keep the surface muddy. Yay. 

29 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Or move Long Island about 150 miles south?

The tolls on a 150 mile bridge would be insane!

It's been flurrying for hours, at least since 2am, and there's a nice coating on everything. It looks nice. 

That flurry line last night was interesting 

A half inch jackpot is something to cheer about now? Shit...

26 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this hasn't been 97/98. there has not been a massive GoA low wrecking everything. one hasn't formed at all, the patterns after Dec have been very different

Yeah but the effects have been similar enough to make this winter suck nearly as much. 

3 hours ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Got 0.7 inches overnight mostly this morning when nothing showed on radar. Anyone else get that? Usually don't se a prolonged period of moderate snow with nothing on the radar. 

I didn't bother measuring but it looked like a soggy half inch. Nothing on radar here either. 

It looks like a late March/early April kind of snow accumulation, wet, spotty and melting rapidly. Yuck. April in January kinda sux.

It's been flurrying here since about 9pm and it's still snowing now. It was at or above 32 until a few hours ago so everything is coated but nothing significant. 

edit: I forgot to add that it's been stuck at 30° for a few hours so that insignificant coating is pretty crunchy. 

56 minutes ago, snywx said:

You have to go above 700’ here to find any evidence of accumulation. Currently all snow above 900’ with about 1” otg above 1200’. You had to be above 2000’ to see anything substantial 

Yup 700 here too but the roads were slushy in Brewster at ~400' around 7:30. I84 was wet from Waterbury to the west side of Danbury when it got grainy. 

34/34/ESE2/RN+  I've had some pellets mixed in but only a few times. 

2 hours ago, HeadInTheClouds said:

This is a tough one with thermals but if you are around 1000 in elevation you should get more than that I would think. We will find out soon enough. 

705 - Borderline. I'll be in Cheshire CT for most of the day though so I'll have to watch it through the security cams.