gravitylover

Well I'd call it a pretty great foliage season so far this year. Unless we get a hardcore wind event I think this will turn out to be one of the better ones of the decade around the Northeast. I haven't been north of I90 in the last week but it's been beautiful everywhere I've been. Hopefully it doesn't all go away before I can get out west of Binghamton and up to the Daks in 2 weeks.

37 here. Looks like KDXR just about got to freezing. Most of the higher spots stayed considerably warmer, it's near perfect radiating conditions and it shows in the 5-6 degree difference over very short distances. With all of the different weather stations we can access now it's pretty cool that you can really see microclimates at work. 

6 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

I actually loved September- it's the first time my allergies have been gone since last winter!  Clear blue skies and low humidity- perfect weather!

If we had rain only a couple times a month and had low humidity and clear skies the rest of the time, I would love that.

 

Move to the central Rockies. That's exactly what it's like from late May into mid September. Sometimes that weather holds right up until the first real snows in mid November with snow only in the high country and spectacular weather where most people actually live. 

3 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

First Frost Advisory of the season hoisted up here

Frost Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
430 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019

CTZ005>008-011-012-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-042100-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FR.Y.0002.191005T0400Z-191005T1300Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-
Western Passaic-Orange-Putnam-
430 AM EDT Fri Oct 4 2019

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures falling into the mid 30s will result in
  frost formation.

* WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In Connecticut,
  Northern Fairfield, Northern New Haven, Middlesex, and New
  London Counties. In New York, Orange and Putnam Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 9 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if
  left uncovered.

Yep, gonna pull a bunch of peppers before it gets too chilly tonight but I can't figure out how to cover the plants or if I even need to be concerned about a bumper crop of tomatoes ripening on the vines. It would be nice if it gets below freezing for a few hours and starts to put some of the plethora of stinging bugs down for the season.

It's crazy how it was so much wetter here last spring when it was wet but when it dried out it was a dramatic turn and it has been exceedingly dry. Is there no way out of the extremes this century? 

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

first day with drizzle here since way back in June during that wet damp period in the middle of the month...

I hadn't thought of that, I think you're right. Huh, that's a good stretch without a totally miserable day. Good observation.

4 hours ago, dWave said:

40 degrees colder than yday now. Quite the shock to the system. Dreary  mid 40s day.

FIFY 

Yeah probably but the other car hit him sliding sideways. Had it not hit him it would have headed off the road into the woods moving at a pretty good clip. I guess it's a good thing he was in the way 

.4" and 48*.  It's a good ob, a guy a few blocks away at pretty much the same elevation as me got a weather station that posts on WU.

.15 so far today, 47*. Does this low temp cancel out the highs from the last two days? Yesterday was way too high above average.

Watch out for wet leaves out there today, also watch out for the genius that isn't paying attention sliding into you like happened to a friend of mine about an hour ago and totaled his car for him. 

.02" Woohoo  

I saw 86 before the rain.

1 hour ago, Sal Blandino said:

This constant changing thinking of the weather models just really upsets me. Two days ago I was watching an animation of the precip on map and it forecasted nothing after Thursdays system until the very end of next week at the earliest and now today it has a ton of rain here from late Sunday through Tuesday. I mean this is just aggravating and frustrating that models never know anything. What I would like is that cold front to just please move through with any precip from late Sunday and be out of here by Monday with high pressure back in control from Monday through next week. This just makes looking at the forecast very frustrating

The solution is to stop practicing modelology and learn more about the weather and how things work so you can make your own determinations. The models are really only supposed to be used as more tools in your kit that enable you to make the best decision as to how you see the weather unfolding for the next period of time. 

On 9/27/2019 at 1:35 PM, Hitman said:

Crickets.  I picked up a whopping .06" the other day to bring the monthly total to to 1.06".  Trails are bone dry.  Been noticing a large volume of acorns, for what that's worth.  Its really been a pleasure having the windows open and ac off in the house.

Yeah the woods are super dry, it's not just dusty it's sandy now and in places that are frequently wet the ground is cracked and split. Most small creeks are nearly gone too and the bigger ones are just a trickle.  I haven't been riding outside the LHV recently so it's just anecdotal but from pictures it looks like we have more leaves down here than pretty much anywhere else but the foliage report is showing a few spots up in the 'daks are at 50% or higher at peak color. Yup acorns are overly abundant as are chestnuts and those little spinner things. And what's with the damned swarming around your face gnats?! Those little buggers are really annoying.

On the bug note, did anyone else see that EEE infected mosquitoes were trapped in Orangeburg? At least it's becoming pants season so that bit of protection is good, looking forward to a good hard freeze to put down some of these bugs that have been such a nuisance this year.

That rain the other day was interesting. I got it pretty good here and Yorktown got a good soaking. As you go just a bit further north and east it dwindles quickly. Downtown Brewster got pretty wet but by the time you get to the junction of 684/84 they got very little and exit 1 was the dry line but it did stay wet south of 84 to KDXR, the north side was dry within 200 yards of the road. I ride the trails in there 3 or 4 times a month and it's scary dry, like tinderbox dry while the stuff on the other side of the road is like being in a completely different forest. 

Foliage is starting out strong all around the northeast so far. There is a lot of early leaf drop though. I noticed that started a while ago though, some trees started thinning by mid July after it dried out here, not so much in places that stayed average for rainfall. I think it had something to do with just how wet the previous 20 months had been.

13 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Wow that beat the 37 at Newburgh!  That's frost weather.  Do you think Marthas Vineyard, Westhampton Beach, Toms River or Mt Pocono got lower than this?

Yeah it was chilly. I don't have any idea but, like this morning, it's all about microclimates especially in fringe season events. Sheltered hollows that have a wall exposed to early sun see the most dramatic differences over the surrounding area. As the sun warms that one side whatever warm air was trapped gets sucked out in the updraft and the surrounding cold air sinks in creating a much colder spot. This morning there are 30's in the valleys below my house but it's over 50 at the top of the hills. I'm at 48 and warming quickly due to my eastern exposure and being about 2/3 of the way up this range of hills while the station 220 feet above me is 53 and 350 feet below me is 42. 

KDXR in Danbury was at 36 this morning around 6:30.

There are a bunch of stations near here in the mid to high 30's this morning. It's chilly in the house.

11/12

It got close this morning near here, I just saw 36 at KDXR.

It surely feels like fall. It has been a near perfect transition since about 8/20 from summer to fall. 

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro says Pike south winter while sleds and skis sit unused north 

I'll take that! 

Actually most of it is somewhat shaded. Some time this winter I'm hoping to be able to take down a few more trees and get the yard opened up some. Kinda like the Central Park site, everything has grown up around the place and needs to be taken down. We got a good start last year and now it's time to finish the job.

Feels like fall and it's starting to look like it too. Trees are responding to the cool, dry weather we've been having and the forest is in a very different state than it was just 10 days ago. My garden is definitely in fall mode. Julian if you're going to be down this way let me know, I'd love for you to come get a look at what I have for a garden and how to make it better next year. You are way more knowledgeable about this stuff than me. I just wing it and hope for the best but I'd really like to get more serious and see some real yields for all the effort I put into it and this is the time to get it ready for the next round.

.2" and a little bit of wind, nothing special at all. I left a bunch of stuff outside and ran out to get a few things done and when I got home they hadn't even soaked through and the piece of styrofoam on the roof of the car didn't blow off. Another dud... Hopefully the cool front is more effective, it's steamy out there now.

2 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Cape cod might be the place for be for this up here.

I would think anywhere east of the middle of Long Island ought to do it. It might be fun to hang out up in the Hither Hills area or on the cliffs by Montauk and watch the chaos.

I don't understand the details but yes it's based on religion. The cleanliness and nice look are due to the strong work ethic not dollars in the kitty. I think it also has to do with the state and municipalities tossing what money they do have at keeping things looking good and functioning well so that tourism dollars keep flowing unlike the Catskills where nobody seems to give a hoot anymore. The towns on the periphery other than Ithaca and Corning, especially the southern end are pretty ratty. Olean and Bath are meth addled and crumbling, even the college towns are really rough under the surface.

Surprisingly, unlike most of the small towns in upstate NY, these places in the central Fingerlakes appear to be stronger economically too but it's only on the surface. I learned something new while I was at one of the breweries, did you know that the Amish and Mennonites don't pay any taxes at all? The county where Watkins Glen is happens to be the poorest county in the state because of this. You'd think that with 4 and 5 star resorts, big marinas and one of the premier high dollar racetracks in the country that wouldn't be the case but... Some of the neighboring areas are right behind them too. Nearly 60% of the population contributes nothing and whatever money goes into those "communities" never comes out. Some of them even track things to the Nth degree and get the gas taxes they pay back when they file, not just the gasoline but the diesel for the farm equipment and what little electricity they use to run their farms and lumber mills as well as sales taxes paid on everything else they use (which probably isn't much). I think when I'm up there in the future I will go out of my way to not stop at their farm stands and not go to their businesses because it seems to me that if you're going to take advantage of things like having roads (to ride your buggies on at 2mph) and getting the roads plowed and maintained and all of the other services that are provided by the State and local municipalities you should pay your fair share not just be a drain. 

Man the Fingerlakes is a pretty part of NY. I need to go back there when I'm not working and take my time moving around rather than being "on a mission". There's also some A level drinking to be done there. I stopped at two breweries, had a great Mexican Lager and a really good Cocoa Porter. Next time it will be wineries and distilleries, they're everywhere. This time of year all the farm stands are chock full of good stuff. It's gonna take a few days for my stomach to return to normal