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tavwtby

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Everything posted by tavwtby

  1. tavwtby
    at this point it looks like anyone south of the Pike is mostly wet, anyone north of RT 2 mostly white, probably better WoR folks holding on with ptype issues, but we'll see as we get into the weekend runs, Euro ens have a nice cluster, and then there's next Saturday possible refreshing some... still below 32 here with a stiff NW breeze, expect possible streamers today if I can catch one right.
  2. tavwtby
    Seems every time a threat thread was made in the last few years, minus a couple, they fizzled or didn't pan out... my opinion is within 48hr if we're still in alignment model wise, it'd be fairly safe to start a thread...also, looks like some decent mid level magic may happen somewhere in SNE if it plays out as currently modeled, quick hitter though too, so be hard to get double digits unless rates are good and growth is good.
  3. tavwtby
    well I didn't have a surprise .25" of sn OTG this morning, went to start the wifes car to that, quite cold and windy still too, nice wintry feel, streamer has shifted south now
  4. tavwtby
    catching the tail of that at my place, it was ripping on and off pretty much since about 10, I'm back at work next to BDL so nothing here.
  5. tavwtby
    it's been the little freezing and snowing for a couple hours here in Winsted
  6. tavwtby
    basically had a flash freeze here after a pleasant temp day, saw first flakes, just a couple randos, but has a good cold feel out there...on a side note, my anemometer intermittently has stopped working so I don't know what speed gusts are etc, sucks I can't afford another station.
  7. tavwtby
    yeah the Mon/Tue looked like a decent sig 10 days ago also, hopefully we get one to stick inside of 72 hours with high confidence otherwise is model porn...and the southern lake Michigan shore amounts have come down a bit huh, I was seeing 12-18", and it's still impressive but over a foot would be a huge early season win for that area.
  8. tavwtby
    climate breakdown? sounds like a great time to me, and granted a little early in the season, but climate breakdown??? i need explanation.
  9. tavwtby
    bottomed out at 25 even, poor chickens, forgot to plug in the water heater, so they were pecking at ice..
  10. tavwtby
    25.3 coldest morning here so far, 10/27 was 26, we heavy frost...
  11. tavwtby
    would be nice to have a good late fall early winter storm this year, we are so over due for a big winter, at least in SNE, I'll take some Currier and Ives in mid November though regardless, set the mood for the holidays
  12. tavwtby
    was just about to ask everyone's opinion, it's been a sig for a few runs now, if anything it looks to be pretty cold, possibly a few inches elevation depending?
  13. tavwtby
    pretty pedestrian event when the line came, a few gusts and heavy rain but now just constant rumbling of distant thunder, usually comes before the rain but now it's after, odd, also sirens here in Winsted for over an hour, something happened before the rain not sure what yet
  14. tavwtby
    bout a half inch on deck, cars and grass areas... started to accumulate on the driveway and side of the road but it stopped and sun came out now we drip until tonight, however, the hills around me, about 1200+', have the trees caked, very picturesque.
  15. tavwtby
    we coat, coming down good here, all SN too.
  16. tavwtby
    snow mixing now with pingers and rain, lovely April Day out there...
  17. tavwtby
    first day of baseball practice tomorrow and Tuesday, outta be fun for the boys, told em to dress like they were going sledding... I remember as a kid making contact on a cold day and the sting was real for a grip
  18. tavwtby
  19. tavwtby
    nice light show tonight
  20. tavwtby
    seriously, I have never liked or understood it, other than to disrupt people's circadian rhythm
  21. tavwtby
    birds chirping, nice balmy 18 with light breeze...i seriously thought, hey it ain't too bad this morning, it's 18... imagine what 40s are going to feel like..
  22. tavwtby
    that was also the last winter I recall having so much ice that just wouldn't melt because of the sustained basically climo cold and no torches, I lived in Waterbury then and we had a similar snow to ice storm, don't remember what date, but the driveway and walks were completely hit that winter
  23. tavwtby
    that's pretty much what I'm at too...31.6, so I'll take 8.5 to get to about half of climo at this point.
  24. tavwtby
    I think that's about what I need to get to 40, I have to check, but not a storm over 5" all season, what I'd give for a big dog and straight to warm... preaching to the choir I know
  25. tavwtby
    if I had a buck for every week plus model storm that hasn't been in the last few years I'd be a little richer... I had a feeling this winter was going to be bad, but it ain't the bad that most of us like, at least it's felt like winter, and we still have something on the ground, for over a month now, that's impressive considering last few years
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