tamarack

From GYX AFD: With the upper low moving toward New England and the surface low passing east of Cape Cod, expecting a return of showers tomorrow, mainly for southern areas. This round of precipitation should be much lighter than today with the deeper moisture no longer available, but the upper low should provide plenty of lift for showers to develop. I think I've heard this "mainly for southern areas" song before, and "much lighter" than 1/3" doesn't sound too promising.

One stands in awe.

How much yesterday? (0.01" yesterday here, 0.33" today with some sprinkles currently from the next batch, which looks less promising than 2-3 hours ago.)

Got my one-year badge about an hour ago (joined in 2010) and "Posting Machine" just now for 500+ posts (currently a bit over 11k). Playing awards catch-up?

Total up to 0.33". Just cloudy at 11:15 with a nice summery 53°. Was 63 at my 9 PM obs last evening and this afternoon won't get close to there, so another of the many cheap highs.

Timing belt goes and it's all stop. We had that phenomenon 3 times with our used Subaru Loyales. First time it was at 59k (Manual said replace at 60) and furtunately my wife was on the 400' development road and coasted into the driveway. 2nd time, at 117k(!) was not as happy - was on 295 in Freeport and my wife had to climb over the wire cattle fence that the Feds (I guess) mandate along interstates, so she could borrow a phone to call AAA. (Obviously pre-cell) When that rig got to 170 we were able to actually drive it to the shop. Traded the car at 205k - still running well but AC died in early August 2002, just prior to 8 days of high 80s/low 90s. The replacement had 59k and we specifically asked about the timing belt, answer was "just got replaced". 25k later it broke a half mile from our house. My daughter hoofed it back home and I then towed it a mile to our regular mechanic place. They were totally confident the belt had been the original, made us feel good all over. Not the only time we've been lied to at an auto dealer.

A whopping 0.29" overnight, biggest event since Memorial Day. Looks like more is blossoming in VT (he said hopefully).

A few miles north of there had a hailstorm that defoliated several thousand acres, with some debarking as well, in late August 2007. Hail 4" deep with runoff-piled chunks still 2' deep 24 hours later. House in Rome village had damage such that insurance paid for new roof, windows and siding. Wednesday's microburst dropped trees on several parked vehicles, and a woman from one is now on life support.

Except at the northern edge. Euro has 5x Ukie for MBY. 0.29" overnight and it's about done as I type - maybe up to 0.4". Biggest RA event since Memorial Day.

GYX backing down on qpf. Tonight-tomorrow total now down to .2-.5" and tomorrow's categorical is now likely. Also, the 50% POPs for Sat-Sun are now 30-40%. Not surprised.

I'd disagree about Christmas. Sure, the celebrations occur mostly indoors, but for snow sport businesses and participants a storm like 12/25/20 has a negative impact lasting well beyond that day. Ski areas with high end snowmaking lost part of Christmas week, while X-C areas and nearly all snomo suffered a disaster lasting weeks. Did the same for my and many others' ice fishing, though the financial impact was minute compared to that of the snow business. (In addition, 12/25/20 traumatized a lot of Amwx weenies.)

Nice to have at least one 10"+ event each year. June data: Avg max: 77.07 +5.56 2 days 90+, 90 on 6/7 and 92 on 6/28. The +17.2 departure on 6/7 is the greatest for any June day. Avg min: 52.13 +2.82 Coolest, 37 on 6/24 Avg mean: 64.60 +4.19 2nd warmest (65.12, 6/99) but had most CDDs, 89 (84 in '99) The 80.0 mean on 6/28 is warmest for any day here. (93/66/79.5, 7/3/02) Precip: 1.05" -4.03" and driest for any June here (1.22", 2004) Wettest day: 0.27" on 6/21 (Unforecast little shower that affected only the Rt 2 corridor west of BGR.) Had 2 TS and lots of near misses, especially on 6/30 2021 precip thru June is 14.07". That's 62% of avg and -8.72".

From what I read, the original prosecutor did a little "sleight of law" by not prosecuting so that Cosby was pressured into making a civil deposition, in which perjury could be penalized and no 5th A protection against self-incrimination. Then at the later trial, under a new prosecutor, statements from the depo were cited, neatly neutering Cosby's 5th A rights. I loved Bill Cosby the actor, but IMO he's a creep who richly deserves to be serving time, but who also deserves respect of his constitutional rights.

Law of unintended consequences will never be repealed. Deboullie Twp, 25 miles WSW from Fort Kent, has 20+ never-stocked ponds teeming with brookies (a few with blueback trout aka landlocked Arctic char) and one pond (Togue) in which landlocked salmon were introduced decades ago and which produce a nice stock-grow-catch fishery. Some years back (middle oughts?) an aerial stocking dumped salmon into Deboullie Pond by mistake, and Inland Fisheries and Wildlife quickly altered regs to allow/recommend keeping all salmon, any size, from there. Fortunately that species apparently cannot spawn at Debo as the tribs are way too small.

Final 4 days of June had highs 86/92/87/87. Last time I had as many as 4 consecutive days with avg highs 88 or warmer was August 2002, with an 8-day run avg 88.8 (but dews then were 60-65 instead of 68-72 like this past spell.) Certainly hope it was summer's hottest run, though in 2002 we hit 87/93/92 on 9/8-10.

Saw pics on FB, numerous trees and some wires down. They're right on the shore of Long Pond and that's where the straight-line wind came from. Also crushed a car in the Lakepoint realtor office lot next to the bridge. We got 0.02" from that storm, then a 0.08" surprise just after 8. Was driving home from church and was in/out of showers 4-5 times in 10 miles (from the same cloud - Rt 2 offers a nice set of curves in that stretch ) including a short huge-drop burst a mile from home.

Makes my 1.05" (driest June of 24 here) seem almost monsoonal. Coupled with May's 1.73", things are a bit dusty.

Wishcast.

The northerly cell kind of fizzled and failed to wet the cars, much less the ground. 2nd Wilton walloper looked headed for here but did a neat southerly sidestep as it exited Farmington and we only got 0.02" from the N fringe. Maybe some RA- for a few minutes and then we're cooked for this SVR watch, unless the line just getting to the St. Lawrence can do something here. Doubtful.

Based on its most recent 24 hr, that TC is probably heading ENE ay 216. Bye

Sprinkles outside, rumbling good-looking cell (had 60 dbz+ over Dixfield, still many 50-55 pixels) about to pass about 5 miles to my south. Lesser cell looks to pass to my north. Echoes coming in our direction might be 0.05". Maybe MEZ012-013-020-021-301930- Southern Oxford-Androscoggin-Southern Franklin-Kennebec- 301 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN KENNEBEC...NORTH CENTRAL ANDROSCOGGIN AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES... At 300 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Wilton, or 10 miles southwest of Farmington, moving east at 30 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Farmington, Jay, Livermore Falls, Dixfield, Canton, Wilton, Livermore, Chesterville, Fayette, New Sharon, Town Of Washington, Vienna and Mount Vernon. If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building. This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

It's bad, though my unfavorite place to drive is Manhattan, thanks mainly to the extra-aggressive cab drivers. Our visit to our son's (then) home in Queens about 20 years ago was a relative walk in the park, once we discovered that the north end of 96th street was that no-sign "alley" under the El.

When our daughter - and then SIL + grandkids - lived in Greenville, SC, we quickly learned to take 84/81/77 to CLT thence 85 to G'ville. One time about 15 years ago we needed to stop in Middletown NJ to visit my FIL, so went the hard way. Lost 30 minutes in RIC thanks to an accident, then hit bumper-to-bumper 5 miles south of the Potomac bridge, 5 PM and 500 miles traveled. Took a full hour to reach the bridge and no better north of the span. Thought we'd be smart and take the alternate than goes by Ft. Meade but maybe not so smart - took 2+ hours to get past BWI. We'd learned that morning that our chosen Super 8 (we had a discount card) just across the Delaware was still unfinished so we were lodgeless on Labor Day Sunday. Found a place in Red Bank (changed the ethic mix there) after 760 miles and 14 hours. Not our favorite trip.

The "Enhanced" area has been extended to just north of LEW. However, the "Slight" area has shrunk both from north and south, with Moosehead Lake and points north downgraded to "Marginal". It's our 2nd time this month to be in the yellow zone. 1st time it included all of Maine north of LEW, so of course it was York and Cumberland that got pounded (while the homefront remained dusty). Maybe today hammers Aroostook?

Our little rogue started 5 minutes after my 9 PM obs for Monday, so Tuesday's report includes 0.11" in a 10-minute weak TS - almost a twin with yours.