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Everything posted by tamarack
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Or chase a Juan redux in your SUV? Yeah we’d be knocked into the Stone Age if 38 redux occurred. If you take the track and intensity, you’d basically have the whole region as one massive outage. That would be an enormous undertaking for resources to first clear roads and then restore power. Another '38 in New England, especially SNE, would resemble Puerto Rico after Maria.
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57-58: Warm and snowy, 3 storms of 15" 86-87: Great January, historic flood for April Fools 02-03: Cold and dry, suppression city though good retention 09-10: <puke> Combine 57-58 precip with 02-03 temps, bumper crop.
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We lived in Gardiner Maine then, and Bob dumped 6.41", biggest calendar day I've recorded, 1962 onward. Gusts probably reached 60, ranking it in my "2nd tier" of strong winds, with Hazel, Doria and the 4/82 blizzard. (Top tier includes the 1950 Apps gale and the NW winds behind the BGR blizzard on 12/31/62 - the 5/-8 temp on that day was also pretty cold for NNJ.) Bob was also my only TC experience in which the backside NW winds were equally as strong as the SE front, though about 95% of the RA came before the shift. Thoughts on "ratters" - depends on expectations and variability. I'd guess than getting <60% of an average of 45-50" occurs maybe a quarter of the winters. 60% of the Farmington co-op average would rank 122nd of 130 winters there. At CAR, 60% would land between 80th and 81st out of 82 winters. 50% would set a new record.
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If it could combine Nov-Jan 07-08 with Feb-Apr 92-93, wow! However, the local co-op had totaled only 15" snow thru Jan 31 (07-08 had 72") with but a single storm greater than 2". Also, the final week of that month had only traces OG - no measurable in January is exceedingly rare there. Then Feb onward featured 6 storms of 12-18", 109" total and a pack that climbed to 56" as the Superstorm pulled away, tied with March 1971 for 2nd tallest. (The 84" in Feb 1969 is untouchable.)
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The St. John has actually been canoeable much of the summer - should be approaching 3k cfs at Dickey to avoid some drags thru shallow stretches. More commonly it's water trickling thru a rockpile in August, at least upstream from Dickey, or as a former co-worker fluent in 'Franglais' would say, "In Haugust I'm put my snowshoe on my feet, canoe on my back and walk down the river!"
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It was okay, running at average with no storms over 8", then we got 15" as an April Fools joke.
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Had 8 days with thunder so far this year. The June 14 event brought 1.14" including 0.85" in 10 minutes and a few dime-size ice cubes. The other 7 added together brought considerably less than that. Of course, we've just had the nicest garden rain of the summer without a hint of convection.
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That season was terrible here until after the equinox. Only 2.8" from the fringe of that early Dec storm and then nothing over 7" until spring arrived - only one winter has failed to produce an 8"+ event, 2005-06. (Topped out at 5.9", my 1st winter that failed to reach 6" since 1967-68 in NNJ.) The first 20 days of spring 2020 produced storms of 10.3" and 8.5", with the 3.2" on 5/9 the cherry on a very modest sundae.
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We got nada from that one, then were too far south (0.15") for last week's deluge that dumped 3-4" in places less than 40 miles away - the event that created the infamous 143-mile detour for those trying to reach Jackman from Greenville.
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Not NNE - had 1.9" here (month's biggest snowfall ). Most fell at temp near -10.
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1.18" thru 7 AM and 1.78" for the month. Baby steps. That 1.18"is the highest cocorahs since 1.32" for July 19, and 2nd highest since mid November. Not much for big precip events recently.
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So would I. Despite the frustrating January - significantly colder and wetter than average while dead last for snow in our 24 years here - Dec, Feb, Mar each had a bit over 30" and the winter featured 5 double-digit snowfalls and the oldest March ever at the Farmington co-op. Great retention, too - 3rd most SDDs and one of 6 winters to reach 40"+ depth. The low-snow Decembers are disappointing, with the most recent 4 all BN. However, that's also true for March, and over the past 4 winters the cumulative 16 "snow months" have been AN 3 times and BN 13. The 4 years prior it was 8 up, 8 down. Previous worst for that odd metric was 02-03 thru 05-06, with 4 AN, 12 BN.
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Excellent pics. Nice cone crop on the red spruce, too.
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And if the serious RA could hold off until mid-afternoon Wednesday, our Tues-Wed forestry field trip in western Maine could avoid a dousing. However, models have been jumping all over, criss-crossing tracks as one model moves west and another moves east, then the reverse on the next run. Confidence is quite low for a D3 event.
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Agreed. Saw a new euphemism in the morning AFD from GYX. Looking at ensemble low locations there is now evidence of windshield wiping within ensemble families in low clustering near the coast one run and a miss to the east the next run so overall confidence in the impacts from this system remain low.
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Dipped under 50 for the 1st time in 4 weeks. Couple of sick maples down the road are changing. So are the swamp maples - right on time for them. Other than that, a lot of trees have tired-looking leaves, maybe because they've sucked the upper soil dry. For most New England trees, 95%+ of their roots are within 2 feet of the surface.
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Jack up the ridge caps and slide a new building under them - easy fix.
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Worked 39 years ago (above 47N).
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5.1" BN here for those 90 days, but that map has us in the 2-4" color. Though the well is down and the garden dry, this is still a short-term drought, at least for one who came of age during the 1960s in NNJ.
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Nah, this is the one that finally soaks us. How do I know? Next Tuesday/Wednesday is Maine Public Lands' peer review field trip, this year in the western Maine mountains. These trips have drawn some interesting wx in the past: ripping TS with blowdowns in 1997 (Mahoosucs) and 2007 (upper Kennebec Valley), thoroughly doused by the remains of Katrina in 2005 at Round Pond (on the Allagash), rainy 50s west of Rangeley in 2010, rain in the pines Downeast in 2015 and 2018 (at the same red pines), dancing with Isaias 2 years ago. (1997 was in June, all the others in August.) We can't miss, this time.
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Even more confusing during summer 1983 was the very large nest in a yellow birch sapling. When begun, that nest was 8-10 feet off the ground, but its mass had bent the little tree into an arch that lowered the nest to within 2 feet of the dirt. Not sure how that should be interpreted.
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Even up here, most summers have weeks-long periods with high dews and warm/hot temps, but once things cool off for a bit, it's uncommon for temps/dews to regain that peak in August/Sept. Last time that occurred here was 2010. Yesterday's high of 66 was the first <70 since June 20; the 49 straight days of 70+ maxima is the longest in our 24+ years.
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Sad. Seems like the defense did a "good" job of creating doubt, pointing to witness inconsistencies. However, that's what eyewitnesses do. The only way there would be no inconsistencies would be if all the witnesses had gathered and synchronized their stories.
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Nah! The summer when the nests in northern Maine were 10-15 feet off the ground, the following winter (1982-83) saw a January thaw wipe out almost all the cover. That winter's deepest pack, 24", was the lowest of our 9 full winters there. The next summer most nests were near the ground and winter 83-84 was the only one in which my 61" snow stake needed an extension. (May not apply to SNH )
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We were in the woods just NE from Baxter Park on March 30-31, 1998, and had low-mid 30s with fog, drizzle and a few IP. Meanwhile, PWM was approaching 90. My "favorite" reverse gradient came in my first year in Maine. The mid-December event that broke half the trees in western CT was 4" SN at BGR followed by nearly 3" RA and temp up to 56. Meanwhile, my parents in the NNJ home where I grew up had 15 with light ZR. A few hours later it was 51 in BGR and 9 with IP in NNJ. Powerful storm took a sharp left turn at just the wrong time for this snow-lover. (That 73-74 winter would've challenged for BGR's least snowy but for 16" in April.)