tamarack

Between the increasing snow forecasts for our area and the kids running thru norovirus (some at peak, some all better), the trip will be on Wednesday. Dealing with Christmas Eve traffic seemed the better choice. GYX afternoon added an inch to the above 3-5. Hoping for nice dendrites and 12-15:1 ratios rather than crummy flakes and 8-9:1.

Feb. 17 was a wonderful month, but if the event you've noted was the storm of 15-16, it was one of the most disappointed 6"+ snowfall in my memory, as it had been forecast as a much bigger dump. On Feb 11 a forecast 1-3 turned into 8" of 30:1 feathers with single-digit temps. Then 12-13 brought 21", bringing the pack to 47". The morning of the 15th, with depth at 44", our forecast was 12-18 - I thought "easy 50s pack, maybe even 60". As flakes began that afternoon, GYX chopped our forecast to 6-10, with the jack moving to west of Sebago. That 6.2 was heavier, temps were milder, and it only raised the pack to 46". My area (wherever I've lived) has been good at dodging IVT. We did get a surprise 2.4" on 3/21/92, but PWM had 11.4" and parts of Kennebunkport 2 feet.

GYX has a watch for the counties just to our south, advisory level here, about 3-5 with high ratio. Family in SNJ is planning to head up tomorrow and can't start before noon, so may be driving their 15-passenger van in snow from Hartford north. Last time they were here for Christmas was 2 years ago, and they didn't see a flake, not even a dirty snow pile (4"+ RA at 50-55° wiped everything), until the day they headed south. Assuming they don't have any "adventures" tomorrow, they'll see fresh white this year.

At least it appears to be solidly lodged in other trees so not about to fall soon. We still have several tall (60+) roadside fir trees lodged since 12/18/23. Finished with 1.26". Gusts at home got into the 30s, but we were in WVL about 5:30 PM when a blast of RA+ was accompanied by gusts that had to be well into the 40s. By the time we left Governor's at 6:20, the wind was less, and the rain was nearly done. Nothing frozen here, beginning or end. Still have a white lawn, 2" of armorplate, but the nearby fields are almost all brown.

Wind arrived about 1 PM, not too strong so far, gusts 30+ but nowhere near the 40-45 forecast for the general area. And not even close to 2 years and one day ago. BTV had 44 at 1 PM, down 18 in 2 hours.

Was even sharper about 9 AM, with some 70 dbz pixels. I'm guessing it will be more d9iffuse before it reaches our longitude. Little wind here so far. Fog rolled in and the temp jumped 5° (35 to 40) in about 30 minutes. 10 AM at IZG was 36, inversion holding there but it can't last.

Always tough to get blamed for someone else's actions. I enjoy both his AFD's and his posts here.

Not even close to a major city, but Machias Maine, at 20' elev, had 106.3" from Jan 25-Feb 23, 2015. Meanwhile in the (usually) snowier foothills, we had 52.5" during the same period. We had 60.1" in 31 days, Feb 10-Mar 12, 2005. In Fort Kent, tops was 63.0" from Dec 7, 1976 thru Jan 6, 1977. December alone had 61.5".

Exactly the same 14.6" here in the western Maine foothills, but with 6" depth and about 0.8" LE.

One site, only 27 winters, percentage of total winter snow: n Oct-Dec Oct-Jan El Nino (8) 24% 51% La Nina (7) 25% 48% La Nada (12) 37% 59% SSS, but the outlier seems obvious.

-9.6 thru yesterday, would need +10 rest of month to avoid finishing BN. 12/3 was -0.1, essentially average, so technically today is the 1st AN. Had a high of 34 on 12/1 so we'll see if that gets eclipsed as well. That was one my one great event...I had 16", but my mom in Wilmington had like 20". 2020-21, the winter in which several NNJ sites had more snow in February than the snowy foothills had for the entire snow season.

No thanks for extended outages. No one under 7 here, but on Christmas our 3-bedroom, one bathroom home will have 11 people (with 7 ladies) with ages 7 to 79. Should be taking notes that all of our big storms have been cutters. All of the big storms have avoided us since April of last year.

AUG was fortunate that no one got hurt by falling ice in January 2004. Plumbers had left a dead-end run of pipe on the 9th (top) floor of the Key Bank building. The temp dropped to -16 overnight, causing the pipe to rupture and pour water into and out of the building, wrecking office furnishings all the way to floor #1. Icicles 15 feet long and up to a foot diameter were draped on the northerly 1/4 of the building and ice had built up more than a foot thick on the sidewalk, also partially blocking Water Street. Think of 200-lb icicles falling from nearly 100 feet above. Cloud-free this morning. Low was -1.

Only a few flakes here - too far north. Grandkids in SNJ had 4" of clingy beauty, their first snow of the season other than a flurry or two.