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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Biggest limiting factor I see right now is saturating the lower levels. Lot of dry air to overcome. We need storm to hold its structure together for a bit longer further east, otherwise we’re looking at virga.
  2. I actually agree with you Ray. EURO QPF does look a bit underdone. Not order of magnitudes treated but I could see another .1-.2 tacked on further north and east of what’s currently modeled.
  3. Looking at the 06z Euro and the more I look at it, the more excited I am for some folks. 850/700mb closed off circulations as low is coming out of the GL. If those can maintain that for several hours longer as they slam into this arctic boundary, we may see some pretty hefty totals. Will also help those further east.
  4. Nice to wake up seeing overnight guidance hold and come in a bit more robust in some cases. Pretty impressing fronto being modeled as has been discussed. 06Z NAM hung over and had a dirty Bloody Mary this AM.
  5. It’s been popping up on various models. Maybe some oes enhancement
  6. Quite remarkable how cold the lowest levels are. If we get into that fronto omega than we should do fine but otherwise it’s as you said. Virga.
  7. Track yes, but I think we will see a broader expansion of snow on the NE side of the storm.
  8. I’m not sold on any trend back S and W. There has been a trend for a relaxing thin the confluence to the NE and also seeing some consolidation of the s/w energy. That 18z NAM is a thumper dumper.
  9. Pretty big jump in the 3km NAM. 12km NAM may not be too drunk. As said SREFs were further NE as well.
  10. FIS aerials and moguls events slated for January at Deer Valley and Park City have been relocated to Lake Placid(aerials) and Waterville Valley(moguls) due to lack of snow out there this season. Lower Bobby’s run is the trail they hold mogul events on.
  11. We know your confidence ain’t budging much and neither is the confluence(scooter shit streak)
  12. Nice storm and perfect timing for pack replenish up north for the winter holiday period. Will be plenty of terrain open post Christmas with this snow and snowmaking temps ideal.
  13. What am I looking at here? This looks like a plastic playhouse.
  14. You bad juju now Bob My juju works in mysterious ways. Juju failed geography.
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