I don't see the next pattern change any different than the last. The only caveat is we are getting near peak temp mins. The biggest caveat is we will have not seen a preceding period of much cold/snow so that may offset low level cold in SWFE's.
That SE Ridge looks like a pig and is going to take some time to beat down. I give it till mid month where it becomes more favorable to "majority" for more wintry outcomes.
Nina's just seem to wreak havoc on modeling with the PAC. @brooklynwx99has posted great info on this.
Sad to hear the casualties of this storm in Buffalo and the rest of the country. Incredible storm from coast to coast. Glad some were able to enjoy it as a weather enthusiast.