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Baroclinic Zone

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  1. Baroclinic Zone
    31/24
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    26/19 Great start to the season coming. Juju
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    I will be making my appearance. Can be there for 3.
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    The differences between the Euro and GFS handling of the upper Midwest shortwave appear to be what’s causing the subtle track differences. GFS has 2 distinct areas of vorticity and the northern one remains stronger longer, while the Euro consolidates all this energy sooner and further south.. There is also a trailing piece of energy that is intensifying as it’s digging east and south that impacts the system as it exits the coast.
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Warmest extent euro gets during storm.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Looks like for my area, 950mb level tickles 0C at its warmest
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    We will when the free shit comes out
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    Attlehole 12+…
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    Yeah. More pinger potential.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    NAM slowly coming off the sauce
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    I get the Jack again!
  12. Baroclinic Zone
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    And you’re welcome everyone. Juju.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s a confidence level they have this far out.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s really coming down to intensity and how mid-levels act. Euro is just a bit more organized, mitigating any warm air intrusion beyond the south coast, while the GFS brings that further inland about 30 miles.
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Started flatter but ended up about the same
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Coming in ever so slightly flatter so far.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    18z GEFS more spread at 12z Tuesday but more consolidate by 18z Tuesday.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    18z GFS Dual lows…
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    Last 5-6 model cycles, the trend has been for a flatter solution. Does not mean that holds or continues. We have seen countless times where we see those last 24-48hrs where things come in more amplified.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    AI ftw?
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    2 distinct camps in the 12z GEFS
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    Bit too much of this growing up.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    GFS has been quick to take that s/w and push it further north over upper Midwest while euro is a bit slower and has s/w further south.
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